Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-14 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-14 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-14 3527.02 3527.02 3527.02 3527.02 3527.02 3527.02 3527.02 3527.02 3527.02 2023-05-15 4488.27 4488.27 4488.27 4488.27 4488.27 4488.27 4488.27 4488.27 4488.27 2023-05-16 4686.86 4686.86 4686.86 4686.86 4686.86 4686.86 4686.86 4686.86 4686.86 2023-05-17 4675.22 4675.22 4675.22 4675.22 4675.22 4675.22 4675.22 4675.22 4675.22 2023-05-18 4692.43 4692.43 4692.43 4692.43 4692.43 4692.43 4692.43 4692.43 4692.43 2023-05-19 4849.13 4849.13 4849.13 4849.13 4849.13 4849.13 4849.13 4849.13 4849.13 2023-05-20 5284.77 5284.77 5284.77 5284.77 5284.77 5284.77 5284.77 5284.77 5284.77 2023-05-21 5229.69 5229.69 5229.69 5229.69 5229.69 5229.69 5229.69 5229.70 5229.71 2023-05-22 4991.06 4991.24 4991.44 4991.81 4992.38 4998.70 5012.31 5048.54 5089.51 2023-05-23 4679.01 4706.03 4721.18 4723.59 4729.39 4750.26 4799.30 4853.40 5158.27 2023-05-24 4436.20 4495.09 4530.74 4562.00 4590.05 4624.35 4668.90 4711.50 4829.59 2023-05-25 4156.37 4284.24 4329.48 4383.75 4441.43 4530.12 4586.41 4771.23 5039.62 2023-05-26 3811.86 3952.08 4078.12 4144.31 4205.63 4292.37 4364.15 4691.40 5145.59 2023-05-27 3484.58 3641.67 3730.43 3818.42 3973.92 4203.13 4303.45 4548.78 4941.17 2023-05-28 3268.73 3458.53 3551.14 3622.69 3703.32 3848.65 4106.63 4321.02 4706.39 2023-05-29 2908.40 3301.32 3383.03 3526.44 3613.69 3750.52 4040.43 4249.36 4456.45 2023-05-30 2711.70 3160.90 3313.03 3444.44 3603.49 3657.37 3835.02 4178.29 4786.09 2023-05-31 2884.10 2954.56 3161.69 3257.57 3468.25 3620.17 3683.73 4384.19 4752.53 2023-06-01 2604.56 2836.43 2948.72 3076.74 3248.33 3351.12 3510.94 4158.14 4879.78 2023-06-02 2536.42 2723.56 2859.01 2949.36 3173.34 3389.27 3578.69 4056.88 4717.12 2023-06-03 2485.95 2628.30 2746.08 2905.90 3340.85 3515.50 3760.41 4087.18 4463.84 2023-06-04 2489.89 2565.77 2832.45 2914.35 3108.13 3586.50 3727.10 4225.51 4403.00 2023-06-05 2377.67 2529.21 2677.55 3013.04 3212.57 3412.57 3710.62 3844.14 4224.33 2023-06-06 2280.61 2494.42 2625.97 2805.51 3183.41 3429.34 3668.48 3766.04 4174.18 2023-06-07 2153.88 2367.13 2488.39 2808.81 3267.05 3435.10 3587.75 3841.66 4187.71 2023-06-08 1975.99 2267.47 2539.95 2733.65 2941.03 3136.86 3549.35 3796.85 3982.66 2023-06-09 1945.13 2189.30 2421.63 2637.95 2735.84 2917.69 3202.27 3437.00 3789.29 2023-06-10 1905.51 2075.10 2245.88 2346.57 2453.78 2683.65 2991.47 3174.77 3550.07 2023-06-11 1820.46 1931.49 2096.32 2219.85 2397.41 2512.22 2768.69 3072.33 3234.65 2023-06-12 1760.61 1889.51 1991.98 2121.34 2284.48 2347.02 2468.86 2845.97 3019.49 2023-06-13 1722.14 1887.58 1988.42 2042.04 2165.41 2237.44 2347.60 2482.74 2853.83 2023-06-14 1749.47 1818.09 1931.52 2003.28 2022.79 2100.62 2269.35 2466.55 2632.97 2023-06-15 1605.13 1682.10 1811.27 1906.94 1958.67 2042.99 2086.46 2273.82 3098.90 2023-06-16 1530.08 1675.21 1766.92 1806.96 1868.10 1941.63 2081.88 2486.11 2688.00 2023-06-17 1490.34 1612.24 1691.60 1768.08 1795.21 1833.57 1998.55 2336.65 2589.92 2023-06-18 1396.50 1528.71 1580.74 1689.90 1726.93 1804.88 1911.81 2131.69 2468.59 2023-06-19 1381.85 1442.80 1541.95 1611.79 1694.74 1728.97 1778.65 