Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-04-28 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-04-28 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-04-28 3363.02 3363.02 3363.02 3363.02 3363.02 3363.02 3363.02 3363.02 3363.02 2023-04-29 3626.07 3626.07 3626.07 3626.07 3626.07 3626.07 3626.07 3626.07 3626.07 2023-04-30 4285.04 4285.04 4285.04 4285.04 4285.04 4285.04 4285.04 4285.04 4285.04 2023-05-01 4811.51 4811.51 4811.51 4811.51 4811.51 4811.51 4811.51 4811.51 4811.51 2023-05-02 5298.80 5298.80 5298.80 5298.80 5298.80 5298.80 5298.80 5298.80 5298.80 2023-05-03 5762.38 5762.38 5762.38 5762.38 5762.38 5762.38 5762.38 5762.38 5762.38 2023-05-04 5777.32 5777.32 5777.32 5777.32 5777.32 5777.32 5777.32 5777.32 5777.32 2023-05-05 5619.74 5619.74 5619.75 5619.75 5619.76 5619.76 5619.76 5619.76 5619.76 2023-05-06 5108.16 5108.55 5108.88 5109.05 5109.69 5114.81 5132.98 5148.79 5192.69 2023-05-07 4461.23 4486.63 4496.24 4504.56 4530.74 4561.07 4593.28 4769.77 4859.10 2023-05-08 4127.01 4217.92 4241.50 4275.54 4334.60 4380.57 4467.89 4569.26 4834.63 2023-05-09 3905.31 3968.84 4046.14 4203.19 4259.14 4408.94 4446.04 4542.17 4822.80 2023-05-10 3621.33 3763.29 3896.35 3944.91 4118.00 4249.98 4488.74 4555.81 4741.01 2023-05-11 3328.39 3499.34 3734.75 3858.95 3967.68 4016.21 4314.06 4520.23 4867.33 2023-05-12 3079.76 3262.78 3492.84 3677.33 3821.98 4015.93 4229.04 4608.39 4690.24 2023-05-13 2883.99 3136.36 3277.78 3440.01 3639.41 3978.18 4188.20 4452.58 4807.54 2023-05-14 2822.62 3035.23 3183.08 3417.05 3572.66 3695.80 3990.74 4554.32 4987.22 2023-05-15 2750.04 2894.23 3022.60 3321.60 3549.90 3971.25 4168.68 4551.85 5083.35 2023-05-16 2673.94 2900.89 2989.96 3396.44 3677.74 3985.09 4391.76 4563.48 4972.34 2023-05-17 2568.54 2797.90 3276.68 3561.40 3862.03 4166.74 4419.14 4553.45 4984.06 2023-05-18 2661.83 2859.53 3240.15 3640.40 3798.55 4071.23 4451.20 4744.91 4997.33 2023-05-19 2595.16 3048.44 3117.95 3339.22 3773.20 4216.00 4334.84 4667.76 4825.08 2023-05-20 2619.83 2879.58 3098.33 3422.58 3910.66 4146.74 4332.38 4519.69 4642.09 2023-05-21 2417.13 2956.85 3161.95 3617.02 3778.30 3942.99 4256.84 4355.04 4687.69 2023-05-22 2401.42 3077.66 3291.81 3563.15 3730.03 3891.46 4145.29 4360.18 4652.62 2023-05-23 2647.07 3135.86 3291.78 3623.97 3666.33 3846.75 4054.41 4250.00 4566.75 2023-05-24 2556.39 3158.56 3291.66 3414.00 3529.61 3746.92 3905.17 4007.44 4432.29 2023-05-25 2699.98 2919.90 3214.38 3330.01 3501.36 3637.16 3751.77 4004.16 4541.69 2023-05-26 2640.94 2928.06 3075.51 3219.89 3352.42 3454.45 3640.49 3956.53 5052.00 2023-05-27 2598.22 