Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-23 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-23 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-23 3794.37 3794.37 3794.37 3794.37 3794.37 3794.37 3794.37 3794.37 3794.37 2023-05-24 3618.31 3618.31 3618.31 3618.31 3618.31 3618.31 3618.31 3618.31 3618.31 2023-05-25 3554.60 3554.60 3554.60 3554.60 3554.60 3554.60 3554.60 3554.60 3554.60 2023-05-26 3719.71 3719.71 3719.71 3719.71 3719.71 3719.71 3719.71 3719.71 3719.71 2023-05-27 3841.74 3841.74 3841.74 3841.74 3841.74 3841.74 3841.74 3841.74 3841.74 2023-05-28 3969.76 3969.76 3969.76 3969.76 3969.76 3969.76 3969.76 3969.76 3969.76 2023-05-29 3854.63 3854.63 3854.63 3854.63 3854.63 3854.63 3854.63 3854.63 3854.63 2023-05-30 3743.24 3743.24 3743.24 3743.24 3743.24 3743.25 3743.25 3743.25 3743.26 2023-05-31 3710.05 3710.45 3710.76 3711.17 3711.34 3712.80 3723.13 3745.07 3777.31 2023-06-01 3565.57 3581.91 3595.89 3627.86 3647.18 3685.82 3737.64 3799.82 3936.21 2023-06-02 3331.30 3415.44 3460.79 3547.10 3635.32 3664.99 3743.94 3818.11 4114.71 2023-06-03 3101.81 3279.29 3347.43 3416.15 3557.43 3680.24 3797.59 3904.97 4115.55 2023-06-04 2873.39 2942.00 3179.09 3340.77 3548.79 3715.64 3844.68 3936.05 4092.02 2023-06-05 2581.99 2642.15 2968.57 3231.81 3396.87 3483.13 3626.15 3814.40 4229.29 2023-06-06 2333.97 2596.68 2698.34 2999.13 3208.64 3402.60 3703.43 3791.42 4094.57 2023-06-07 2149.61 2425.13 2519.52 2715.36 3116.14 3316.72 3482.18 3644.80 3956.36 2023-06-08 2011.10 2301.89 2536.51 2695.54 2911.32 3031.52 3271.93 3380.02 3566.18 2023-06-09 1939.97 2169.56 2311.08 2479.15 2684.32 2812.79 3067.24 3151.60 3371.52 2023-06-10 1903.97 2062.96 2167.46 2207.19 2415.78 2649.91 2806.97 2910.55 3134.20 2023-06-11 1821.51 1917.14 2048.36 2094.49 2215.47 2473.88 2652.47 2811.55 2941.11 2023-06-12 1725.71 1900.36 1943.39 2024.25 2064.66 2250.20 2350.61 2602.84 2702.55 2023-06-13 1658.29 1863.88 1939.54 1999.70 2060.58 2080.20 2185.08 2241.66 2370.82 2023-06-14 1606.31 1833.32 1875.86 1921.56 1983.44 2014.75 2069.32 2145.49 2290.81 2023-06-15 1558.21 1695.05 1780.80 1820.27 1894.23 1932.73 2017.35 2113.86 2317.83 2023-06-16 1536.13 1663.67 1705.15 1744.92 1787.52 1847.91 2041.46 2131.77 2462.35 2023-06-17 1416.70 1605.09 1660.96 1692.27 1716.86 1758.61 1930.63 2012.22 2127.97 2023-06-18 1419.13 1510.60 1555.64 1608.64 1655.18 1718.62 1791.02 1952.03 2152.50 2023-06-19 1373.19 1444.72 1480.99 1535.57 1604.66 1639.37 1705.10 1882.07 2110.50 2023-06-20 1328.09 1422.31 1450.96 1466.16 1521.34 1561.74 1644.81 1844.01 2025.50 2023-06-21 1243.05 1357.67 1391.38 1417.94 1449.78 1516.04 1659.37 1820.82 1990.20 2023-06-22 1176.02 1273.25 1322.14 1347.65 1393.18 1438.14 1612.00 1702.50 1856.80 2023-06-23 1138.06 1179.08 1255.66 1289.33 1341.78 1445.20 1525.56 1623.57 1740.64 2023-06-24 1019.37 