Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-04-27 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-04-27 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-04-27 3357.47 3357.47 3357.47 3357.47 3357.47 3357.47 3357.47 3357.47 3357.47 2023-04-28 3231.40 3231.40 3231.40 3231.40 3231.40 3231.40 3231.40 3231.40 3231.40 2023-04-29 3446.73 3446.73 3446.73 3446.73 3446.73 3446.73 3446.73 3446.73 3446.73 2023-04-30 3440.52 3440.52 3440.52 3440.52 3440.52 3440.52 3440.52 3440.52 3440.52 2023-05-01 4085.86 4085.86 4085.86 4085.86 4085.86 4085.86 4085.86 4085.86 4085.86 2023-05-02 4699.69 4699.69 4699.69 4699.69 4699.69 4699.69 4699.69 4699.69 4699.69 2023-05-03 5260.52 5260.52 5260.52 5260.52 5260.52 5260.52 5260.52 5260.52 5260.52 2023-05-04 5383.23 5383.24 5383.24 5383.24 5383.24 5383.24 5383.24 5383.25 5383.26 2023-05-05 5177.98 5178.90 5180.00 5184.68 5199.66 5202.07 5219.74 5253.01 5351.72 2023-05-06 4769.26 4795.64 4840.71 4856.95 4909.54 4947.84 4990.16 5147.77 5470.71 2023-05-07 4353.48 4396.85 4455.25 4533.59 4615.98 4684.69 4782.99 5038.69 5230.38 2023-05-08 3896.23 4090.22 4222.71 4288.72 4356.95 4453.86 4524.14 4595.09 4685.07 2023-05-09 3554.43 3849.67 3984.19 4080.09 4114.67 4203.46 4332.19 4477.01 4586.86 2023-05-10 3340.87 3568.41 3629.88 3777.58 3910.39 4101.12 4277.39 4588.11 4717.70 2023-05-11 2955.06 3267.61 3557.55 3660.99 3803.23 3957.00 4248.02 4526.81 4795.07 2023-05-12 2834.51 3117.01 3278.35 3539.42 3755.38 3882.67 4223.08 4526.39 4745.92 2023-05-13 2779.65 3016.93 3149.08 3300.77 3446.94 3886.37 4113.25 4398.23 4692.24 2023-05-14 2739.35 2942.73 3140.77 3291.14 3437.00 3617.43 3915.26 4483.62 5063.76 2023-05-15 2599.51 2833.14 2959.38 3212.05 3490.34 3880.74 4117.33 4495.24 5302.45 2023-05-16 2635.20 2798.28 2932.16 3214.08 3676.82 3941.30 4386.76 4545.01 5004.25 2023-05-17 2520.22 2757.01 3284.65 3481.28 3835.27 4157.34 4420.65 4523.26 5019.15 2023-05-18 2637.04 2806.11 3304.49 3599.76 3808.06 4074.49 4463.19 4752.20 5086.81 2023-05-19 2569.95 3013.81 3129.49 3330.70 3791.97 4232.06 4356.89 4681.39 4901.36 2023-05-20 2599.84 2881.48 3131.41 3423.11 3924.97 4181.59 4383.58 4543.72 4736.74 2023-05-21 2420.13 2937.06 3156.28 3638.12 3802.60 3975.69 4290.43 4442.07 4650.52 2023-05-22 2411.84 3089.65 3311.82 3591.22 3768.64 3931.46 4192.90 4403.70 4656.37 2023-05-23 2695.29 3160.21 3321.77 3655.08 3721.05 3897.96 4054.34 4275.82 4619.03 2023-05-24 2609.91 3185.55 3311.77 3460.48 3580.09 3789.98 3938.59 4082.35 4486.78 2023-05-25 2720.81 2938.91 3245.54 3352.72 3534.14 3707.23 3802.05 4112.65 4594.72 2023-05-26 2656.52 2939.92 3102.39 3258.02 