Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-15 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-15 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-15 3885.80 3885.80 3885.80 3885.80 3885.80 3885.80 3885.80 3885.80 3885.80 2023-05-16 3994.51 3994.51 3994.51 3994.51 3994.51 3994.51 3994.51 3994.51 3994.51 2023-05-17 4204.51 4204.51 4204.51 4204.51 4204.51 4204.51 4204.51 4204.51 4204.51 2023-05-18 4490.89 4490.89 4490.89 4490.89 4490.89 4490.89 4490.89 4490.89 4490.89 2023-05-19 4628.58 4628.58 4628.58 4628.58 4628.58 4628.58 4628.58 4628.58 4628.58 2023-05-20 4658.48 4658.48 4658.48 4658.48 4658.48 4658.48 4658.48 4658.48 4658.48 2023-05-21 4760.25 4760.25 4760.25 4760.25 4760.25 4760.25 4760.25 4760.25 4760.25 2023-05-22 4819.01 4819.04 4819.05 4819.05 4819.05 4819.05 4819.06 4819.07 4819.07 2023-05-23 4929.08 4929.42 4929.60 4929.78 4930.18 4930.83 4952.39 4955.44 4971.60 2023-05-24 4726.76 4748.67 4756.55 4768.83 4778.84 4793.11 4832.07 4857.33 4895.93 2023-05-25 4506.59 4562.54 4583.73 4639.95 4687.94 4776.39 4804.32 4869.46 5076.64 2023-05-26 4117.71 4224.73 4311.62 4411.43 4463.93 4516.09 4579.02 4742.83 5071.70 2023-05-27 3802.03 3883.00 4000.42 4070.18 4168.48 4364.80 4497.57 4601.60 4835.07 2023-05-28 3530.13 3651.00 3731.88 3822.64 3937.64 4016.70 4149.06 4385.52 4649.75 2023-05-29 3009.67 3382.82 3461.18 3628.25 3743.18 3913.02 4114.48 4250.18 4445.96 2023-05-30 2770.26 3202.54 3379.68 3538.03 3646.93 3777.81 3853.70 4240.37 4785.16 2023-05-31 2910.74 2962.07 3164.93 3314.46 3491.31 3649.37 3724.89 4344.97 4740.18 2023-06-01 2655.45 2838.27 2954.29 3103.02 3247.01 3373.33 3532.45 4096.20 4883.55 2023-06-02 2548.47 2736.35 2851.20 2956.89 3172.10 3364.26 3596.64 4109.74 4741.55 2023-06-03 2493.12 2615.69 2746.86 2908.07 3292.83 3464.19 3751.47 4075.32 4447.94 2023-06-04 2464.36 2562.88 2818.86 2899.65 3103.38 3492.80 3716.79 4203.50 4321.24 2023-06-05 2368.80 2501.14 2671.57 2974.89 3180.61 3405.56 3631.09 3810.78 4219.25 2023-06-06 2267.61 2472.89 2607.13 2791.49 3155.85 3388.62 3582.62 3757.57 4042.13 2023-06-07 2123.76 2340.11 2445.65 2782.85 3252.73 3361.64 3533.30 3760.02 4088.48 2023-06-08 1963.74 2263.94 2514.54 2707.14 2906.97 3081.18 3476.20 3683.22 3883.86 2023-06-09 1927.52 2162.28 2403.56 2576.42 2697.82 2891.27 3139.28 3330.03 3574.48 2023-06-10 1889.09 2071.28 2213.23 2293.73 2378.80 2662.52 2921.62 3104.29 3434.18 2023-06-11 1816.94 1917.98 2074.15 2195.45 2363.11 2509.34 2715.63 2991.01 3115.44 2023-06-12 1739.37 1871.95 1984.47 2115.00 2252.72 2292.58 2448.91 2726.74 2922.38 2023-06-13 1701.81 1880.28 1957.23 1994.47 2154.67 2219.24 2305.66 2416.70 2600.68 2023-06-14 1743.67 1783.13 1905.48 1962.56 1994.71 2065.18 2207.66 2392.94 2547.36 2023-06-15 1599.11 1653.33 1796.38 1888.42 1922.15 2012.34 2042.56 2239.84 2826.47 2023-06-16 1496.22 1675.61 1737.25 1774.90 1844.39 1882.84 2027.73 2446.18 2619.20 2023-06-17 1469.11 1594.60 1671.10 1738.95 1755.21 1798.43 1950.26 2299.36 2476.29 2023-06-18 1384.78 1512.56 1560.41 1649.94 1684.26 1772.17 1932.34 2033.90 2308.94 2023-06-19 1371.26 1435.18 1512.04 1577.46 1659.44 1699.39 1764.36 1944.74 2456.27 2023-06-20 1316.54 