Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-21 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-21 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-21 4462.93 4462.93 4462.93 4462.93 4462.93 4462.93 4462.93 4462.93 4462.93 2023-05-22 4326.48 4326.48 4326.48 4326.48 4326.48 4326.48 4326.48 4326.48 4326.48 2023-05-23 4368.79 4368.79 4368.79 4368.79 4368.79 4368.79 4368.79 4368.79 4368.79 2023-05-24 4258.41 4258.41 4258.41 4258.41 4258.41 4258.41 4258.41 4258.41 4258.41 2023-05-25 4240.73 4240.73 4240.73 4240.73 4240.73 4240.73 4240.73 4240.73 4240.73 2023-05-26 4213.87 4213.87 4213.87 4213.87 4213.87 4213.87 4213.87 4213.87 4213.87 2023-05-27 4339.61 4339.61 4339.61 4339.61 4339.61 4339.61 4339.61 4339.61 4339.61 2023-05-28 4355.33 4355.36 4355.37 4355.38 4355.38 4355.39 4355.39 4355.39 4355.39 2023-05-29 4088.92 4089.13 4089.22 4089.55 4089.69 4091.72 4097.08 4119.02 4141.26 2023-05-30 3775.62 3793.75 3804.99 3822.89 3841.97 3863.11 3893.72 3917.95 4039.23 2023-05-31 3461.81 3540.78 3585.58 3620.63 3653.19 3693.39 3769.84 3857.51 4007.58 2023-06-01 3218.44 3276.73 3354.02 3435.41 3503.05 3524.97 3714.05 3796.98 4339.56 2023-06-02 3011.32 3068.60 3190.38 3263.18 3393.18 3537.05 3683.13 3909.69 4468.79 2023-06-03 2783.50 2848.99 2957.25 3206.14 3352.73 3660.40 3770.97 3910.75 4332.78 2023-06-04 2501.66 2773.74 2890.85 3052.27 3265.72 3632.54 3833.54 3952.05 4266.61 2023-06-05 2401.26 2516.39 2669.07 3071.51 3243.53 3440.23 3509.70 3668.04 4191.42 2023-06-06 2277.98 2404.17 2577.84 2823.11 3100.71 3303.38 3493.50 3691.08 3836.10 2023-06-07 2102.52 2279.97 2420.93 2676.22 3101.59 3239.65 3444.67 3609.90 3698.68 2023-06-08 1967.24 2254.14 2482.91 2623.83 2796.06 3020.35 3262.01 3365.89 3575.38 2023-06-09 1907.53 2135.42 2284.37 2413.24 2629.61 2893.44 3005.95 3154.94 3305.99 2023-06-10 1886.78 2060.64 2133.71 2171.75 2390.03 2604.55 2822.19 2877.22 3105.48 2023-06-11 1830.92 1917.93 2023.71 2064.06 2230.25 2430.20 2663.25 2780.44 2883.59 2023-06-12 1724.24 1867.91 1920.43 1999.30 2090.43 2190.48 2327.59 2576.11 2785.23 2023-06-13 1648.74 1823.69 1921.57 1991.22 2045.65 2061.52 2191.73 2250.65 2328.91 2023-06-14 1616.97 1799.21 1858.51 1927.38 1959.16 2009.76 2100.83 2170.10 2315.89 2023-06-15 1553.81 1683.38 1732.74 1820.04 1905.74 1954.43 2012.58 2126.62 2357.13 2023-06-16 1490.61 1657.11 1692.21 1727.47 1767.20 1842.45 2005.24 2180.02 2452.27 2023-06-17 1437.73 1589.12 1664.78 1691.34 1709.83 1743.10 1913.90 2032.67 2146.58 2023-06-18 1404.34 1510.17 1553.25 1586.47 1650.74 1707.72 1799.44 1949.81 2174.80 2023-06-19 1372.69 1433.20 1488.75 1532.13 1574.31 1634.56 1695.67 1892.72 2127.05 2023-06-20 1307.79 1406.79 1451.74 1489.48 1511.76 1523.57 1669.73 1861.10 2053.16 2023-06-21 1253.55 1336.58 1370.72 1414.81 1434.27 1540.20 1655.37 1839.20 1966.16 2023-06-22 1163.43 1229.94 1292.21 1354.97 1413.41 1449.53 1633.52 1764.09 1872.35 2023-06-23 1110.08 