1969.37 2580.84 2023-06-20 1316.94 1368.64 1462.41 1548.84 1643.01 1703.05 1852.68 1903.33 2424.80 2023-06-21 1265.62 1315.69 1358.13 1464.39 1622.22 1716.50 1831.18 2000.08 2206.34 2023-06-22 1145.92 1224.44 1290.65 1422.44 1532.59 1655.53 1804.81 1876.87 2183.53 2023-06-23 1074.79 1163.40 1233.69 1428.54 1487.26 1603.03 1659.45 1784.92 2059.53 2023-06-24 989.77 1083.29 1173.95 1291.10 1420.07 1522.83 1599.36 1652.27 1930.88 2023-06-25 910.70 999.85 1114.00 1226.96 1334.53 1407.66 1509.61 1593.83 1763.93 2023-06-26 840.26 944.79 1052.45 1194.94 1241.91 1329.11 1435.18 1526.04 1732.27 2023-06-27 763.32 864.27 957.78 1122.71 1191.68 1287.24 1408.53 1564.43 1755.93 2023-06-28 703.47 782.67 868.95 978.17 1124.41 1209.84 1367.66 1454.28 1677.10 2023-06-29 661.35 723.13 778.20 912.50 1085.79 1132.60 1298.04 1416.87 1563.99 2023-06-30 611.23 655.09 696.13 832.39 985.19 1105.78 1201.01 1345.02 1486.44 2023-07-01 562.14 609.87 674.18 777.65 891.59 1021.50 1112.48 1269.62 1394.39 2023-07-02 525.87 563.70 617.90 767.34 824.03 940.89 1026.75 1181.73 1311.62 2023-07-03 496.94 526.71 597.37 739.59 793.96 893.05 942.81 1039.54 1240.10 2023-07-04 462.47 506.78 578.72 676.50 771.78 818.94 915.27 959.27 1202.59 2023-07-05 437.04 488.44 531.74 623.86 705.55 754.10 841.66 953.78 1096.42 2023-07-06 420.29 457.14 490.12 574.32 637.84 680.59 776.70 848.84 991.31 2023-07-07 394.21 442.63 463.00 526.11 578.07 646.88 721.96 892.12 956.39 2023-07-08 374.98 416.52 427.44 493.15 535.07 583.33 669.68 746.69 861.11 2023-07-09 359.54 391.93 413.57 472.25 527.16 565.77 626.53 737.82 853.12 2023-07-10 355.84 370.28 397.56 456.85 503.25 527.27 655.00 718.77 883.68 2023-07-11 340.32 354.79 398.12 430.16 472.37 518.00 619.40 677.25 841.58 2023-07-12 361.80 374.68 408.77 448.31 470.96 513.25 617.96 701.93 819.03 2023-07-13 353.89 369.63 397.54 432.30 447.08 524.64 594.64 661.57 725.36 2023-07-14 340.71 362.39 381.33 407.70 435.12 521.53 548.22 598.36 711.25 2023-07-15 328.72 355.64 372.27 394.27 424.21 464.67 501.07 526.14 657.87 2023-07-16 317.58 339.78 354.52 379.13 414.51 439.83 475.53 498.55 631.03 2023-07-17 308.94 333.80 351.15 368.88 383.40 407.67 433.92 528.17 607.75 2023-07-18 300.28 321.55 337.63 356.16 372.94 389.88 418.12 467.04 641.31 2023-07-19 291.57 310.83 322.20 332.74 354.62 374.93 387.68 443.67 668.47 2023-07-20 283.51 305.28 313.51 323.25 336.74 355.50 375.85 397.52 559.91 2023-07-21 276.30 294.67 310.56 321.45 329.59 357.46 364.77 407.34 563.43 2023-07-22 272.64 285.15 299.69 307.74 329.77 347.44 357.48 420.17 554.64 2023-07-23 266.51 277.33 290.38 306.86 332.94 338.40 374.56 414.68 506.66 2023-07-24 259.06 268.56 281.70 294.46 319.74 326.65 354.27 429.31 476.09 2023-07-25 258.23 268.00 280.52 300.03 312.34 316.52 344.23 427.90 453.64 2023-07-26 253.05 267.30 286.05 297.88 307.50 318.60 344.76 414.85 495.20 2023-07-27 246.50 257.00 276.77 293.61 305.47 348.83 392.05 436.50 580.79 2023-07-28 242.84 251.43 270.02 289.92 310.64 333.72 345.92 408.59 548.79 2023-07-29 237.52 250.75 263.53 285.47 302.11 326.60 355.51 387.76 458.58 2023-07-30 234.80 252.27 271.63 286.26 304.07 339.52 355.96 402.67 518.56 2023-07-31 232.75 245.54 255.68 272.39 285.72 321.01 348.55 373.60 462.38