Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-05 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-05 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-05 6238.12 6238.12 6238.12 6238.12 6238.12 6238.12 6238.12 6238.12 6238.12 2023-05-06 5704.45 5704.45 5704.45 5704.45 5704.45 5704.45 5704.45 5704.45 5704.45 2023-05-07 4681.65 4681.65 4681.65 4681.65 4681.65 4681.65 4681.65 4681.65 4681.65 2023-05-08 4093.28 4093.28 4093.28 4093.28 4093.28 4093.28 4093.28 4093.28 4093.28 2023-05-09 3851.24 3851.24 3851.24 3851.24 3851.24 3851.24 3851.24 3851.24 3851.24 2023-05-10 3835.25 3835.25 3835.25 3835.25 3835.25 3835.25 3835.25 3835.25 3835.25 2023-05-11 4046.26 4046.26 4046.26 4046.26 4046.26 4046.26 4046.26 4046.26 4046.26 2023-05-12 4078.66 4078.66 4078.66 4078.67 4078.67 4078.68 4078.71 4078.72 4078.72 2023-05-13 3723.60 3723.91 3724.17 3724.59 3727.86 3728.25 3728.94 3737.18 3783.41 2023-05-14 3450.50 3466.96 3483.23 3505.32 3523.13 3539.49 3563.83 3653.72 3730.88 2023-05-15 3401.80 3495.63 3533.69 3634.78 3658.84 3686.03 3730.35 3773.13 3865.00 2023-05-16 3382.69 3490.92 3601.03 3739.43 3812.90 3869.83 3952.19 4027.60 4108.36 2023-05-17 3209.49 3410.94 3696.55 3837.07 3892.33 3983.08 4182.53 4206.14 4333.16 2023-05-18 3110.21 3250.43 3651.66 3821.37 3932.47 4032.33 4114.22 4369.56 4628.63 2023-05-19 2927.28 3250.16 3376.52 3511.51 3802.14 4161.39 4238.46 4411.68 4610.58 2023-05-20 2765.80 3094.27 3190.26 3586.84 3932.73 4049.26 4146.74 4438.49 4591.50 2023-05-21 2597.54 3109.92 3250.34 3616.83 3838.41 3906.46 4149.44 4260.51 4553.68 2023-05-22 2547.34 3138.01 3342.94 3587.73 3732.57 3829.25 3951.29 4306.33 4764.48 2023-05-23 2751.87 3021.84 3334.76 3559.77 3670.95 3722.06 4013.43 4176.85 4456.72 2023-05-24 2559.85 3146.61 3235.32 3420.66 3514.06 3670.97 3825.65 4050.80 4455.41 2023-05-25 2619.58 2880.86 3172.02 3329.39 3435.94 3555.33 3727.55 3980.47 4590.09 2023-05-26 2597.51 2998.47 3070.04 3187.01 3277.69 3397.55 3606.28 3887.17 5043.75 2023-05-27 2682.52 2894.91 2977.80 3070.06 3219.58 3457.85 3675.14 3941.10 4578.34 2023-05-28 2636.30 2865.92 2992.54 3093.07 3194.91 3368.25 3682.07 3953.72 4413.12 2023-05-29 2419.67 2800.96 3007.55 3145.89 3323.38 3456.26 3720.27 3877.74 4169.28 2023-05-30 2308.63 2804.15 3084.50 3188.31 3326.44 3455.64 3603.36 3808.72 4456.76 2023-05-31 2377.18 2690.69 2917.46 3148.75 3318.92 3436.58 3533.80 4083.76 4730.92 2023-06-01 2311.30 2582.54 2820.47 2961.89 3192.41 3356.60 3435.80 3897.85 4498.26 2023-06-02 2358.44 2616.35 2759.18 2955.81 3134.14 3296.16 3540.70 3859.69 4329.73 2023-06-03 2376.10 2517.13 2736.91 3150.02 3309.90 3368.01 3546.28 3925.41 4123.82 2023-06-04 2319.86 2614.71 2770.49 2874.06 3319.49 3428.70 3583.53 3845.18 4259.77 2023-06-05 2318.04 2502.31 2720.86 2917.60 3073.04 3359.16 3637.01 3813.30 3933.05 2023-06-06 2183.27 2501.68 2651.10 2743.52 3126.19 3318.79 3501.40 3842.45 4364.01 2023-06-07 2078.70 2372.82 2500.53 2780.25 3085.86 3446.37 3552.16 3817.32 4327.34 2023-06-08 1949.02 2261.00 2375.24 2590.68 2849.53 3145.16 3571.61 4079.97 4256.07 2023-06-09 1903.03 2135.93 2365.68 2572.51 2646.29 2748.33 3472.35 3761.58 4019.28 2023-06-10 1792.07 2085.14 2256.48 2294.15 2469.89 2750.50 2912.46 3567.97 3785.73 2023-06-11 1687.45 1886.09 2063.08 2173.34 2447.40 2546.47 3005.43 3426.69 3924.28 2023-06-12 1621.76 1870.30 1953.71 2105.98 2236.44 2394.82 2648.58 3146.48 3513.02 2023-06-13 1678.33 1836.74 1910.28 2062.65 2102.11 2316.34 2548.62 2738.09 3277.74 2023-06-14 1618.38 1758.37 1833.46 1881.15 2035.53 2313.12 2462.81 2639.82 3279.92 2023-06-15 1551.05 1586.80 