Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-02 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-02 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-02 5603.42 5603.42 5603.42 5603.42 5603.42 5603.42 5603.42 5603.42 5603.42 2023-05-03 6257.48 6257.48 6257.48 6257.48 6257.48 6257.48 6257.48 6257.48 6257.48 2023-05-04 6351.32 6351.32 6351.32 6351.32 6351.32 6351.32 6351.32 6351.32 6351.32 2023-05-05 6249.29 6249.29 6249.29 6249.29 6249.29 6249.29 6249.29 6249.29 6249.29 2023-05-06 5631.36 5631.36 5631.36 5631.36 5631.36 5631.36 5631.36 5631.36 5631.36 2023-05-07 4614.52 4614.52 4614.52 4614.52 4614.52 4614.52 4614.52 4614.52 4614.52 2023-05-08 3986.91 3986.91 3986.91 3986.91 3986.91 3986.91 3986.91 3986.91 3986.91 2023-05-09 3594.71 3594.72 3594.72 3594.72 3594.73 3594.73 3594.74 3594.74 3594.75 2023-05-10 3455.33 3455.59 3455.74 3455.89 3456.16 3457.28 3458.95 3462.81 3515.55 2023-05-11 3382.46 3388.90 3408.05 3418.83 3423.84 3436.02 3450.30 3526.32 3609.97 2023-05-12 3263.39 3300.11 3335.45 3369.96 3431.42 3464.61 3504.49 3531.52 3742.23 2023-05-13 3089.24 3191.11 3306.78 3374.20 3417.68 3485.67 3593.04 3729.95 3778.90 2023-05-14 2994.45 3044.51 3140.43 3324.81 3436.40 3511.50 3607.52 3870.97 4039.20 2023-05-15 2700.43 2847.00 3077.41 3294.62 3477.53 3672.27 3867.64 3988.44 4306.03 2023-05-16 2605.97 2776.05 2904.43 3261.48 3627.57 3764.72 4069.64 4281.52 4380.60 2023-05-17 2482.54 2775.88 3114.89 3534.28 3755.34 3905.31 4151.00 4356.35 4547.12 2023-05-18 2629.46 2739.87 3173.74 3500.51 3808.23 3987.38 4201.42 4436.46 4648.34 2023-05-19 2583.41 2934.79 2987.47 3284.40 3713.57 4102.62 4134.79 4349.45 4659.61 2023-05-20 2521.06 2823.64 3021.79 3267.95 3907.35 3994.57 4060.54 4418.88 4543.78 2023-05-21 2437.07 2908.93 3080.51 3497.60 3761.41 3831.55 4107.20 4225.60 4487.95 2023-05-22 2400.90 2952.57 3214.17 3514.95 3598.28 3811.99 3941.42 4273.55 4712.31 2023-05-23 2625.05 3006.21 3188.22 3523.80 3608.53 3718.45 3951.02 4147.24 4452.58 2023-05-24 2536.40 3059.30 3204.23 3316.83 3428.08 3607.79 3772.03 4039.53 4416.23 2023-05-25 2635.51 2842.08 3081.18 3283.60 3387.11 3533.00 3682.58 3947.59 4459.87 2023-05-26 2536.82 2926.49 3035.13 3149.47 3220.06 3408.41 3540.51 3850.41 4918.38 2023-05-27 2598.30 2867.93 2956.91 3056.52 3274.14 3412.60 3678.23 3847.35 4639.99 2023-05-28 2629.00 2855.65 2965.34 3083.85 3180.09 3345.40 3674.20 3929.12 4344.83 2023-05-29 2548.85 2763.54 2992.21 3160.02 3365.22 3499.40 3731.61 3844.94 4037.17 2023-05-30 2317.23 2784.32 3112.91 3163.95 3312.70 3532.50 3667.33 3883.11 4335.45 2023-05-31 2362.50 2676.99 2924.53 3126.42 3313.36 3469.75 3575.72 3909.94 4597.59 2023-06-01 2262.74 2530.72 2796.85 3024.61 3229.47 3320.92 3553.23 3787.44 4565.83 2023-06-02 2351.51 2560.51 2789.84 2930.85 3211.64 3332.72 3508.71 3920.47 4625.89 2023-06-03 2328.39 2539.05 2753.15 3145.28 3281.53 3417.04 3588.09 4020.04 4454.76 2023-06-04 2239.50 2638.84 2826.64 2903.31 3335.82 3503.56 3700.28 3976.56 4460.48 2023-06-05 2273.43 2447.96 2753.88 2926.30 3165.61 3473.55 3713.98 3844.69 4365.18 2023-06-06 2178.99 2479.43 2699.94 2859.59 3093.22 3394.16 3553.17 3898.92 4544.90 2023-06-07 2043.72 2416.51 2579.02 2875.64 3134.90 3411.25 3694.56 3935.21 4442.80 2023-06-08 2005.15 2343.10 2498.44 2588.88 2964.26 3167.30 3782.50 4058.42 4405.10 2023-06-09 1925.13 2108.77 2418.30 2674.37 2700.68 2888.85 3508.59 3959.36 4426.67 2023-06-10 1760.67 2097.03 2335.56 2430.64 2500.18 2769.09 3105.93 3773.84 4023.03 2023-06-11 1668.70 1947.31 2076.81 2301.54 2479.16 2539.80 3175.22 3653.30 4000.24 2023-06-12 1587.59 1900.81 1992.08 2240.08 2284.89 2445.06 2764.06 3203.75 3646.77 2023-06-13 1684.24 1879.64 1948.10 2083.08 2180.70 2403.47 2668.32 3006.64 