Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-06 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-06 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-06 5675.96 5675.96 5675.96 5675.96 5675.96 5675.96 5675.96 5675.96 5675.96 2023-05-07 4574.69 4574.69 4574.69 4574.69 4574.69 4574.69 4574.69 4574.69 4574.69 2023-05-08 4046.32 4046.32 4046.32 4046.32 4046.32 4046.32 4046.32 4046.32 4046.32 2023-05-09 3836.20 3836.20 3836.20 3836.20 3836.20 3836.20 3836.20 3836.20 3836.20 2023-05-10 3874.27 3874.27 3874.27 3874.27 3874.27 3874.27 3874.27 3874.27 3874.27 2023-05-11 4067.87 4067.87 4067.87 4067.87 4067.87 4067.87 4067.87 4067.87 4067.87 2023-05-12 3911.00 3911.01 3911.01 3911.01 3911.01 3911.01 3911.01 3911.01 3911.01 2023-05-13 3540.15 3540.15 3540.17 3540.18 3540.18 3540.19 3540.19 3540.19 3540.20 2023-05-14 3518.05 3518.58 3518.88 3519.11 3520.12 3539.03 3541.90 3557.83 3594.74 2023-05-15 3702.07 3718.57 3730.11 3745.01 3765.37 3809.20 3841.82 3896.25 4037.32 2023-05-16 3738.39 3787.41 3851.70 3883.34 3932.95 3977.58 4037.97 4116.36 4193.57 2023-05-17 3596.64 3675.01 3886.08 3947.42 3966.68 4051.71 4155.83 4243.57 4355.71 2023-05-18 3509.79 3585.79 3696.05 3922.80 3971.86 4066.43 4244.52 4335.12 4525.36 2023-05-19 3234.06 3357.00 3494.37 3589.85 3868.45 4113.31 4218.90 4422.66 4556.19 2023-05-20 2917.15 3159.23 3279.23 3649.78 3930.32 4090.67 4177.00 4387.96 4551.17 2023-05-21 2636.12 3071.62 3285.35 3522.58 3855.78 3904.39 4115.55 4329.40 4526.74 2023-05-22 2608.56 3084.02 3366.99 3556.09 3750.99 3834.39 3965.78 4296.00 4737.68 2023-05-23 2706.49 2991.14 3234.08 3596.42 3656.15 3742.19 4028.02 4160.37 4423.47 2023-05-24 2536.87 3160.37 3178.51 3344.55 3493.47 3658.02 3841.55 4053.71 4416.14 2023-05-25 2652.64 2843.11 3167.05 3287.88 3374.64 3552.39 3700.06 3936.05 4613.48 2023-05-26 2607.96 3002.53 3052.29 3085.09 3238.44 3379.85 3594.09 3857.23 5005.69 2023-05-27 2688.64 2880.67 2925.05 3043.62 3169.53 3450.48 3661.11 3923.66 4562.23 2023-05-28 2593.24 2848.97 2982.83 3056.91 3134.28 3244.95 3663.40 3934.69 4371.26 2023-05-29 2378.66 2783.33 2978.50 3134.32 3242.09 3323.85 3691.76 3866.58 4171.05 2023-05-30 2305.26 2780.81 3061.12 3137.00 3252.89 3330.53 3575.53 3755.04 4432.46 2023-05-31 2378.85 2648.46 2903.55 3055.66 3230.54 3391.93 3487.23 4048.12 4697.91 2023-06-01 2307.90 2555.65 2785.54 2878.76 3123.55 3199.61 3376.49 3861.59 4460.15 2023-06-02 2331.85 2577.97 2731.56 2832.87 3036.03 3254.41 3506.11 3792.32 4249.03 2023-06-03 2337.20 2485.83 2635.72 2842.04 3251.76 3319.93 3538.85 3872.77 4087.53 2023-06-04 2317.99 2560.62 2662.71 2813.85 3197.09 3411.52 3523.90 3794.01 4199.68 2023-06-05 2280.59 2454.70 2594.78 2865.43 3027.94 3301.35 3561.95 3721.94 3899.71 2023-06-06 2154.26 2446.94 2557.47 2695.65 3114.01 3260.97 3412.14 3728.38 4216.28 2023-06-07 2074.43 2298.54 2441.47 2687.30 3069.10 3344.55 3512.09 3775.15 4087.85 2023-06-08 1906.88 2193.72 2338.09 2558.45 2788.47 3086.96 3469.81 3885.97 4132.76 2023-06-09 1892.83 2000.70 2301.01 2542.27 2612.61 2717.15 3368.10 3596.95 3864.16 2023-06-10 1779.93 1967.95 2161.59 2242.30 2443.60 2753.76 2824.79 3434.95 3727.66 2023-06-11 1685.33 1828.31 1997.84 2108.28 2407.35 2529.90 2852.90 3294.96 3853.33 2023-06-12 1613.02 1837.59 1901.33 2055.25 2140.03 2330.73 2559.32 3050.94 3485.30 2023-06-13 1641.71 1800.02 1899.05 2010.17 2088.20 2248.16 2438.20 2627.08 3203.97 2023-06-14 1606.08 1737.62 1800.98 1876.78 2002.97 2217.95 2370.87 2491.10 3121.61 2023-06-15 1543.99 1565.43 1717.17 1894.49 1973.38 2051.45 2135.44 