1728.32 1891.18 2015.59 2089.58 2276.05 2529.92 3276.29 2023-06-16 1429.57 1611.35 1667.34 1853.43 2004.69 2054.14 2113.62 2406.50 3324.24 2023-06-17 1421.12 1507.55 1595.25 1739.32 1858.65 1926.89 2017.21 2527.72 2942.89 2023-06-18 1332.26 1395.95 1497.86 1660.31 1763.59 1922.38 2072.23 2369.99 2815.20 2023-06-19 1257.02 1331.60 1427.20 1587.88 1722.13 1820.86 2054.02 2219.59 2769.41 2023-06-20 1200.87 1252.32 1360.67 1494.98 1721.70 1861.56 1953.83 2186.47 2602.64 2023-06-21 1137.63 1187.57 1339.45 1476.10 1718.68 1819.66 1918.44 2169.33 2464.81 2023-06-22 1037.40 1095.48 1278.59 1454.62 1612.67 1729.74 1807.46 2081.17 2551.09 2023-06-23 960.07 1023.67 1182.92 1445.40 1543.70 1622.18 1732.78 1925.77 2285.55 2023-06-24 872.93 954.02 1142.79 1351.24 1457.70 1558.61 1662.67 1841.27 2184.19 2023-06-25 810.57 897.15 1061.74 1275.18 1363.22 1467.01 1606.46 1707.84 2049.29 2023-06-26 745.43 840.90 998.94 1191.53 1323.68 1413.80 1574.21 1644.42 1846.23 2023-06-27 692.67 767.81 912.17 1090.34 1280.43 1471.46 1567.98 1720.17 1950.49 2023-06-28 633.68 701.18 836.88 989.99 1149.76 1392.86 1475.07 1573.77 1851.53 2023-06-29 589.98 629.20 795.56 908.59 1084.67 1310.02 1363.15 1519.83 1799.16 2023-06-30 554.07 580.27 729.77 826.10 997.43 1199.73 1295.64 1430.50 1599.59 2023-07-01 532.32 563.93 680.04 745.69 903.00 1111.89 1222.92 1338.99 1449.50 2023-07-02 493.10 526.73 641.40 731.96 842.01 1014.36 1113.19 1282.49 1369.35 2023-07-03 461.74 508.80 610.70 665.40 830.96 945.86 1026.81 1172.99 1280.18 2023-07-04 433.80 490.89 554.37 618.10 802.11 909.47 960.77 1045.18 1226.13 2023-07-05 409.31 463.67 512.05 583.89 742.30 804.00 914.43 979.09 1140.41 2023-07-06 388.60 426.89 478.57 550.98 649.47 728.39 840.97 914.19 1066.26 2023-07-07 375.50 412.28 449.05 510.37 584.22 681.16 788.12 937.66 1008.34 2023-07-08 359.66 386.43 424.96 475.52 534.00 623.44 692.85 780.92 993.05 2023-07-09 345.56 373.48 422.69 459.40 517.23 577.79 653.01 712.83 995.39 2023-07-10 333.10 354.72 400.19 438.99 485.84 559.67 649.56 790.85 991.35 2023-07-11 321.64 347.47 383.76 416.19 455.25 539.63 643.04 779.13 876.21 2023-07-12 343.67 367.99 396.46 429.52 503.93 553.95 697.10 773.08 828.26 2023-07-13 336.47 357.89 389.26 411.53 476.52 548.67 653.32 703.19 778.98 2023-07-14 325.05 339.75 371.12 404.74 458.70 507.31 561.53 636.72 831.26 2023-07-15 315.30 342.80 362.16 391.69 425.32 454.74 514.28 580.64 760.33 2023-07-16 306.20 330.56 353.26 386.19 400.44 423.94 476.21 564.39 650.98 2023-07-17 298.41 324.77 349.09 357.11 378.31 398.48 459.24 553.34 645.64 2023-07-18 290.73 315.56 335.12 343.43 370.12 394.35 445.83 485.90 657.65 2023-07-19 283.29 301.30 316.41 326.10 355.65 375.05 416.08 487.27 718.15 2023-07-20 275.85 291.33 309.12 317.89 338.75 361.74 387.15 476.95 584.97 2023-07-21 268.11 283.75 295.05 316.75 338.56 366.26 381.25 465.36 581.62 2023-07-22 260.99 278.26 285.53 307.97 332.97 355.90 373.54 444.33 590.51 2023-07-23 255.67 269.27 281.09 314.41 328.89 346.43 402.32 434.78 557.76 2023-07-24 249.92 263.29 268.04 302.48 322.49 333.20 385.38 419.87 503.82 2023-07-25 254.15 259.66 275.29 294.41 315.74 325.32 371.09 441.36 495.75 2023-07-26 248.53 257.34 286.64 292.53 310.30 334.50 357.80 435.38 567.95 2023-07-27 240.97 249.39 266.75 298.80 337.62 360.35 387.53 432.11 616.31 2023-07-28 235.84 245.70 274.46 289.05 317.13 334.89 369.99 443.72 540.87 2023-07-29 231.70 241.22 260.68 282.09 316.75 342.31 376.70 391.29 459.45 2023-07-30 233.81 243.11 264.16 304.55 319.12 339.29 374.41 403.46 506.94 2023-07-31 228.59 233.97 252.42 284.86 305.23 335.90 362.02 373.23 451.76