Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-04 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-04 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-04 6033.08 6033.08 6033.08 6033.08 6033.08 6033.08 6033.08 6033.08 6033.08 2023-05-05 6136.28 6136.28 6136.28 6136.28 6136.28 6136.28 6136.28 6136.28 6136.28 2023-05-06 5803.22 5803.22 5803.22 5803.22 5803.22 5803.22 5803.22 5803.22 5803.22 2023-05-07 4678.41 4678.41 4678.41 4678.41 4678.41 4678.41 4678.41 4678.41 4678.41 2023-05-08 3968.68 3968.68 3968.68 3968.68 3968.68 3968.68 3968.68 3968.68 3968.68 2023-05-09 3704.72 3704.72 3704.72 3704.72 3704.72 3704.72 3704.72 3704.72 3704.72 2023-05-10 3749.57 3749.57 3749.57 3749.57 3749.57 3749.57 3749.57 3749.57 3749.57 2023-05-11 3974.77 3974.78 3974.78 3974.78 3974.78 3974.79 3974.79 3974.80 3974.80 2023-05-12 4029.79 4029.98 4030.17 4030.27 4030.59 4035.06 4035.40 4042.09 4060.32 2023-05-13 3715.51 3730.70 3746.13 3763.97 3779.04 3796.09 3807.10 3820.50 3958.26 2023-05-14 3375.80 3475.96 3564.12 3615.01 3665.63 3675.14 3731.84 3783.06 3903.17 2023-05-15 3163.66 3333.54 3504.41 3640.23 3680.13 3738.75 3798.31 3921.10 4012.39 2023-05-16 3162.21 3239.59 3396.50 3612.39 3752.44 3863.64 3970.81 4055.67 4188.85 2023-05-17 2906.99 3146.78 3481.17 3691.95 3812.68 3929.30 4035.12 4217.05 4359.35 2023-05-18 2885.40 3030.96 3433.37 3655.54 3869.57 3978.25 4120.44 4413.40 4627.47 2023-05-19 2741.65 3063.59 3197.98 3380.75 3781.89 4038.70 4204.16 4403.17 4640.85 2023-05-20 2646.58 2992.73 3081.54 3479.42 3900.45 4010.87 4103.56 4422.37 4557.55 2023-05-21 2531.03 3020.72 3174.53 3517.67 3798.97 3870.86 4122.13 4226.20 4533.41 2023-05-22 2477.67 3053.51 3265.16 3514.54 3654.89 3783.92 3932.48 4297.84 4669.10 2023-05-23 2727.82 3002.73 3247.55 3508.79 3606.13 3681.49 3986.35 4130.88 4412.63 2023-05-24 2538.38 3101.69 3202.37 3359.03 3420.02 3626.96 3782.80 3980.56 4415.57 2023-05-25 2607.42 2840.32 3119.47 3272.17 3377.69 3532.76 3692.59 3941.20 4531.69 2023-05-26 2560.26 2934.15 3045.64 3148.76 3215.58 3399.83 3564.57 3844.26 4970.60 2023-05-27 2644.01 2855.19 2940.71 3035.68 3220.43 3422.04 3634.85 3897.15 4526.62 2023-05-28 2605.83 2842.90 2970.33 3057.61 3167.58 3322.50 3651.58 3921.76 4345.64 2023-05-29 2392.89 2765.95 2984.71 3120.30 3318.99 3440.98 3694.18 3843.38 4063.39 2023-05-30 2307.93 2776.21 3063.25 3143.15 3284.74 3376.50 3567.86 3837.67 4392.09 2023-05-31 2373.56 2660.64 2880.68 3108.93 3266.62 3402.04 3508.89 3954.27 4719.10 2023-06-01 2264.40 2532.85 2779.54 2935.97 3134.59 3326.89 3428.12 3806.33 4486.85 2023-06-02 2334.75 2570.50 2723.27 2931.01 3118.88 3284.74 3509.94 3837.31 4490.46 2023-06-03 2347.83 2490.87 2732.50 3061.40 3241.85 3314.17 3501.79 3925.00 4272.67 2023-06-04 2260.19 2594.49 2748.93 2846.57 3284.68 3389.51 3586.83 3784.39 4358.36 2023-06-05 2280.39 2457.97 2690.83 2854.78 3044.84 3340.33 3620.40 3757.30 4134.79 2023-06-06 2158.00 2472.94 2591.91 2780.39 3052.53 3295.22 3395.93 3841.96 4347.46 2023-06-07 2024.95 2374.64 2489.02 2776.54 2993.01 3314.91 3663.02 3818.17 4301.15 2023-06-08 1942.67 2216.32 2374.50 2552.23 2798.10 3098.50 3568.27 4054.91 4211.30 2023-06-09 1884.21 2079.63 2363.39 2552.91 2639.81 2743.19 3430.65 3751.03 3948.56 2023-06-10 1752.84 2067.95 2187.05 2316.96 2428.40 2651.46 2929.59 3543.54 3742.49 2023-06-11 1652.52 1870.65 2032.42 2160.13 2403.34 2469.39 2970.93 3365.08 3925.47 2023-06-12 1585.91 1852.20 1948.09 2142.34 2196.47 2367.38 2570.63 3112.45 3552.97 2023-06-13 1675.13 1814.37 1898.43 2038.59 2091.01 2270.26 2467.90 2762.67 3228.92 2023-06-14 1592.03 1732.01 1801.91 1870.15 2013.10 2271.89 2451.37 