Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-20 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-20 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-20 5443.95 5443.95 5443.95 5443.95 5443.95 5443.95 5443.95 5443.95 5443.95 2023-05-21 4535.40 4535.40 4535.40 4535.40 4535.40 4535.40 4535.40 4535.40 4535.40 2023-05-22 4557.62 4557.62 4557.62 4557.62 4557.62 4557.62 4557.62 4557.62 4557.62 2023-05-23 4399.14 4399.14 4399.14 4399.14 4399.14 4399.14 4399.14 4399.14 4399.14 2023-05-24 4325.54 4325.54 4325.54 4325.54 4325.54 4325.54 4325.54 4325.54 4325.54 2023-05-25 4290.45 4290.45 4290.45 4290.45 4290.45 4290.45 4290.45 4290.45 4290.45 2023-05-26 4342.33 4342.33 4342.33 4342.33 4342.33 4342.33 4342.33 4342.33 4342.33 2023-05-27 4459.17 4459.18 4459.19 4459.19 4459.19 4459.19 4459.19 4459.20 4459.20 2023-05-28 4449.98 4450.37 4450.75 4450.98 4451.29 4451.50 4451.96 4484.25 4514.58 2023-05-29 4193.73 4217.10 4234.54 4253.19 4260.93 4279.65 4336.23 4382.88 4478.11 2023-05-30 3786.08 3852.35 3883.24 3938.91 4001.59 4042.33 4098.25 4235.05 4308.38 2023-05-31 3488.24 3624.66 3658.53 3758.90 3833.89 3900.76 3979.58 4151.06 4494.59 2023-06-01 3206.40 3270.92 3341.25 3443.17 3521.74 3634.74 3692.92 4055.39 4572.62 2023-06-02 2929.67 3006.22 3097.04 3204.61 3337.80 3543.09 3700.09 3890.88 4683.72 2023-06-03 2706.47 2769.40 2855.26 3095.51 3325.51 3558.02 3820.07 3965.60 4419.10 2023-06-04 2452.05 2743.05 2847.79 2981.38 3169.45 3573.97 3790.44 3921.09 4140.17 2023-06-05 2393.87 2477.50 2650.20 3040.84 3166.87 3407.00 3476.60 3575.95 4103.71 2023-06-06 2283.43 2387.40 2555.77 2761.34 3011.49 3253.83 3471.46 3619.35 3778.06 2023-06-07 2120.65 2270.36 2384.49 2664.49 3012.73 3181.12 3398.02 3583.40 3667.45 2023-06-08 1967.09 2237.33 2453.23 2609.68 2718.41 2933.79 3202.71 3349.23 3563.41 2023-06-09 1905.55 2118.23 2269.79 2406.09 2596.58 2826.57 2982.40 3103.54 3300.16 2023-06-10 1874.36 2045.18 2135.76 2154.06 2382.76 2586.54 2794.04 2886.74 3101.35 2023-06-11 1824.11 1905.16 2008.08 2045.71 2227.74 2404.14 2600.40 2741.11 2858.86 2023-06-12 1713.86 1859.54 1901.22 1992.53 2090.49 2189.87 2285.73 2528.31 2754.64 2023-06-13 1644.87 1833.90 1894.73 1963.48 2029.09 2065.65 2200.78 2249.75 2296.64 2023-06-14 1605.57 1774.33 1850.60 1889.23 1930.86 2001.35 2083.44 2195.43 2306.76 2023-06-15 1550.56 1666.34 1715.97 1797.94 1871.30 1938.61 1969.53 2104.36 2385.64 2023-06-16 1480.43 1630.26 1686.69 1714.58 1753.05 1856.43 1960.35 2183.63 2444.25 2023-06-17 1436.40 1561.58 1649.84 1682.31 1696.39 1738.47 1873.51 2010.06 2155.93 2023-06-18 1391.91 1493.13 1545.05 1563.15 1638.51 1675.09 1801.65 1966.20 2132.97 2023-06-19 1367.27 1421.61 1470.20 1521.63 1560.12 1602.37 1698.95 1887.93 2099.18 2023-06-20 1275.82 1381.61 1431.06 1467.29 1492.67 1533.43 1650.62 1839.86 2046.84 2023-06-21 1243.02 1307.06 1359.45 1399.80 1428.38 1530.95 1667.69 1822.40 1905.49 2023-06-22 1152.92 1197.82 1283.73 1338.88 1408.18 1448.02 