2351.67 3195.64 2023-06-16 1399.32 1596.46 1654.28 1785.77 1910.26 2009.72 2063.46 2356.62 3263.58 2023-06-17 1390.66 1499.83 1583.34 1661.94 1801.28 1888.33 2002.45 2435.60 2828.72 2023-06-18 1315.38 1368.52 1486.95 1611.62 1707.62 1840.19 2011.02 2310.45 2699.88 2023-06-19 1250.34 1309.01 1410.40 1568.04 1667.45 1739.95 1916.39 2074.18 2697.52 2023-06-20 1175.48 1246.18 1326.26 1480.13 1649.66 1763.51 1898.52 2072.70 2484.40 2023-06-21 1125.39 1174.65 1303.57 1463.07 1625.47 1726.47 1890.01 2078.23 2402.13 2023-06-22 1026.03 1084.58 1262.19 1414.60 1512.54 1687.08 1754.92 2052.33 2483.77 2023-06-23 955.90 1011.51 1166.56 1422.08 1459.30 1562.04 1681.85 1881.42 2231.68 2023-06-24 868.87 939.91 1116.56 1341.46 1388.18 1476.34 1611.57 1836.70 2162.44 2023-06-25 803.92 883.98 1036.57 1253.91 1311.36 1407.14 1513.76 1692.48 1980.25 2023-06-26 739.93 833.84 979.42 1158.29 1290.57 1366.83 1448.70 1622.00 1815.66 2023-06-27 681.80 761.06 910.02 1058.51 1244.73 1336.51 1517.68 1681.97 1913.33 2023-06-28 623.65 697.26 829.65 960.25 1141.74 1284.91 1436.42 1575.77 1820.68 2023-06-29 576.60 626.62 766.65 870.36 1071.36 1226.77 1317.65 1487.03 1734.80 2023-06-30 541.30 580.91 703.22 792.34 976.16 1183.86 1232.90 1319.43 1557.38 2023-07-01 522.80 552.08 654.55 722.39 883.52 1105.98 1129.25 1314.44 1395.20 2023-07-02 483.28 520.88 617.08 690.84 825.89 1008.71 1067.85 1233.55 1315.61 2023-07-03 457.79 497.21 595.34 643.63 803.48 918.47 1006.47 1119.43 1230.06 2023-07-04 431.46 483.20 538.39 597.98 782.61 848.92 926.92 1022.19 1176.44 2023-07-05 408.04 454.62 495.11 564.50 732.18 781.15 829.12 969.52 1094.69 2023-07-06 387.38 422.44 466.08 528.69 637.05 707.86 753.32 891.89 1027.09 2023-07-07 371.98 408.59 438.13 493.23 567.24 642.06 738.77 912.01 985.35 2023-07-08 355.99 385.57 414.96 467.26 516.14 578.86 670.10 760.55 962.59 2023-07-09 340.76 370.76 415.69 454.23 502.18 564.18 610.49 693.85 975.57 2023-07-10 329.26 347.92 394.49 431.31 466.35 546.18 585.23 780.29 962.29 2023-07-11 315.58 340.74 378.21 403.50 439.08 511.41 639.64 780.78 841.95 2023-07-12 338.76 362.30 393.31 423.42 475.78 512.96 687.90 761.38 822.74 2023-07-13 332.71 352.84 390.99 406.31 455.85 506.23 634.90 683.68 759.14 2023-07-14 321.96 338.38 371.27 399.90 438.56 500.27 551.75 613.00 797.68 2023-07-15 311.71 337.98 361.80 384.50 408.95 439.51 505.03 558.79 739.15 2023-07-16 304.04 326.64 350.83 373.05 393.11 411.39 473.05 543.51 637.00 2023-07-17 296.36 320.98 343.74 353.61 367.12 391.86 452.35 544.03 628.94 2023-07-18 288.75 314.40 330.78 337.75 356.42 382.05 435.32 474.80 643.65 2023-07-19 281.43 298.89 317.23 322.40 341.84 364.75 398.67 477.73 700.59 2023-07-20 274.10 288.42 307.99 314.04 332.22 351.23 374.72 465.11 574.28 2023-07-21 266.65 280.06 295.35 315.49 331.63 352.91 371.32 452.33 574.94 2023-07-22 259.79 273.81 283.97 302.29 326.12 347.43 372.45 435.46 583.79 2023-07-23 254.54 266.83 277.96 311.85 323.70 340.10 394.28 430.62 538.77 2023-07-24 248.85 260.76 267.43 294.87 313.65 328.01 378.81 412.01 498.25 2023-07-25 253.38 257.28 274.15 291.88 305.52 323.30 365.20 434.96 489.74 2023-07-26 246.60 256.04 285.99 289.98 303.42 325.47 352.58 425.85 562.48 2023-07-27 240.64 248.45 265.87 295.66 323.17 353.90 383.95 427.18 606.68 2023-07-28 234.96 245.21 273.46 286.64 315.55 329.48 346.53 429.54 536.40 2023-07-29 230.06 240.16 259.92 279.56 312.02 340.14 358.73 387.66 457.19 2023-07-30 232.45 242.14 263.21 303.19 313.79 334.20 365.18 401.28 503.43 2023-07-31 226.91 232.44 250.62 281.15 297.74 329.38 357.61 368.50 446.15