3306.59 2023-06-14 1620.85 1790.23 1833.52 1941.46 2097.07 2473.36 2656.79 2826.94 3506.14 2023-06-15 1538.40 1668.27 1756.73 1879.60 2093.90 2152.74 2431.04 2824.69 3528.37 2023-06-16 1509.51 1592.99 1731.92 1956.59 2047.46 2130.06 2216.38 2574.51 3385.03 2023-06-17 1457.56 1536.65 1625.96 1841.90 1942.62 2025.04 2125.06 2758.88 3129.50 2023-06-18 1365.70 1446.28 1508.74 1750.25 1791.38 2129.67 2301.48 2600.41 2979.38 2023-06-19 1284.15 1401.83 1433.27 1685.51 1759.87 1924.07 2245.07 2462.29 3064.98 2023-06-20 1202.02 1297.11 1391.34 1534.43 1851.89 1972.21 2084.66 2466.45 2786.83 2023-06-21 1130.17 1224.79 1423.72 1495.91 1854.36 1933.98 2103.77 2366.84 2604.15 2023-06-22 1051.20 1123.99 1314.63 1494.87 1718.97 1841.71 2003.73 2213.14 2761.96 2023-06-23 995.13 1042.34 1245.78 1523.86 1656.26 1764.57 1828.36 2077.61 2511.81 2023-06-24 914.00 974.82 1187.12 1373.17 1573.18 1703.21 1757.61 1925.82 2329.79 2023-06-25 831.32 916.90 1103.12 1334.35 1480.53 1588.92 1701.99 1800.50 2232.19 2023-06-26 765.98 842.30 1069.56 1228.40 1361.20 1550.95 1639.90 1761.65 2023.82 2023-06-27 712.10 768.17 1017.63 1171.06 1352.47 1537.07 1704.53 1833.13 1920.01 2023-06-28 652.08 699.41 930.36 1083.68 1204.79 1454.62 1578.19 1635.43 1973.04 2023-06-29 608.83 646.95 897.67 993.74 1097.62 1311.65 1496.40 1598.50 1931.36 2023-06-30 567.09 610.59 841.74 904.98 1036.19 1224.00 1378.57 1531.98 1719.27 2023-07-01 530.21 592.55 740.65 839.76 967.78 1126.53 1316.40 1435.38 1610.47 2023-07-02 497.86 537.18 711.85 782.86 929.41 1031.63 1141.38 1400.76 1509.74 2023-07-03 466.79 544.06 653.86 725.47 870.83 971.45 1110.49 1293.08 1418.51 2023-07-04 438.53 521.31 590.18 663.88 848.59 916.04 1028.14 1162.73 1363.28 2023-07-05 413.25 473.26 551.42 607.45 774.07 860.04 967.74 1067.06 1273.19 2023-07-06 392.03 436.58 504.54 562.90 691.43 786.55 874.21 1021.99 1181.91 2023-07-07 379.80 430.49 468.25 525.73 630.11 721.10 832.23 1024.98 1133.65 2023-07-08 363.22 403.77 454.20 493.31 583.51 660.90 753.25 854.64 1109.18 2023-07-09 348.93 393.28 430.02 495.55 550.55 611.07 705.42 798.18 1096.45 2023-07-10 336.57 371.53 405.77 470.23 546.16 577.14 692.06 848.91 1068.40 2023-07-11 322.12 362.69 384.95 445.88 485.39 561.34 666.07 793.51 964.02 2023-07-12 344.69 376.51 398.94 450.58 516.40 613.55 728.04 801.10 896.59 2023-07-13 339.31 365.74 392.92 432.04 479.83 598.18 680.44 758.45 829.94 2023-07-14 335.64 349.93 377.94 427.68 466.82 536.47 583.78 708.49 906.45 2023-07-15 325.02 347.15 372.32 404.12 433.54 471.12 537.41 646.55 798.88 2023-07-16 314.27 335.38 372.46 388.47 408.41 446.29 508.07 632.06 689.78 2023-07-17 306.42 333.52 355.74 364.38 388.28 411.97 490.33 591.48 710.71 2023-07-18 297.88 323.28 338.44 356.22 381.44 411.81 467.77 528.50 692.86 2023-07-19 289.88 308.56 318.81 337.42 362.24 391.16 433.97 521.85 750.94 2023-07-20 281.50 300.90 309.26 326.31 343.59 371.37 401.75 512.97 624.32 2023-07-21 273.63 291.90 301.47 321.36 344.76 378.10 402.57 492.91 612.30 2023-07-22 264.81 283.30 288.73 314.77 341.04 365.49 391.70 468.91 616.94 2023-07-23 257.84 272.32 292.47 311.77 338.72 380.42 422.52 461.41 614.74 2023-07-24 252.90 263.89 277.87 299.42 328.46 353.91 401.69 453.38 528.94 2023-07-25 254.77 267.42 278.74 298.07 322.67 334.09 391.35 458.53 534.24 2023-07-26 248.80 261.26 283.25 298.83 311.95 356.55 376.71 449.07 583.84 2023-07-27 242.94 254.38 267.45 299.51 344.73 375.39 398.97 457.98 636.24 2023-07-28 237.31 248.37 273.28 297.85 326.50 344.26 392.34 458.84 554.64 2023-07-29 233.55 243.76 261.38 293.32 335.01 342.58 391.31 410.84 475.91 2023-07-30 230.57 245.03 263.06 302.28 328.46 354.67 385.32 418.61 517.24 2023-07-31 225.53 237.38 254.16 288.52 315.29 352.71 369.77 393.53 470.32