Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-19 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-19 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-19 5261.56 5261.56 5261.56 5261.56 5261.56 5261.56 5261.56 5261.56 5261.56 2023-05-20 5504.97 5504.97 5504.97 5504.97 5504.97 5504.97 5504.97 5504.97 5504.97 2023-05-21 5430.17 5430.17 5430.17 5430.17 5430.17 5430.17 5430.17 5430.17 5430.17 2023-05-22 5298.95 5298.95 5298.95 5298.95 5298.95 5298.95 5298.95 5298.95 5298.95 2023-05-23 4998.07 4998.07 4998.07 4998.07 4998.07 4998.07 4998.07 4998.07 4998.07 2023-05-24 4618.29 4618.29 4618.29 4618.29 4618.29 4618.29 4618.29 4618.29 4618.29 2023-05-25 4568.76 4568.76 4568.76 4568.76 4568.76 4568.76 4568.76 4568.77 4568.77 2023-05-26 4565.28 4565.29 4565.32 4565.33 4565.34 4565.35 4565.35 4565.35 4565.35 2023-05-27 4560.16 4560.79 4560.96 4561.33 4561.56 4562.01 4572.97 4595.15 4618.74 2023-05-28 4343.32 4357.15 4371.09 4389.28 4402.09 4420.10 4472.03 4525.72 4589.38 2023-05-29 4018.58 4113.71 4155.94 4210.16 4254.22 4279.96 4310.82 4353.83 4493.17 2023-05-30 3758.55 3819.44 3935.66 4034.54 4143.78 4257.71 4343.20 4402.72 4717.14 2023-05-31 3439.23 3522.38 3637.75 3733.24 3793.11 3924.03 4008.18 4401.90 4733.94 2023-06-01 3054.28 3183.48 3222.06 3369.70 3439.61 3510.54 3651.49 4096.18 4689.81 2023-06-02 2803.63 2901.30 2945.23 3108.02 3256.91 3537.38 3705.44 3873.77 4737.15 2023-06-03 2591.02 2702.46 2770.51 3026.72 3312.78 3530.34 3804.15 3980.25 4407.22 2023-06-04 2409.37 2632.40 2815.02 2894.51 3092.14 3539.22 3762.77 3929.48 4173.07 2023-06-05 2375.39 2481.58 2632.93 2984.03 3171.55 3445.28 3480.96 3526.71 4167.75 2023-06-06 2273.46 2402.48 2548.42 2743.39 3044.28 3301.54 3416.39 3672.97 3842.60 2023-06-07 2128.46 2280.71 2386.75 2639.24 3058.84 3246.46 3439.74 3623.31 3765.74 2023-06-08 1976.31 2245.05 2448.95 2642.37 2713.11 2964.10 3258.88 3509.90 3643.29 2023-06-09 1919.56 2117.99 2290.43 2418.46 2638.65 2900.67 3021.40 3184.11 3390.07 2023-06-10 1893.75 2053.54 2139.57 2174.85 2404.32 2632.77 2858.36 2972.41 3166.66 2023-06-11 1814.18 1931.69 2009.24 2069.85 2239.09 2453.94 2653.38 2823.24 2975.08 2023-06-12 1731.16 1874.36 1923.09 2016.98 2094.81 2211.09 2331.11 2545.88 2818.71 2023-06-13 1658.25 1829.76 1913.44 1974.62 2056.16 2138.32 2238.83 2298.79 2357.25 2023-06-14 1632.04 1780.60 1872.31 1909.56 1955.89 2028.52 2171.28 2235.93 2368.52 2023-06-15 1572.54 1664.70 1744.29 1814.61 1912.63 1976.92 1997.94 2159.05 2400.94 2023-06-16 1480.58 1631.23 1701.61 1724.23 1784.95 1875.44 2002.61 2249.06 2469.86 2023-06-17 1446.47 1569.85 1664.57 1705.94 1721.55 1766.55 1901.77 2049.92 2256.78 2023-06-18 1410.56 1517.14 1563.67 1589.14 1652.23 1723.23 1841.62 1980.28 2206.76 2023-06-19 1375.22 1446.61 1513.31 1556.51 1579.03 1625.39 1720.91 1924.57 2175.49 2023-06-20 1284.03 1392.09 1449.04 1492.87 1539.34 1557.60 1669.83 1889.97 2088.87 2023-06-21 1264.89 1324.99 1385.11 1423.62 1486.57 1571.97 1724.43 1887.60 1976.67 2023-06-22 1173.10 