Chance of Exceeding River Levels for: MPHC2L_F Forecast Period: 2023-06-15 - 2023-07-31 Simulation date: 2023-06-15 start date 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2023-06-15 1859.17 1859.17 1859.17 1859.17 1859.17 1859.17 1859.17 1859.17 1859.17 2023-06-16 1763.29 1763.29 1763.29 1763.29 1763.29 1763.29 1763.29 1763.29 1763.29 2023-06-17 1707.45 1707.45 1707.45 1707.45 1707.45 1707.45 1707.45 1707.45 1707.45 2023-06-18 1652.51 1652.51 1652.51 1652.51 1652.51 1652.51 1652.51 1652.51 1652.51 2023-06-19 1594.80 1594.80 1594.80 1594.80 1594.80 1594.80 1594.80 1594.80 1594.80 2023-06-20 1554.22 1554.22 1554.22 1554.22 1554.22 1554.22 1554.22 1554.22 1554.22 2023-06-21 1578.60 1578.60 1578.60 1578.60 1578.60 1578.60 1578.60 1578.60 1578.60 2023-06-22 1568.69 1568.70 1568.71 1568.71 1568.72 1568.77 1568.77 1568.77 1568.77 2023-06-23 1595.74 1595.77 1595.79 1595.82 1595.84 1595.86 1595.88 1596.32 1603.01 2023-06-24 1567.89 1573.23 1580.08 1584.09 1589.05 1593.04 1597.05 1605.19 1610.82 2023-06-25 1483.14 1499.94 1534.70 1553.69 1561.34 1593.53 1620.07 1630.50 1653.23 2023-06-26 1418.90 1446.43 1480.80 1504.54 1569.03 1591.74 1643.37 1673.24 1773.17 2023-06-27 1344.19 1369.95 1423.84 1492.95 1508.59 1557.53 1584.82 1670.85 1868.74 2023-06-28 1234.14 1283.77 1308.39 1325.31 1386.61 1454.25 1487.81 1511.32 1584.73 2023-06-29 1135.63 1201.13 1243.10 1267.83 1293.56 1320.52 1367.62 1406.08 1467.53 2023-06-30 1055.59 1131.10 1177.19 1211.52 1224.46 1239.18 1270.52 1304.48 1346.94 2023-07-01 1031.47 1079.76 1107.19 1131.37 1149.43 1164.98 1185.65 1225.07 1239.65 2023-07-02 977.60 1005.82 1050.82 1066.96 1077.51 1093.15 1112.71 1158.03 1174.57 2023-07-03 931.43 956.18 981.68 994.85 1012.22 1025.90 1043.24 1091.88 1107.47 2023-07-04 858.29 890.15 908.49 923.75 943.11 956.16 981.54 1001.77 1058.08 2023-07-05 787.04 807.80 835.61 845.63 865.17 884.14 899.51 948.03 1004.19 2023-07-06 715.71 728.61 763.97 775.10 789.27 802.82 833.62 866.72 946.69 2023-07-07 660.33 679.64 708.82 725.71 733.33 761.27 796.04 867.18 902.89 2023-07-08 610.48 629.04 658.63 665.79 677.23 699.20 729.48 758.65 822.35 2023-07-09 561.93 586.11 605.65 626.10 634.40 647.70 673.47 743.93 822.60 2023-07-10 518.25 542.04 564.11 585.24 607.21 623.04 666.87 751.71 860.29 2023-07-11 487.92 499.11 516.44 545.70 553.50 592.69 684.64 709.41 770.77 2023-07-12 486.45 503.38 515.75 542.18 558.41 605.17 649.43 698.58 793.88 2023-07-13 465.32 475.78 495.62 526.70 546.16 576.85 624.02 672.98 737.21 2023-07-14 437.31 450.82 464.83 501.41 512.09 550.72 596.73 630.84 726.40 2023-07-15 412.93 424.76 435.95 465.65 476.44 507.48 548.45 598.28 658.60 2023-07-16 392.52 399.36 411.30 431.50 452.92 475.23 515.02 582.01 654.00 2023-07-17 369.91 379.23 386.89 402.09 438.01 463.23 501.18 543.82 602.25 2023-07-18 355.96 365.38 374.07 387.70 410.56 434.51 484.64 515.22 633.99 2023-07-19 339.43 351.22 361.61 372.74 400.81 408.03 436.08 466.48 577.84 2023-07-20 326.78 337.07 349.22 360.08 370.05 385.95 416.39 445.29 524.79 2023-07-21 317.47 330.61 339.77 344.24 360.63 383.81 412.69 453.18 504.17 2023-07-22 307.46 321.31 326.46 331.82 344.85 368.90 396.80 443.42 524.92 2023-07-23 300.04 309.37 316.29 320.66 333.51 354.69 410.51 478.23 526.08 2023-07-24 293.22 301.56 305.60 309.43 315.57 338.28 365.64 436.20 519.89 2023-07-25 285.21 291.66 296.62 303.21 317.62 338.14 382.09 438.28 475.17 2023-07-26 282.32 289.20 293.09 306.08 319.49 343.53 372.42 438.13 524.96 2023-07-27 272.59 282.60 290.43 298.66 323.00 367.87 400.77 424.59 600.30 2023-07-28 267.73 275.39 284.42 294.77 323.75 346.56 363.45 425.76 532.13 2023-07-29 261.85 270.17 274.42 304.34 321.19 343.12 362.32 387.49 443.04 2023-07-30 256.16 264.36 281.09 296.24 311.15 337.14 364.05 408.02 589.31 2023-07-31 249.68 258.38 265.37 285.71 293.35 304.12 355.51 398.82 526.93