1352.17 1430.25 1516.64 1605.36 1670.07 1780.42 1918.16 2340.47 2023-06-21 1263.52 1283.67 1346.34 1430.97 1581.66 1667.04 1802.59 1975.26 2135.24 2023-06-22 1137.87 1205.08 1278.88 1389.31 1502.36 1602.41 1759.02 1833.61 2084.42 2023-06-23 1047.09 1139.20 1206.88 1398.07 1448.68 1568.33 1631.58 1684.62 1954.92 2023-06-24 965.70 1060.29 1141.53 1270.84 1388.73 1462.61 1560.62 1620.16 1844.21 2023-06-25 902.05 984.73 1086.55 1198.61 1287.01 1372.35 1480.21 1556.70 1708.34 2023-06-26 817.63 935.03 1024.94 1159.44 1208.03 1307.55 1380.26 1519.37 1688.42 2023-06-27 751.19 853.00 931.62 1092.75 1173.49 1256.00 1351.19 1510.55 1701.59 2023-06-28 694.68 768.77 844.67 964.46 1121.28 1171.80 1333.30 1407.43 1635.57 2023-06-29 659.06 701.14 757.36 898.38 1053.44 1114.66 1237.90 1366.92 1538.50 2023-06-30 610.70 638.92 678.19 819.67 974.60 1074.40 1169.04 1300.72 1455.81 2023-07-01 560.77 598.46 663.10 762.51 886.52 971.96 1072.33 1269.14 1333.01 2023-07-02 516.94 557.40 612.13 755.78 824.28 913.38 998.40 1181.69 1288.17 2023-07-03 493.75 520.78 590.16 715.71 794.11 865.52 920.18 1044.49 1216.77 2023-07-04 459.82 500.76 565.11 654.56 759.25 781.80 886.75 956.21 1120.12 2023-07-05 432.33 476.82 520.72 603.72 691.63 733.02 810.07 921.02 1019.94 2023-07-06 417.45 447.15 483.23 556.77 634.08 664.07 736.88 832.70 930.48 2023-07-07 390.84 434.35 456.35 511.44 579.20 625.80 717.99 825.78 936.34 2023-07-08 369.18 414.52 421.69 480.78 532.57 566.44 665.13 722.94 842.19 2023-07-09 353.11 390.92 405.36 458.53 516.44 560.52 619.05 685.03 820.84 2023-07-10 350.69 368.30 390.02 445.12 487.22 522.49 614.30 705.41 873.06 2023-07-11 336.32 351.70 391.74 422.24 460.88 491.12 573.60 658.31 816.94 2023-07-12 358.08 371.76 405.82 443.40 468.25 495.55 605.86 691.31 812.73 2023-07-13 348.62 366.10 393.52 426.00 440.42 500.33 588.12 652.91 700.03 2023-07-14 335.34 360.52 376.44 401.20 429.73 499.81 536.40 588.13 690.14 2023-07-15 323.92 351.28 367.09 389.88 415.44 459.44 489.07 519.86 648.47 2023-07-16 315.97 335.82 348.94 372.66 404.38 431.13 462.54 495.52 613.41 2023-07-17 307.83 329.89 347.03 363.56 382.41 402.96 425.11 522.89 600.26 2023-07-18 299.23 317.97 334.58 353.79 367.91 379.95 403.04 464.43 625.82 2023-07-19 290.57 307.46 320.75 330.93 347.81 365.44 377.33 434.42 646.27 2023-07-20 282.58 302.20 309.11 320.31 331.60 343.54 367.14 392.70 554.07 2023-07-21 274.98 291.82 308.34 317.82 327.19 346.63 359.20 405.30 547.47 2023-07-22 270.36 282.79 297.64 304.54 324.64 334.19 352.49 408.32 538.61 2023-07-23 264.67 276.08 289.08 303.63 323.16 335.90 366.83 412.87 490.90 2023-07-24 257.83 267.47 279.26 292.59 313.61 325.32 350.21 428.10 467.68 2023-07-25 255.08 266.57 277.13 297.75 305.46 314.26 342.70 421.12 450.09 2023-07-26 252.35 265.09 284.45 292.02 301.96 315.99 341.47 409.95 489.51 2023-07-27 245.56 255.00 273.98 287.36 303.45 347.72 385.35 434.66 575.29 2023-07-28 242.19 248.79 266.53 283.49 307.60 332.76 345.77 405.27 535.75 2023-07-29 236.72 249.47 261.12 278.22 299.86 323.92 348.14 381.00 448.30 2023-07-30 232.27 251.08 267.89 284.28 301.86 333.20 353.51 397.51 517.74 2023-07-31 231.15 244.81 255.57 268.83 283.64 315.20 345.44 372.34 462.17