2866.67 2985.34 3166.16 3299.64 3500.18 3692.42 4054.59 4707.04 2023-05-28 2666.28 2890.54 3000.13 3143.96 3260.03 3498.94 3701.95 3948.43 4431.97 2023-05-29 2572.59 2799.78 2948.05 3253.96 3471.91 3592.60 3696.16 3906.89 4268.76 2023-05-30 2361.48 2811.05 3023.47 3259.96 3472.98 3624.15 3819.77 3958.05 4343.29 2023-05-31 2387.90 2671.83 2959.34 3210.29 3407.49 3585.20 3773.68 3955.79 4594.73 2023-06-01 2213.40 2561.63 2864.57 3083.51 3224.34 3431.87 3707.28 3875.76 4647.65 2023-06-02 2379.63 2653.53 2851.84 3004.99 3209.25 3330.21 3761.48 3930.50 4781.23 2023-06-03 2270.08 2670.48 2761.33 3075.52 3282.89 3513.98 3663.57 3938.23 4628.98 2023-06-04 2169.08 2713.77 2829.76 3019.19 3290.27 3559.19 3775.61 3893.66 4601.60 2023-06-05 2260.18 2574.62 2785.65 2970.96 3428.18 3550.92 3691.60 3865.83 4369.44 2023-06-06 2300.12 2473.22 2695.40 2907.80 3140.20 3354.80 3697.55 3906.04 4607.01 2023-06-07 2178.86 2350.43 2584.35 2817.70 3085.11 3531.51 3687.86 4029.50 4513.66 2023-06-08 2087.50 2270.01 2460.78 2553.82 2983.28 3307.19 3830.91 4156.45 4561.98 2023-06-09 1962.89 2175.52 2339.90 2678.92 2736.13 2911.16 3530.94 4075.49 4512.53 2023-06-10 1839.86 2053.09 2290.30 2411.01 2497.32 2813.80 3405.88 3847.95 4183.51 2023-06-11 1667.09 2015.78 2071.19 2245.02 2436.44 2592.42 3323.68 3670.19 4119.02 2023-06-12 1640.19 1881.51 1995.16 2139.17 2364.68 2524.59 2880.49 3128.04 3764.67 2023-06-13 1639.67 1805.97 1918.83 2067.33 2338.67 2444.10 2802.17 3043.57 3306.73 2023-06-14 1540.03 1783.37 1845.52 1961.84 2200.93 2562.00 2661.66 2920.58 3372.50 2023-06-15 1507.81 1677.35 1705.48 1906.22 2111.39 2251.07 2509.69 3070.87 3485.94 2023-06-16 1471.05 1619.81 1669.98 1924.41 2095.07 2199.82 2289.07 2948.15 3716.52 2023-06-17 1427.37 1518.50 1630.05 1790.25 1985.13 2061.42 2235.10 2901.46 3382.22 2023-06-18 1323.99 1426.00 1587.63 1756.41 1844.49 2134.16 2390.74 2624.70 3347.84 2023-06-19 1251.21 1364.30 1488.51 1740.06 1804.99 2035.04 2307.05 2447.05 3094.32 2023-06-20 1188.39 1309.22 1386.33 1636.34 1844.81 2079.00 2132.02 2553.75 3007.55 2023-06-21 1103.21 1241.26 1326.92 1553.02 1858.60 1949.62 2121.98 2493.58 2793.69 2023-06-22 1030.61 1141.87 1243.39 1565.06 1738.40 1800.10 2108.83 2371.73 2893.78 2023-06-23 974.12 1072.76 1181.74 1589.84 1681.75 1757.32 1909.12 2211.58 2572.75 2023-06-24 909.13 966.55 1148.09 1446.65 1613.30 1688.26 1835.97 2074.48 2477.91 2023-06-25 852.85 887.01 1092.12 1339.20 1520.70 1591.56 1740.93 1842.53 2304.48 2023-06-26 776.29 849.55 1051.50 1251.32 1399.83 1572.16 1720.68 1809.53 2136.96 2023-06-27 718.20 778.19 1012.23 1194.66 