1216.48 1313.91 1365.66 1450.88 1486.53 1645.25 1831.96 1892.39 2023-06-23 1078.49 1149.44 1243.26 1368.31 1406.17 1477.84 1554.87 1647.32 1752.77 2023-06-24 993.81 1063.47 1166.45 1260.29 1324.22 1393.54 1488.37 1565.70 1702.24 2023-06-25 928.03 1004.62 1088.43 1141.19 1213.14 1332.42 1398.79 1521.93 1588.23 2023-06-26 837.25 957.24 998.74 1099.42 1170.86 1259.55 1321.12 1449.29 1561.10 2023-06-27 780.53 883.34 902.02 1035.62 1140.57 1193.27 1276.36 1423.23 1631.05 2023-06-28 723.04 792.00 822.62 922.28 1068.40 1130.89 1183.05 1324.64 1514.25 2023-06-29 678.69 730.28 743.30 872.14 987.15 1043.00 1146.06 1285.64 1456.57 2023-06-30 631.88 663.62 674.19 794.26 931.26 967.37 1123.54 1197.86 1377.84 2023-07-01 580.34 609.26 645.72 741.64 834.88 911.83 1066.21 1136.05 1285.28 2023-07-02 530.89 559.12 618.20 712.08 780.25 849.98 1019.10 1120.79 1228.23 2023-07-03 508.00 532.38 587.66 676.06 749.22 803.39 907.87 996.87 1140.66 2023-07-04 471.96 518.90 547.64 630.58 711.07 769.41 861.19 912.37 1046.91 2023-07-05 440.81 478.45 514.23 583.47 654.77 704.10 810.14 845.42 971.95 2023-07-06 420.74 452.32 481.01 539.31 595.25 655.37 732.66 803.11 874.14 2023-07-07 398.96 431.58 466.94 504.78 536.97 594.85 692.98 774.47 884.56 2023-07-08 377.14 408.55 427.71 468.79 515.88 549.32 605.29 723.55 796.72 2023-07-09 358.47 384.26 417.93 439.45 486.18 542.36 598.61 695.10 739.30 2023-07-10 350.46 368.21 395.09 429.88 449.01 503.15 596.21 679.40 822.53 2023-07-11 335.66 363.89 377.34 412.44 435.06 473.00 566.26 613.46 802.28 2023-07-12 357.94 381.92 398.64 428.18 446.84 486.04 596.80 654.53 809.95 2023-07-13 351.56 367.11 387.96 410.29 432.94 460.54 578.03 654.51 685.96 2023-07-14 340.28 358.94 369.41 389.96 409.65 505.40 538.11 603.19 648.72 2023-07-15 328.95 343.93 358.98 372.78 399.80 462.34 479.63 511.87 633.73 2023-07-16 318.37 331.06 344.08 356.21 394.25 435.42 456.08 489.83 566.92 2023-07-17 310.96 322.26 339.93 350.54 378.49 406.62 416.44 495.58 590.71 2023-07-18 302.38 311.83 329.47 343.04 359.61 383.72 396.81 455.54 585.56 2023-07-19 294.09 303.58 315.84 326.94 334.06 363.41 378.44 412.65 610.61 2023-07-20 285.90 300.71 306.41 315.12 323.81 337.02 359.28 391.92 546.90 2023-07-21 277.63 289.98 306.02 311.58 324.12 341.79 357.78 394.60 519.46 2023-07-22 271.13 279.43 298.01 302.44 309.00 330.03 352.63 394.43 529.86 2023-07-23 265.14 272.96 289.03 294.02 318.90 332.23 374.10 398.85 482.32 2023-07-24 258.90 264.94 277.18 283.14 306.18 319.54 346.89 404.00 464.89 2023-07-25 254.80 267.84 273.56 283.28 300.59 312.00 342.81 393.92 438.98 2023-07-26 252.14 262.97 269.79 286.58 299.18 318.46 339.97 406.72 497.25 2023-07-27 246.00 254.87 262.50 282.74 300.13 344.87 367.88 420.17 581.36 2023-07-28 242.07 249.61 259.55 279.54 305.61 328.84 342.31 391.55 506.81 2023-07-29 236.01 246.93 255.84 274.93 300.62 320.88 338.64 375.88 436.69 2023-07-30 230.98 250.19 265.61 277.25 300.65 317.02 353.41 385.56 528.80 2023-07-31 226.91 245.13 250.56 264.92 279.91 303.92 337.29 371.16 475.60