SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 3, 2014

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January Final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2014
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent 


Rio Blanco near Pagosa Springs FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    35.0    47.0    70.0     


Navajo near Chromo FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    41.0    55.0    83.0     


Vallecito Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   150.0   205.0   270.0     
       Jan     5.5     5.8     6.2
       Feb     4.3     4.8     6.0
       Mar     4.5     9.5    17.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   480.0   690.0   990.0     
       Jan    18.0    23.0    28.0
       Feb    17.0    26.0    48.0
       Mar    44.0    85.0   150.0


Animas-Durango FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   320.0   440.0   540.0     
       Jan    11.0    13.0    14.0
       Feb     9.0    11.0    14.0
       Mar    13.0    20.0    37.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    43.0    57.0    81.0     
       Jan     0.7     0.9     1.2
       Feb     0.5     0.7     0.9
       Mar     0.7     1.4     3.0