Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-09 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-09 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-09 3912.62 3912.62 3912.62 3912.62 3912.62 3912.62 3912.62 3912.62 3912.62 2023-05-10 4107.57 4107.57 4107.57 4107.57 4107.57 4107.57 4107.57 4107.57 4107.57 2023-05-11 4919.47 4919.47 4919.47 4919.47 4919.47 4919.47 4919.47 4919.47 4919.47 2023-05-12 4985.45 4985.45 4985.45 4985.45 4985.45 4985.45 4985.45 4985.45 4985.45 2023-05-13 4322.71 4322.71 4322.71 4322.71 4322.71 4322.71 4322.71 4322.71 4322.71 2023-05-14 4125.00 4125.00 4125.00 4125.00 4125.00 4125.00 4125.00 4125.00 4125.00 2023-05-15 4355.86 4355.86 4355.86 4355.86 4355.86 4355.86 4355.86 4355.86 4355.86 2023-05-16 4537.81 4537.82 4537.83 4537.83 4537.84 4537.84 4537.84 4537.85 4537.85 2023-05-17 4418.00 4418.34 4418.59 4418.69 4418.84 4429.77 4438.35 4457.34 4544.75 2023-05-18 4216.43 4242.26 4253.75 4263.37 4272.20 4293.19 4395.63 4479.72 4923.72 2023-05-19 4096.49 4177.39 4258.57 4273.96 4289.19 4314.62 4365.92 4449.81 4692.70 2023-05-20 3919.43 4050.95 4136.85 4166.33 4221.89 4300.20 4360.45 4421.39 4517.50 2023-05-21 3580.25 3827.67 4012.24 4039.49 4067.51 4219.54 4347.05 4386.97 4475.81 2023-05-22 3264.79 3603.55 3830.49 3917.97 3999.75 4114.69 4222.06 4347.42 4647.25 2023-05-23 3116.66 3312.09 3633.51 3818.67 3898.15 4000.82 4105.07 4224.69 4460.23 2023-05-24 2870.18 3246.42 3362.80 3501.64 3649.22 3750.04 3978.82 4142.95 4477.47 2023-05-25 2704.72 3041.34 3275.82 3376.42 3495.66 3613.07 3712.88 4029.00 4897.84 2023-05-26 2710.99 3047.58 3122.70 3219.18 3306.59 3518.31 3647.63 3875.49 4924.05 2023-05-27 2671.85 2885.36 3025.23 3100.28 3227.20 3481.04 3702.75 3951.16 4675.69 2023-05-28 2653.67 2899.13 2993.52 3073.77 3167.39 3282.58 3698.49 3924.89 4353.52 2023-05-29 2421.90 2787.86 2946.43 3112.43 3227.24 3317.84 3665.14 3848.21 4120.09 2023-05-30 2382.74 2767.72 2960.53 3124.07 3201.61 3315.37 3522.05 3714.76 4461.37 2023-05-31 2588.19 2643.27 2864.49 3018.63 3181.55 3312.83 3421.75 4018.87 4636.78 2023-06-01 2312.30 2571.64 2733.00 2842.02 3046.99 3110.30 3319.29 3849.09 4501.07 2023-06-02 2299.34 2533.19 2619.47 2803.98 3038.23 3205.73 3389.38 3708.93 4194.76 2023-06-03 2278.23 2432.85 2520.05 2763.05 3129.69 3303.70 3494.70 3837.97 4085.66 2023-06-04 2320.58 2410.61 2599.71 2733.11 3018.18 3372.82 3459.12 3892.16 4098.59 2023-06-05 2210.14 2392.25 2511.12 2848.51 2957.31 3190.89 3543.57 3635.52 3945.42 2023-06-06 2096.31 2372.83 2448.76 2631.38 3076.16 3201.80 3393.18 3707.16 3980.41 2023-06-07 1989.48 2218.38 2321.74 2617.53 3105.05 3284.88 3510.42 3671.11 4053.30 2023-06-08 1833.44 2087.50 2387.20 2536.36 2777.24 3071.71 3467.34 3719.72 4000.19 2023-06-09 1799.94 2055.07 2281.91 2468.12 2619.97 2810.93 3240.24 3422.23 3615.80 2023-06-10 1778.77 1933.28 2153.47 2227.90 2409.09 2583.81 2838.52 3205.39 3582.14 2023-06-11 1651.02 1757.64 2002.10 2101.24 2324.20 2493.13 2815.61 3125.41 3577.45 2023-06-12 1665.51 1783.17 1889.56 1989.69 2146.86 2321.38 2413.56 2879.78 3346.95 2023-06-13 1610.09 1762.02 1885.88 1936.10 2036.32 2262.61 2402.32 2504.14 3096.55 2023-06-14 1599.38 1712.85 1839.44 1887.39 1964.35 2094.73 2258.44 2420.17 2861.20 2023-06-15 1490.61 1586.75 1747.11 1844.18 1906.38 1966.72 2078.78 2176.96 3019.02 2023-06-16 1378.49 1575.92 1674.50 1755.47 1803.35 1931.49 2068.51 2344.48 2960.63 2023-06-17 1372.64 1547.19 