1622.47 1812.00 1830.04 2023-06-23 1067.36 1140.88 1217.83 1310.80 1368.15 1449.62 1525.67 1620.31 1709.70 2023-06-24 975.62 1051.82 1149.02 1227.66 1269.89 1363.56 1454.04 1531.98 1683.59 2023-06-25 910.89 1000.53 1064.34 1114.73 1172.68 1295.20 1362.68 1485.73 1584.20 2023-06-26 824.96 943.52 980.82 1070.04 1122.03 1220.71 1273.54 1402.68 1508.79 2023-06-27 762.76 860.55 894.70 1009.47 1090.37 1158.51 1247.65 1393.43 1582.29 2023-06-28 706.08 778.92 813.09 902.03 1019.53 1093.15 1161.47 1283.93 1503.12 2023-06-29 668.61 716.88 735.74 848.71 951.63 1005.54 1103.24 1253.38 1424.88 2023-06-30 622.76 654.95 664.77 772.68 887.37 935.68 1069.32 1187.65 1333.62 2023-07-01 574.81 602.02 628.61 734.14 812.17 881.67 1018.18 1101.00 1241.79 2023-07-02 529.25 552.85 603.29 695.79 759.11 822.80 992.83 1073.11 1182.50 2023-07-03 500.43 525.99 572.82 661.84 723.96 775.06 888.47 959.64 1126.66 2023-07-04 464.45 518.92 534.37 610.65 686.69 748.36 813.54 879.76 1043.30 2023-07-05 434.53 470.72 506.63 559.62 635.44 685.14 765.60 832.40 969.00 2023-07-06 418.17 445.52 470.09 518.70 576.40 635.80 699.22 775.00 865.83 2023-07-07 397.46 423.59 460.95 494.97 519.38 576.19 671.37 744.88 853.23 2023-07-08 374.27 401.02 420.36 461.08 498.97 535.54 589.77 697.32 746.65 2023-07-09 356.32 380.48 410.50 435.92 472.15 522.73 587.14 665.22 715.95 2023-07-10 348.25 364.32 388.78 415.01 434.65 484.06 585.81 663.56 819.44 2023-07-11 334.07 360.74 376.96 403.79 423.89 462.17 554.64 596.02 788.57 2023-07-12 357.45 379.90 394.43 415.18 440.95 476.35 575.75 639.06 805.61 2023-07-13 350.94 364.66 384.05 398.94 419.95 454.33 571.07 640.33 683.83 2023-07-14 339.88 358.18 365.76 380.07 399.66 495.88 527.49 596.54 633.87 2023-07-15 328.78 343.29 353.48 366.14 390.63 459.23 471.05 503.73 627.76 2023-07-16 316.66 328.16 340.13 350.40 387.50 429.51 449.82 482.54 544.26 2023-07-17 310.48 321.21 332.43 340.97 375.34 400.09 412.89 487.34 579.44 2023-07-18 301.92 310.90 323.21 339.28 356.79 377.03 389.52 447.50 565.54 2023-07-19 293.61 301.72 310.36 321.84 329.62 356.98 374.57 411.28 576.45 2023-07-20 285.59 296.07 304.36 310.41 318.26 333.28 354.60 390.53 538.01 2023-07-21 277.32 286.62 302.51 307.06 321.00 337.60 354.00 388.76 490.30 2023-07-22 270.21 277.75 293.57 298.38 306.17 326.64 349.00 390.24 523.39 2023-07-23 264.82 271.58 285.17 290.51 315.23 327.59 371.48 390.63 478.83 2023-07-24 258.58 263.65 274.89 280.46 299.78 316.30 344.96 392.94 459.45 2023-07-25 253.20 266.19 270.47 277.76 298.32 309.07 339.80 385.33 436.14 2023-07-26 249.81 260.96 265.50 283.61 297.78 315.43 336.15 403.56 495.15 2023-07-27 243.78 253.68 259.81 280.38 296.87 338.12 364.56 413.11 579.39 2023-07-28 240.87 248.97 255.99 276.69 303.04 322.09 341.11 388.84 501.76 2023-07-29 233.93 245.07 253.14 272.50 298.14 315.16 331.28 375.25 430.26 2023-07-30 228.98 247.29 263.43 274.82 295.06 311.66 350.54 379.99 530.36 2023-07-31 224.95 242.25 249.08 262.68 277.00 299.91 330.91 368.53 476.11