3434.10 3492.45 3737.06 4035.38 5145.12 2023-05-27 2626.37 2911.86 3015.08 3186.64 3392.49 3528.54 3734.50 4125.78 4805.14 2023-05-28 2684.81 2920.94 3064.46 3228.87 3300.24 3599.82 3737.88 4016.15 4541.88 2023-05-29 2627.75 2835.23 3013.10 3316.68 3515.41 3662.45 3804.43 3991.32 4402.85 2023-05-30 2370.31 2844.31 3042.31 3313.16 3524.30 3725.75 3912.61 4036.44 4453.41 2023-05-31 2393.78 2722.65 3002.97 3252.73 3485.87 3666.92 3899.90 4059.91 4673.30 2023-06-01 2223.34 2571.44 2929.55 3163.48 3298.34 3512.52 3777.27 3914.67 4730.53 2023-06-02 2398.90 2713.85 2895.55 3088.89 3277.57 3418.09 3822.74 4049.03 4864.99 2023-06-03 2296.28 2694.42 2825.83 3180.62 3353.00 3566.33 3699.46 4069.52 4707.79 2023-06-04 2218.02 2700.68 2863.32 3112.97 3391.35 3604.44 3819.27 3932.74 4702.84 2023-06-05 2278.88 2614.07 2845.79 3030.56 3425.00 3583.24 3736.69 3904.89 4481.38 2023-06-06 2298.39 2485.30 2757.38 2992.01 3188.43 3430.62 3688.50 3979.06 4649.21 2023-06-07 2198.41 2381.46 2626.49 2841.74 3097.11 3546.10 3736.63 4053.62 4580.82 2023-06-08 2145.74 2288.53 2483.42 2642.16 3004.95 3340.54 3920.41 4244.24 4645.95 2023-06-09 2044.57 2201.37 2331.69 2706.85 2783.20 2869.86 3576.96 4098.23 4611.44 2023-06-10 1890.07 2075.81 2240.09 2431.20 2559.98 2778.52 3475.44 3843.92 4262.44 2023-06-11 1698.16 2037.51 2097.27 2223.24 2483.72 2659.93 3345.34 3723.08 4212.76 2023-06-12 1665.23 1868.10 2029.55 2153.43 2430.81 2579.79 2919.68 3198.59 3854.85 2023-06-13 1621.36 1840.93 1901.60 2122.22 2376.87 2548.93 2830.61 3064.60 3381.78 2023-06-14 1553.55 1760.03 1844.65 2001.62 2240.01 2622.65 2722.62 2973.71 3397.11 2023-06-15 1513.68 1651.49 1699.94 1941.80 2107.88 2318.59 2559.55 3104.82 3595.92 2023-06-16 1485.32 1596.36 1647.89 1943.62 2118.19 2214.31 2367.69 3003.71 3847.19 2023-06-17 1410.90 1510.50 1624.95 1804.77 1969.48 2075.14 2326.72 2906.88 3512.54 2023-06-18 1303.95 1415.38 1567.86 1780.42 1850.16 2062.22 2434.72 2629.83 3438.09 2023-06-19 1234.17 1331.30 1496.54 1734.41 1814.29 2020.71 2297.74 2452.31 3136.50 2023-06-20 1163.10 1270.59 1389.51 1636.28 1846.14 2055.36 2122.62 2568.57 3013.31 2023-06-21 1082.95 1217.79 1333.71 1557.82 1859.57 1949.17 2081.56 2538.54 2855.22 2023-06-22 1008.36 1114.15 1230.09 1549.69 1721.38 1796.89 2057.47 2397.30 2853.01 2023-06-23 953.50 1053.23 1149.38 1574.56 1689.30 1757.73 1916.39 2237.61 2613.21 2023-06-24 887.09 961.94 1124.51 1429.59 1608.28 1688.80 1835.20 2113.76 2460.24 2023-06-25 836.42 882.21 1082.26 1319.52 1539.47 1595.27 1742.50 1866.44 2334.18 2023-06-26 767.44 840.87 1039.66 1239.10 1417.49 1560.00 1726.68 1801.73 2182.54 2023-06-27 