Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-01 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-01 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-01 4647.70 4647.70 4647.70 4647.70 4647.70 4647.70 4647.70 4647.70 4647.70 2023-05-02 5541.11 5541.11 5541.11 5541.11 5541.11 5541.11 5541.11 5541.11 5541.11 2023-05-03 6315.52 6315.52 6315.52 6315.52 6315.52 6315.52 6315.52 6315.52 6315.52 2023-05-04 6340.82 6340.82 6340.82 6340.82 6340.82 6340.82 6340.82 6340.82 6340.82 2023-05-05 6106.20 6106.20 6106.20 6106.20 6106.20 6106.20 6106.20 6106.20 6106.20 2023-05-06 5526.34 5526.34 5526.34 5526.34 5526.34 5526.34 5526.34 5526.34 5526.34 2023-05-07 4508.80 4508.80 4508.80 4508.80 4508.80 4508.81 4508.81 4508.81 4508.81 2023-05-08 4016.52 4016.52 4016.53 4016.53 4016.54 4016.55 4016.55 4016.56 4016.56 2023-05-09 3764.28 3764.55 3765.01 3765.95 3775.14 3783.26 3795.32 3808.49 3822.22 2023-05-10 3797.88 3805.79 3836.66 3855.61 3886.62 3934.98 3977.97 4057.34 4221.86 2023-05-11 3663.93 3717.50 3808.85 3870.26 3905.82 3955.41 4002.93 4045.36 4436.60 2023-05-12 3503.57 3571.26 3709.00 3773.65 3859.79 3941.59 3979.55 4073.88 4306.55 2023-05-13 3197.04 3426.50 3564.35 3693.51 3798.88 3863.36 3996.60 4269.83 4403.40 2023-05-14 3032.66 3233.21 3315.39 3500.12 3623.34 3839.33 4020.36 4335.54 4599.71 2023-05-15 2808.59 2922.74 3134.26 3411.80 3643.38 3992.93 4163.14 4384.44 4728.18 2023-05-16 2561.68 2897.76 3022.07 3451.51 3733.35 3932.71 4344.93 4509.19 4718.88 2023-05-17 2541.20 2870.54 3203.72 3610.87 3915.37 4067.27 4387.15 4534.90 4791.47 2023-05-18 2712.98 2836.59 3260.34 3563.63 3860.64 4085.22 4407.94 4582.65 4836.20 2023-05-19 2645.17 3018.19 3096.38 3344.88 3826.74 4194.25 4258.98 4514.09 4739.29 2023-05-20 2600.31 2903.98 3087.70 3389.07 3949.14 4112.23 4158.69 4513.04 4674.27 2023-05-21 2458.18 2943.42 3147.38 3594.44 3799.36 3919.96 4164.59 4288.88 4557.06 2023-05-22 2425.08 3047.27 3298.96 3589.58 3675.07 3887.70 4039.65 4309.84 4719.77 2023-05-23 2653.90 3118.33 3263.00 3568.81 3658.94 3785.61 3999.01 4197.76 4588.82 2023-05-24 2569.89 3113.35 3262.17 3375.21 3503.78 3666.64 3833.36 4045.02 4431.42 2023-05-25 2680.51 2896.29 3110.24 3342.71 3427.64 3601.60 3717.72 3949.44 4535.39 2023-05-26 2557.66 2951.34 3070.49 3193.00 3290.70 3448.95 3582.56 3853.88 5025.73 2023-05-27 2621.32 2876.71 3003.85 3105.28 3319.93 3443.45 3712.82 3882.46 4588.82 2023-05-28 2663.79 2883.07 2970.60 3094.82 3242.03 3405.53 3693.54 3976.58 4381.48 2023-05-29 2557.93 2779.10 2990.96 3194.21 3392.74 3551.10 3735.25 3865.70 4026.72 2023-05-30 2355.88 2797.01 3122.13 3160.61 3335.12 3588.77 3667.35 3941.67 4358.82 2023-05-31 2391.49 2665.69 2968.69 3120.43 3363.39 3478.93 3584.94 3948.51 4679.89 2023-06-01 2261.24 2567.65 2803.29 3006.05 3247.87 3327.72 3560.92 3800.67 4601.22 2023-06-02 2360.31 2549.13 2817.68 2939.84 3210.62 3312.97 3543.95 3943.50 4640.57 2023-06-03 2276.43 2579.18 2745.08 3051.89 3284.97 3355.60 3616.00 3930.01 4494.21 2023-06-04 2178.05 2630.69 2818.69 2932.05 3251.03 3529.62 3692.30 3891.07 4478.41 2023-06-05 2302.79 2457.39 2716.81 2934.85 3204.43 3495.24 3673.72 3855.48 4350.47 2023-06-06 2156.58 2473.64 2685.14 2852.71 3095.10 3348.03 3563.32 3900.19 4581.78 2023-06-07 2036.73 2339.12 2593.62 2827.56 3058.15 3382.70 3703.48 3958.36 4478.28 2023-06-08 2008.99 2269.64 2468.46 2562.16 2917.92 3149.61 3769.53 4070.92 4421.05 2023-06-09 1882.09 2099.38 2385.73 2649.05 2726.52 2824.94 3457.88 4001.58 4313.59 2023-06-10 1764.16 2059.38 2294.18 2414.76 2490.64 2755.74 3134.86 3753.88 3934.65 2023-06-11 1646.56 1948.12 2059.66 2291.88 2400.88 2529.91 3207.52 3566.15 4005.23 2023-06-12 1573.60 1903.91 1962.91 2175.42 2259.43 2444.75 2807.33 3134.37 3652.24 2023-06-13 1613.95 1837.08 