1434.53 1503.57 1707.43 1848.13 2020.37 2023-06-28 656.20 705.55 929.25 1092.74 1300.87 1402.20 1622.75 1797.74 2057.09 2023-06-29 599.09 669.71 852.86 986.85 1158.09 1306.97 1525.91 1691.70 2039.70 2023-06-30 549.52 614.46 797.00 911.63 1040.22 1211.33 1459.86 1644.70 1744.20 2023-07-01 510.71 601.38 719.12 839.23 962.22 1105.45 1363.78 1568.55 1608.21 2023-07-02 482.14 561.69 708.41 783.06 934.68 1020.63 1226.39 1499.09 1593.95 2023-07-03 452.89 549.68 617.14 741.25 858.29 964.35 1146.74 1394.62 1454.08 2023-07-04 430.30 522.36 586.90 699.26 803.57 931.13 1066.31 1268.90 1364.22 2023-07-05 410.85 473.36 537.74 644.74 729.69 864.06 982.72 1149.82 1268.69 2023-07-06 390.95 433.35 498.96 596.63 686.98 783.75 900.24 1100.71 1178.56 2023-07-07 389.00 415.57 461.28 550.58 631.13 699.14 845.48 1089.19 1219.12 2023-07-08 366.59 389.45 438.47 509.07 578.50 644.74 765.71 957.21 1122.10 2023-07-09 348.01 385.11 430.24 504.59 526.52 605.03 727.05 882.59 1107.57 2023-07-10 330.79 359.53 407.75 471.48 539.07 572.00 707.28 912.55 1093.82 2023-07-11 329.57 346.81 387.06 440.81 490.28 547.19 703.70 854.18 977.86 2023-07-12 351.23 363.40 397.34 446.52 513.62 613.90 746.39 841.14 917.03 2023-07-13 343.89 360.59 391.18 427.08 482.93 610.47 675.24 801.18 850.79 2023-07-14 331.82 341.44 385.90 430.24 453.77 533.83 600.49 733.31 971.65 2023-07-15 322.74 348.04 382.27 405.69 428.62 461.61 559.65 661.63 851.42 2023-07-16 312.98 336.59 366.97 393.25 408.30 433.31 535.13 649.17 702.13 2023-07-17 305.97 332.81 353.47 371.43 387.16 405.09 517.51 609.14 778.40 2023-07-18 297.29 324.98 339.25 356.71 377.36 418.92 490.85 528.60 693.84 2023-07-19 295.46 304.81 324.91 339.85 363.65 387.55 439.55 534.59 751.63 2023-07-20 285.40 292.95 312.98 331.53 345.51 363.68 408.99 542.06 682.03 2023-07-21 272.87 290.63 305.51 320.08 344.31 385.07 409.43 506.53 630.42 2023-07-22 265.62 277.63 293.30 311.68 341.12 369.36 397.34 486.63 644.01 2023-07-23 258.50 270.55 292.48 316.84 342.06 372.63 423.70 478.99 639.93 2023-07-24 252.77 263.95 283.03 303.06 329.82 348.20 407.25 488.52 530.25 2023-07-25 247.51 268.03 280.54 300.52 321.67 338.01 401.38 457.38 564.79 2023-07-26 244.01 260.53 284.94 297.65 312.19 360.41 394.21 458.43 607.11 2023-07-27 238.65 254.09 270.37 296.37 347.55 388.61 411.30 505.96 618.54 2023-07-28 233.15 248.80 277.06 301.41 322.02 352.20 408.57 470.57 569.46 2023-07-29 229.04 243.42 261.88 293.43 341.44 356.66 391.78 411.30 493.53 2023-07-30 225.34 243.81 263.01 299.42 343.53 359.23 385.81 466.81 527.44 2023-07-31 220.01 235.74 256.29 291.21 324.32 351.76 372.39 406.67 479.89