708.33 757.62 999.37 1168.65 1439.79 1489.44 1709.47 1832.40 2091.56 2023-06-28 648.45 684.80 916.58 1068.13 1299.89 1394.87 1611.75 1803.28 2056.25 2023-06-29 593.00 648.35 840.81 972.49 1174.02 1288.40 1503.92 1724.45 2066.61 2023-06-30 544.63 600.31 775.98 899.43 1054.26 1192.75 1442.81 1665.66 1744.62 2023-07-01 507.20 596.45 712.17 833.38 947.47 1084.64 1359.16 1577.09 1631.96 2023-07-02 479.78 556.75 690.50 776.35 915.39 1004.07 1229.02 1504.63 1613.83 2023-07-03 451.63 539.33 614.68 736.29 846.26 957.80 1141.12 1396.77 1499.41 2023-07-04 429.00 508.79 576.32 690.93 797.39 911.18 1064.49 1265.28 1406.99 2023-07-05 410.05 463.64 535.21 635.12 727.78 853.78 966.94 1154.08 1292.71 2023-07-06 390.44 425.89 499.55 588.31 681.75 772.55 888.66 1086.68 1197.70 2023-07-07 390.77 412.73 461.49 548.33 625.93 697.15 832.99 1087.11 1215.50 2023-07-08 365.36 387.56 435.04 508.67 566.25 639.78 754.37 970.72 1125.16 2023-07-09 349.46 377.67 430.18 496.67 520.62 603.76 715.07 895.69 1107.41 2023-07-10 332.12 355.18 407.97 456.51 534.80 576.28 696.88 895.45 1091.21 2023-07-11 323.34 344.52 388.52 439.42 483.90 551.10 724.24 836.09 988.81 2023-07-12 345.22 362.22 395.91 445.75 507.96 607.03 751.94 830.97 927.42 2023-07-13 338.33 359.10 390.04 425.08 478.93 604.76 673.68 809.69 859.61 2023-07-14 329.59 343.63 387.47 430.81 450.86 528.48 607.13 740.97 978.40 2023-07-15 318.24 349.04 375.68 404.91 427.02 456.05 565.82 669.32 840.94 2023-07-16 308.45 337.20 362.48 391.34 406.56 433.80 533.16 644.80 694.86 2023-07-17 302.93 329.35 348.41 371.01 386.82 407.14 529.31 607.58 781.45 2023-07-18 295.06 324.65 336.22 352.42 374.93 418.30 490.68 536.89 695.82 2023-07-19 291.36 305.54 324.17 335.51 364.70 387.27 437.21 533.78 748.99 2023-07-20 283.93 292.03 313.39 331.07 346.62 363.13 407.41 545.72 687.62 2023-07-21 272.70 290.50 303.41 321.37 343.68 383.67 408.82 510.84 629.64 2023-07-22 263.35 278.20 293.27 312.31 339.62 370.62 401.32 492.32 655.77 2023-07-23 256.31 271.14 288.06 316.90 342.90 369.79 422.95 483.82 638.30 2023-07-24 250.36 264.70 280.96 305.87 327.79 346.92 408.27 489.70 530.21 2023-07-25 244.85 266.22 279.53 301.56 321.43 336.60 401.49 457.50 566.85 2023-07-26 241.31 261.05 284.53 296.80 312.47 360.13 397.17 458.12 615.86 2023-07-27 236.02 253.02 268.51 296.23 346.96 389.29 409.97 504.89 610.72 2023-07-28 230.85 247.84 278.72 301.94 320.72 352.21 411.53 465.33 575.22 2023-07-29 227.09 242.91 261.46 291.30 340.88 356.93 388.79 407.51 490.02 2023-07-30 223.19 242.77 264.01 300.24 343.58 357.14 384.31 466.81 528.46 2023-07-31 217.74 234.14 258.00 290.89 324.06 349.12 368.92 403.69 482.42