Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-05-26 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-05-26 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-05-26 3655.45 3655.45 3655.45 3655.45 3655.45 3655.45 3655.45 3655.45 3655.45 2023-05-27 3835.16 3835.16 3835.16 3835.16 3835.16 3835.16 3835.16 3835.16 3835.16 2023-05-28 4110.80 4110.80 4110.80 4110.80 4110.80 4110.80 4110.80 4110.80 4110.80 2023-05-29 3866.11 3866.11 3866.11 3866.11 3866.11 3866.11 3866.11 3866.11 3866.11 2023-05-30 3866.98 3866.98 3866.98 3866.98 3866.98 3866.98 3866.98 3866.98 3866.98 2023-05-31 4047.79 4047.79 4047.79 4047.79 4047.79 4047.79 4047.79 4047.79 4047.79 2023-06-01 4059.47 4059.47 4059.47 4059.47 4059.47 4059.48 4059.48 4059.48 4059.48 2023-06-02 3970.17 3970.17 3970.18 3970.18 3970.18 3970.19 3970.19 3970.20 3970.20 2023-06-03 3495.27 3496.40 3496.59 3496.85 3497.32 3497.57 3512.97 3523.44 3548.26 2023-06-04 3108.80 3171.00 3187.39 3201.84 3218.03 3232.23 3257.35 3354.28 3473.59 2023-06-05 2844.00 2934.49 3057.04 3141.63 3219.98 3253.25 3331.17 3403.04 3544.12 2023-06-06 2558.09 2723.15 2912.29 3063.36 3154.34 3287.91 3416.34 3491.66 3707.36 2023-06-07 2345.96 2631.06 2780.91 2861.90 3099.17 3276.21 3352.94 3524.43 3808.01 2023-06-08 2137.28 2348.52 2644.55 2819.32 3064.61 3145.61 3262.62 3441.48 3590.62 2023-06-09 2032.55 2225.31 2416.40 2545.97 2763.71 2932.69 3127.96 3326.65 3633.41 2023-06-10 1942.42 2076.31 2200.37 2308.12 2420.80 2716.40 2843.04 2938.47 3279.26 2023-06-11 1830.77 1900.31 1994.52 2062.42 2127.39 2350.82 2478.10 2662.79 2834.68 2023-06-12 1725.06 1844.85 1893.72 1936.60 2020.20 2127.54 2316.74 2424.59 2497.98 2023-06-13 1608.97 1769.49 1856.53 1935.47 1962.78 2035.41 2096.25 2178.87 2303.81 2023-06-14 1574.06 1755.40 1803.09 1841.66 1860.92 1923.42 1998.85 2110.01 2211.27 2023-06-15 1505.09 1606.38 1702.07 1748.00 1799.23 1830.94 1922.44 2045.01 2176.07 2023-06-16 1448.47 1588.48 1631.39 1656.75 1721.12 1823.13 1921.48 2072.44 2223.53 2023-06-17 1331.85 1498.10 1567.74 1618.66 1666.11 1707.34 1832.60 1922.25 1997.28 2023-06-18 1303.45 1446.37 1474.34 1549.35 1590.31 1620.56 1710.45 1819.84 1992.20 2023-06-19 1270.56 1388.56 1429.35 1457.67 1508.58 1554.12 1639.99 1751.89 1990.71 2023-06-20 1283.10 1330.57 1372.56 1403.91 1434.99 1482.70 1551.93 1717.85 1950.19 2023-06-21 1226.96 1290.82 1316.99 1346.95 1383.70 1424.80 1548.59 1683.40 1832.81 2023-06-22 1150.39 1222.25 1237.83 1285.53 1321.74 1364.98 1475.58 1615.32 1710.98 2023-06-23 1110.29 1137.55 1177.07 1210.32 1275.63 1366.53 1419.19 1506.84 1628.38 2023-06-24 997.65 1080.27 1101.54 1155.53 1174.10 1311.82 1353.12 1410.34 1575.10 2023-06-25 917.18 996.88 1041.48 1065.42 1097.45 1204.48 