1585.10 1649.27 1716.20 1831.91 1981.91 2268.19 2679.53 2023-06-18 1338.49 1412.96 1513.83 1591.16 1721.75 1762.17 1918.98 2284.82 2591.55 2023-06-19 1270.82 1336.58 1465.78 1537.91 1648.24 1760.62 1830.56 1992.22 2569.04 2023-06-20 1181.24 1284.17 1361.96 1518.70 1580.76 1707.37 1868.29 2007.20 2433.47 2023-06-21 1146.23 1195.25 1285.87 1494.89 1571.20 1638.42 1816.73 2171.56 2265.23 2023-06-22 1073.45 1106.30 1261.08 1427.89 1469.32 1608.34 1721.39 2079.83 2294.50 2023-06-23 989.60 1046.33 1180.06 1401.76 1442.63 1533.43 1641.98 1842.00 2161.28 2023-06-24 908.06 973.94 1102.48 1345.85 1391.47 1442.04 1579.53 1828.58 1957.04 2023-06-25 835.02 892.96 1025.86 1209.47 1305.12 1409.89 1505.16 1644.64 1839.97 2023-06-26 764.54 863.86 977.63 1157.38 1245.97 1335.29 1448.04 1584.91 1781.72 2023-06-27 710.30 811.44 921.92 1033.98 1172.91 1329.04 1497.34 1684.47 1825.98 2023-06-28 641.97 740.74 847.08 930.81 1121.20 1242.44 1417.40 1559.70 1685.06 2023-06-29 593.87 662.81 767.94 841.63 1063.20 1168.09 1326.30 1450.08 1594.10 2023-06-30 554.84 606.43 691.31 766.79 964.15 1116.43 1234.79 1356.19 1488.89 2023-07-01 519.42 566.50 644.62 711.36 872.12 1060.95 1135.12 1264.34 1362.79 2023-07-02 490.99 527.33 610.22 678.03 830.22 985.28 1084.62 1174.14 1309.98 2023-07-03 472.63 499.74 573.16 639.78 777.68 899.44 1011.99 1099.01 1220.34 2023-07-04 440.83 485.46 533.31 608.73 756.88 834.73 924.91 1054.88 1124.75 2023-07-05 414.04 469.04 493.24 566.69 705.67 754.34 823.58 1014.81 1053.17 2023-07-06 391.34 437.38 461.31 522.33 634.09 676.66 787.22 907.62 998.12 2023-07-07 372.77 416.40 440.53 482.72 575.04 617.69 767.42 863.90 1031.84 2023-07-08 355.73 382.28 412.46 478.84 511.72 570.97 691.85 753.56 1004.88 2023-07-09 340.25 369.33 405.95 455.34 500.04 541.76 641.99 688.21 936.84 2023-07-10 329.64 349.59 383.62 427.93 472.22 549.10 613.17 790.58 900.08 2023-07-11 318.17 340.79 380.00 405.13 437.62 528.01 625.02 757.54 807.98 2023-07-12 338.42 361.55 389.14 433.17 455.65 533.84 659.11 741.71 815.11 2023-07-13 333.17 357.26 386.28 410.16 447.11 509.64 612.70 667.12 738.33 2023-07-14 322.65 341.13 371.78 390.17 441.45 500.85 550.74 585.12 740.53 2023-07-15 312.52 341.77 364.80 375.21 419.99 443.29 492.67 520.22 713.22 2023-07-16 307.86 328.78 349.50 363.06 401.09 420.71 471.26 512.87 652.36 2023-07-17 298.99 323.05 338.35 352.74 366.55 402.07 447.41 541.11 619.70 2023-07-18 290.73 315.52 326.12 339.36 356.31 393.15 428.02 474.42 643.84 2023-07-19 282.98 298.84 314.37 319.91 336.74 371.82 392.55 470.24 679.99 2023-07-20 275.57 288.83 307.41 314.40 322.05 354.89 372.39 442.99 558.39 2023-07-21 268.87 280.20 297.60 307.85 337.08 353.65 364.05 427.93 569.81 2023-07-22 262.79 272.18 287.47 293.82 327.06 344.02 376.05 419.12 570.87 2023-07-23 257.44 267.53 279.20 311.82 320.59 341.04 395.66 432.11 521.34 2023-07-24 251.67 260.35 269.41 295.47 310.44 326.43 372.10 414.70 487.35 2023-07-25 252.09 257.94 269.75 295.12 304.74 323.77 356.15 427.54 474.18 2023-07-26 246.38 258.12 284.89 291.91 304.63 317.82 347.41 416.18 533.46 2023-07-27 241.39 249.80 268.07 292.92 313.08 346.13 382.60 426.17 597.29 2023-07-28 237.02 246.42 273.10 287.03 313.52 325.89 339.76 421.08 533.72 2023-07-29 228.99 245.49 259.23 277.81 306.03 333.16 355.02 390.75 464.25 2023-07-30 230.41 242.53 267.01 295.55 309.24 332.19 357.16 406.40 502.82 2023-07-31 226.99 235.21 250.53 279.01 291.61 323.78 354.31 372.77 445.83