1923.80 2050.84 2204.14 2420.03 2641.36 2977.49 3284.69 2023-06-14 1593.70 1770.43 1807.66 1909.93 2119.53 2420.05 2638.68 2810.99 3420.33 2023-06-15 1511.70 1639.67 1728.18 1869.35 2078.60 2124.48 2404.73 2894.49 3430.90 2023-06-16 1512.07 1582.67 1691.39 1905.73 2019.11 2126.97 2219.89 2584.30 3315.56 2023-06-17 1433.81 1519.65 1600.75 1812.60 1946.07 1995.07 2114.95 2767.48 3121.51 2023-06-18 1343.02 1453.79 1499.70 1723.56 1790.14 2116.87 2256.22 2596.68 2957.19 2023-06-19 1266.11 1393.14 1418.05 1684.21 1760.68 1897.91 2233.59 2427.85 3055.50 2023-06-20 1192.86 1293.33 1372.04 1524.79 1832.78 1933.94 2097.33 2421.09 2808.44 2023-06-21 1110.27 1208.04 1365.80 1478.29 1831.38 1941.46 2096.44 2348.50 2622.43 2023-06-22 1033.99 1108.29 1292.11 1488.87 1713.47 1807.22 1951.43 2141.75 2752.76 2023-06-23 982.86 1020.46 1218.05 1518.12 1633.45 1742.22 1831.90 2052.88 2532.51 2023-06-24 913.33 940.98 1152.36 1374.89 1554.26 1685.47 1758.77 1906.96 2362.99 2023-06-25 832.24 886.12 1086.71 1299.60 1444.91 1584.23 1697.96 1812.59 2246.60 2023-06-26 763.14 825.08 1059.17 1220.43 1316.80 1550.04 1621.73 1752.73 2021.29 2023-06-27 705.39 762.16 1013.34 1167.81 1334.11 1515.31 1703.96 1759.60 1917.41 2023-06-28 644.87 700.68 926.46 1070.62 1201.80 1417.96 1576.16 1645.92 1987.27 2023-06-29 596.73 648.54 874.50 966.33 1095.00 1294.40 1472.96 1597.97 1920.07 2023-06-30 548.11 622.00 821.07 883.28 1024.04 1206.94 1388.33 1528.17 1689.57 2023-07-01 512.12 589.25 720.64 830.37 952.51 1102.63 1308.97 1436.98 1595.56 2023-07-02 482.15 542.82 701.32 770.55 905.59 1006.18 1135.13 1400.72 1493.55 2023-07-03 452.54 549.29 638.60 714.18 855.41 945.06 1105.70 1290.56 1394.02 2023-07-04 431.01 526.42 581.48 655.56 833.24 908.32 1020.01 1162.33 1337.86 2023-07-05 410.54 477.43 541.23 604.34 759.31 852.89 957.24 1067.07 1248.15 2023-07-06 390.68 440.42 499.02 560.26 685.10 774.63 861.38 1023.83 1158.08 2023-07-07 379.55 427.24 463.60 520.47 624.51 701.69 832.48 1025.56 1144.31 2023-07-08 362.13 402.96 440.19 485.56 577.94 644.46 753.50 859.11 1089.54 2023-07-09 345.86 385.24 423.36 485.93 539.06 600.25 706.28 800.36 1075.53 2023-07-10 331.06 363.29 400.24 466.04 529.09 566.99 688.82 857.47 1053.38 2023-07-11 319.98 354.44 380.24 443.26 463.64 551.54 661.79 799.95 954.18 2023-07-12 344.20 368.69 395.45 447.01 511.23 613.97 726.76 813.98 894.61 2023-07-13 339.28 360.11 389.99 429.30 475.36 595.49 678.38 769.67 820.74 2023-07-14 330.17 343.44 374.88 416.53 457.60 534.21 576.90 699.78 918.53 2023-07-15 326.41 346.90 369.55 398.37 426.47 469.17 534.74 638.81 810.71 2023-07-16 315.60 335.27 370.54 380.78 404.77 442.76 506.34 628.86 683.61 2023-07-17 306.81 331.98 355.01 362.68 384.73 408.42 489.07 589.17 724.56 2023-07-18 298.25 321.63 337.05 350.64 375.08 411.31 466.52 520.85 686.84 2023-07-19 290.55 304.17 316.80 335.88 358.25 386.50 430.67 518.45 745.23 2023-07-20 281.93 296.34 307.36 325.56 339.08 368.02 401.01 518.81 633.76 2023-07-21 273.06 289.13 301.58 317.47 342.66 376.52 402.51 487.89 612.28 2023-07-22 266.16 282.27 288.21 310.19 339.76 364.04 391.70 475.72 616.20 2023-07-23 259.13 272.16 293.11 308.48 338.14 376.40 419.71 465.47 616.83 2023-07-24 254.13 265.08 278.14 295.39 327.86 349.55 399.72 459.45 524.44 2023-07-25 251.47 267.34 277.53 297.47 320.99 334.40 393.66 455.63 539.66 2023-07-26 246.74 260.93 278.75 296.66 309.66 354.81 379.65 448.15 583.49 2023-07-27 241.60 252.77 266.24 296.32 344.77 376.31 398.87 459.22 630.71 2023-07-28 236.07 247.49 269.91 296.59 324.88 344.25 393.14 458.81 555.58 2023-07-29 231.86 242.17 259.26 292.48 335.31 344.20 391.06 411.91 480.51 2023-07-30 228.00 245.00 259.62 298.48 330.42 354.69 382.30 421.81 517.92 2023-07-31 223.06 236.81 251.52 287.93 315.71 350.85 369.30 394.09 470.11