1165.22 1230.34 1314.99 1371.84 1452.91 1536.13 1616.15 1731.90 2023-06-24 1019.37 1091.54 1166.89 1237.05 1272.58 1378.32 1462.34 1529.60 1686.95 2023-06-25 935.01 1037.14 1084.17 1126.70 1182.41 1312.91 1372.99 1483.42 1603.31 2023-06-26 852.60 958.45 1014.74 1074.38 1139.84 1230.67 1295.91 1414.42 1522.07 2023-06-27 799.61 876.90 929.15 1032.26 1093.38 1170.33 1269.10 1396.04 1592.14 2023-06-28 732.79 800.05 842.60 918.30 1028.05 1095.14 1178.33 1303.55 1523.08 2023-06-29 675.36 726.62 763.95 869.10 968.36 1018.21 1107.75 1268.53 1434.19 2023-06-30 635.26 664.22 684.13 791.37 894.49 947.58 1065.14 1205.43 1335.45 2023-07-01 598.09 613.50 641.71 758.46 815.45 894.25 1016.63 1120.04 1244.68 2023-07-02 549.05 567.75 615.11 706.36 772.73 827.09 992.89 1070.31 1194.91 2023-07-03 506.54 536.19 587.17 668.99 724.63 790.27 891.39 975.66 1138.41 2023-07-04 468.68 534.03 550.06 614.17 702.52 757.63 815.00 876.40 1068.74 2023-07-05 438.00 489.77 514.87 568.59 645.20 696.54 772.09 842.18 972.20 2023-07-06 421.42 453.80 484.69 526.59 584.52 648.59 699.27 791.82 869.39 2023-07-07 400.14 429.01 471.36 502.16 534.08 585.05 679.32 748.32 862.08 2023-07-08 382.31 405.14 427.18 465.37 506.36 541.95 597.80 712.87 765.58 2023-07-09 364.84 383.99 411.84 448.16 477.69 522.11 597.75 660.46 736.48 2023-07-10 350.59 372.54 394.70 426.41 441.62 486.14 591.53 674.77 833.98 2023-07-11 335.51 365.77 390.55 408.49 428.20 466.66 545.39 600.83 788.39 2023-07-12 359.00 387.27 402.86 421.46 442.46 485.47 572.08 643.08 816.85 2023-07-13 354.30 377.28 391.42 405.12 421.75 461.34 574.70 646.32 693.78 2023-07-14 342.81 362.03 367.66 382.47 402.06 504.25 527.77 601.96 635.85 2023-07-15 330.54 346.27 353.49 369.37 395.44 463.93 471.67 510.97 627.54 2023-07-16 322.25 330.28 340.41 352.70 392.44 432.54 457.81 485.26 535.48 2023-07-17 313.15 324.56 331.82 345.43 377.37 403.96 418.45 489.28 580.38 2023-07-18 304.45 314.26 322.58 340.09 360.31 377.16 398.76 448.90 558.14 2023-07-19 294.65 303.40 312.65 322.60 330.81 360.28 375.82 413.65 565.43 2023-07-20 288.12 298.50 305.41 311.97 319.51 334.52 356.41 392.14 535.12 2023-07-21 279.74 290.83 303.99 309.42 321.95 339.01 354.58 393.40 483.72 2023-07-22 272.59 280.69 295.63 299.97 307.01 328.04 349.78 392.94 523.05 2023-07-23 266.93 274.22 287.09 290.08 316.05 329.38 370.53 398.48 479.18 2023-07-24 260.62 264.66 276.49 280.93 300.01 317.24 345.87 394.15 464.75 2023-07-25 254.80 265.82 271.84 277.13 299.52 309.54 341.16 384.77 439.31 2023-07-26 250.74 261.33 265.64 284.40 299.69 315.78 337.77 403.87 501.04 2023-07-27 245.06 254.46 261.03 280.93 297.55 337.24 366.28 415.51 584.53 2023-07-28 241.39 248.43 256.66 276.61 303.68 323.52 343.61 389.34 504.17 2023-07-29 234.86 246.70 252.83 273.34 299.03 316.28 332.34 377.10 430.95 2023-07-30 229.90 246.60 263.37 275.98 293.93 312.49 349.14 380.89 536.26 2023-07-31 225.70 241.47 250.40 263.34 277.75 301.29 329.44 370.91 481.60