1119.60 1167.78 1217.58 1252.13 1390.82 1446.79 1542.23 1665.78 2023-06-25 952.34 1020.90 1105.44 1129.17 1166.76 1290.16 1366.66 1458.28 1550.47 2023-06-26 898.52 950.00 1019.09 1075.66 1133.80 1205.91 1313.54 1357.73 1527.90 2023-06-27 847.69 887.29 946.32 1031.02 1073.59 1140.92 1280.53 1360.31 1531.18 2023-06-28 763.25 805.23 859.89 928.31 998.55 1074.54 1167.42 1275.99 1471.02 2023-06-29 696.73 730.58 772.80 874.95 932.75 1000.03 1097.74 1215.86 1431.96 2023-06-30 641.16 665.03 699.79 803.97 857.75 954.98 1047.75 1165.75 1313.36 2023-07-01 592.79 625.73 670.82 756.45 795.56 896.40 964.82 1108.20 1202.21 2023-07-02 543.76 590.25 616.92 692.07 767.79 840.69 962.92 1027.89 1178.84 2023-07-03 506.00 553.25 602.03 655.06 729.75 815.26 863.75 941.67 1114.93 2023-07-04 473.69 539.96 563.38 605.54 696.38 748.72 807.00 865.91 1034.17 2023-07-05 444.33 497.21 519.69 560.79 648.39 684.53 742.50 826.34 930.11 2023-07-06 424.62 458.02 488.31 519.56 594.36 629.53 670.80 783.02 832.95 2023-07-07 403.38 431.42 464.11 498.43 555.56 577.25 671.03 731.56 843.13 2023-07-08 384.67 404.03 430.92 460.88 511.67 521.56 601.95 662.56 755.50 2023-07-09 371.46 385.16 406.96 441.59 479.21 518.53 597.02 632.19 732.52 2023-07-10 353.03 377.16 392.71 423.58 437.91 478.77 581.03 679.43 842.76 2023-07-11 337.18 364.50 397.20 402.78 424.15 470.72 536.04 605.04 766.06 2023-07-12 360.77 384.20 408.87 418.88 436.88 481.32 560.33 633.39 816.10 2023-07-13 355.41 375.82 393.75 400.20 413.97 460.80 562.79 639.49 702.15 2023-07-14 341.49 362.38 371.44 379.65 396.13 496.26 515.77 603.40 639.12 2023-07-15 329.78 346.83 355.44 365.04 395.27 458.24 466.26 515.57 605.74 2023-07-16 324.30 332.42 340.22 349.45 390.44 426.07 449.51 490.42 536.26 2023-07-17 317.73 324.59 330.70 339.66 379.55 401.68 416.67 486.44 574.74 2023-07-18 306.79 313.48 320.36 337.68 360.10 374.40 396.49 452.76 540.80 2023-07-19 296.84 303.11 312.95 322.91 330.52 357.56 375.49 418.14 540.66 2023-07-20 291.03 296.99 306.19 310.30 317.93 332.78 356.78 395.62 503.61 2023-07-21 282.38 294.46 300.74 307.58 321.58 339.48 348.92 391.71 459.78 2023-07-22 274.90 282.42 291.56 298.19 307.54 329.71 350.38 395.68 513.92 2023-07-23 269.03 275.85 285.47 289.98 313.57 327.11 364.18 391.27 474.65 2023-07-24 263.06 266.09 275.90 280.97 298.83 313.89 343.21 391.91 460.10 2023-07-25 257.13 266.03 270.66 275.18 299.12 311.02 340.86 371.72 436.60 2023-07-26 251.63 262.31 267.42 283.49 302.60 313.06 331.42 399.93 500.19 2023-07-27 245.61 254.53 261.21 280.14 296.88 330.67 365.41 411.96 583.32 2023-07-28 241.18 249.05 256.18 275.24 302.66 324.03 346.12 386.33 503.68 2023-07-29 235.60 245.08 253.57 274.19 298.66 315.54 329.56 375.36 425.84 2023-07-30 230.71 243.26 262.14 274.16 289.79 311.55 342.75 376.91 543.97 2023-07-31 226.34 238.33 250.62 262.95 276.10 300.01 327.44 370.81 487.60