2632.21 3305.78 2023-06-15 1524.93 1586.30 1703.85 1845.28 1981.21 2058.11 2251.65 2529.32 3292.70 2023-06-16 1428.73 1573.84 1665.38 1885.60 1978.66 2009.49 2114.08 2358.92 3269.44 2023-06-17 1399.55 1474.34 1580.18 1758.36 1834.68 1905.63 2026.84 2527.79 2934.71 2023-06-18 1327.62 1389.46 1475.82 1664.03 1733.45 1889.07 2079.62 2344.89 2811.47 2023-06-19 1230.77 1325.14 1397.42 1563.20 1701.80 1793.66 2073.37 2212.16 2767.24 2023-06-20 1182.40 1245.29 1353.86 1481.93 1705.30 1853.88 1918.76 2206.80 2625.14 2023-06-21 1120.85 1164.21 1336.81 1443.00 1697.59 1816.91 1882.44 2133.43 2458.24 2023-06-22 1017.95 1073.30 1264.62 1437.35 1598.26 1716.47 1801.11 2050.91 2505.18 2023-06-23 937.57 1011.27 1227.18 1432.64 1560.31 1610.75 1735.90 1903.91 2310.83 2023-06-24 866.95 943.51 1174.34 1318.44 1458.20 1534.34 1664.63 1813.47 2137.54 2023-06-25 790.17 888.61 1059.46 1238.89 1350.52 1455.79 1598.46 1706.15 2028.03 2023-06-26 729.84 823.21 991.23 1174.36 1285.30 1432.18 1553.80 1646.45 1829.99 2023-06-27 675.66 750.47 925.26 1072.60 1279.45 1456.62 1568.97 1707.39 1856.65 2023-06-28 623.23 683.58 843.07 977.77 1125.79 1383.00 1470.42 1544.22 1849.73 2023-06-29 587.36 614.47 826.79 902.19 1061.42 1275.25 1356.90 1494.65 1820.56 2023-06-30 551.31 574.69 766.29 825.14 983.32 1166.49 1286.39 1428.34 1601.31 2023-07-01 525.22 561.15 704.01 733.70 890.13 1079.62 1214.78 1335.00 1465.46 2023-07-02 488.37 519.67 647.05 747.75 834.66 989.83 1092.43 1274.00 1383.42 2023-07-03 453.75 507.36 607.24 670.99 824.44 928.79 1013.79 1171.99 1292.81 2023-07-04 426.16 486.29 555.21 613.84 788.30 890.34 950.16 1031.60 1237.60 2023-07-05 402.60 459.82 512.69 574.01 720.43 798.09 904.28 964.11 1150.97 2023-07-06 382.61 421.61 476.11 532.32 637.01 725.62 816.95 914.52 1066.92 2023-07-07 373.64 408.09 446.36 499.97 568.92 674.39 774.54 940.75 1017.51 2023-07-08 357.92 381.65 428.49 459.99 528.99 617.21 689.56 775.50 999.26 2023-07-09 343.93 373.11 417.31 451.66 510.79 572.70 644.42 710.94 993.31 2023-07-10 332.06 354.41 396.38 434.45 498.29 547.75 641.85 774.55 991.68 2023-07-11 319.85 347.82 378.19 419.54 452.78 528.36 630.25 757.15 883.26 2023-07-12 341.94 367.88 391.81 424.14 491.31 552.00 692.41 756.64 833.85 2023-07-13 335.73 357.04 380.98 413.51 463.93 548.22 648.65 704.89 778.55 2023-07-14 324.11 338.13 363.73 399.90 455.19 500.59 558.80 642.50 832.75 2023-07-15 314.73 340.59 362.72 389.85 427.08 445.44 507.83 585.53 749.49 2023-07-16 304.70 328.31 354.94 384.96 402.04 420.23 475.36 569.08 649.81 2023-07-17 297.81 319.51 346.40 353.65 376.89 392.10 454.90 551.91 645.35 2023-07-18 290.07 316.69 331.53 342.68 365.78 393.64 442.54 488.99 656.84 2023-07-19 282.68 300.87 315.00 323.64 349.93 373.28 412.96 487.26 717.44 2023-07-20 275.15 290.72 304.83 315.42 338.33 360.28 385.90 477.51 584.70 2023-07-21 267.24 284.07 293.99 314.16 333.27 363.25 383.49 468.87 578.02 2023-07-22 260.17 277.14 284.39 306.75 329.37 355.56 374.71 446.00 588.16 2023-07-23 254.75 268.41 281.41 310.45 329.50 347.51 402.76 436.83 557.51 2023-07-24 248.65 262.40 269.50 299.06 321.25 332.35 385.85 419.29 504.78 2023-07-25 252.19 260.43 273.22 292.39 315.63 323.63 371.60 440.70 485.72 2023-07-26 248.34 256.50 282.73 290.89 307.41 333.32 358.39 436.06 565.66 2023-07-27 239.80 248.95 264.45 296.18 336.69 358.39 387.84 440.63 617.81 2023-07-28 234.69 244.56 271.38 290.79 316.67 335.64 371.02 442.44 539.42 2023-07-29 230.96 241.17 258.45 280.34 321.44 339.98 375.89 391.78 454.39 2023-07-30 230.98 241.64 261.52 301.28 318.03 342.30 374.46 399.75 506.93 2023-07-31 225.95 233.35 251.80 283.86 304.90 338.36 361.14 377.01 451.85