1260.20 1363.99 1486.49 2023-06-26 872.83 923.52 986.57 998.07 1054.30 1124.17 1172.78 1299.13 1427.84 2023-06-27 836.58 855.36 902.57 955.30 1000.83 1067.90 1160.43 1292.63 1407.54 2023-06-28 750.43 777.09 820.03 877.29 930.44 985.05 1076.91 1182.75 1346.31 2023-06-29 682.45 709.61 741.07 817.13 869.84 931.32 1022.08 1103.31 1339.48 2023-06-30 629.83 642.88 677.91 756.15 801.90 876.00 964.49 1036.29 1242.55 2023-07-01 579.69 607.46 663.78 690.79 760.78 830.98 902.14 1000.24 1108.17 2023-07-02 533.00 580.15 612.90 649.22 717.88 800.19 862.22 927.07 1086.86 2023-07-03 494.94 548.53 588.87 607.42 682.28 756.21 789.41 856.21 1022.35 2023-07-04 462.03 523.65 545.61 583.53 645.23 685.55 730.34 799.51 967.06 2023-07-05 437.89 488.10 510.97 542.30 604.31 631.83 665.00 768.50 867.73 2023-07-06 411.93 450.55 473.83 496.73 560.83 583.48 609.30 712.50 776.03 2023-07-07 389.08 422.89 451.36 484.87 529.61 540.79 578.72 684.71 768.05 2023-07-08 374.45 399.11 418.94 438.77 484.31 501.90 543.48 609.17 696.23 2023-07-09 364.96 379.82 390.74 422.69 462.54 489.44 532.07 575.68 666.39 2023-07-10 349.17 369.35 378.97 402.08 428.44 452.19 532.66 634.39 785.30 2023-07-11 330.75 351.25 378.59 396.99 408.99 439.42 493.73 586.53 726.44 2023-07-12 350.93 371.63 392.36 412.34 426.79 457.73 516.26 577.95 753.11 2023-07-13 348.95 364.05 385.08 393.40 405.52 441.95 519.45 593.64 657.42 2023-07-14 335.87 351.61 363.91 373.05 382.27 465.36 501.04 568.68 609.93 2023-07-15 323.90 337.35 347.99 354.17 384.28 430.80 443.04 492.82 557.51 2023-07-16 320.38 325.90 332.58 339.01 373.06 408.70 428.82 462.48 506.65 2023-07-17 313.15 316.30 322.22 332.23 367.56 383.17 397.93 450.74 552.08 2023-07-18 303.82 307.12 312.75 327.27 350.37 362.55 378.87 443.36 507.97 2023-07-19 293.70 297.02 303.11 315.33 321.05 343.73 365.38 405.36 509.62 2023-07-20 286.84 291.00 296.51 302.61 307.36 324.78 346.56 387.61 461.93 2023-07-21 278.41 287.60 292.02 298.15 313.11 328.92 337.71 375.43 439.66 2023-07-22 270.55 277.29 281.46 290.73 300.46 317.98 342.37 378.35 478.51 2023-07-23 264.78 271.24 274.50 283.59 301.86 320.60 346.19 376.33 460.72 2023-07-24 259.07 263.16 266.49 274.36 286.96 307.19 326.81 381.28 440.91 2023-07-25 252.86 259.48 264.91 268.32 291.36 305.67 326.21 350.65 420.22 2023-07-26 247.59 254.34 261.31 276.40 298.66 307.83 323.45 388.86 480.62 2023-07-27 241.83 248.48 255.26 270.85 288.85 321.18 351.81 398.36 563.20 2023-07-28 237.57 244.06 251.15 266.23 295.40 317.48 336.41 378.26 493.84 2023-07-29 232.34 238.04 248.44 268.49 286.71 303.20 322.30 358.44 411.63 2023-07-30 227.52 238.65 258.01 268.49 282.15 304.76 335.24 364.57 537.98 2023-07-31 223.28 233.25 247.56 256.75 268.80 285.86 320.18 363.83 483.73