SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 16, 2014

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January Mid-Month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2014
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent 


Rio Blanco near Pagosa Springs FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    32.0    44.0    66.0     


Navajo near Chromo FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    39.0    52.0    75.0     


Vallecito Reservoir FORECAST             
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   140.0   190.0   250.0     
       Jan     5.5     5.8     6.2
       Feb     4.3     4.8     6.0
       Mar     5.5     9.5    17.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   440.0   650.0   930.0     
       Jan    20.0    23.0    26.0
       Feb    20.0    26.0    47.0
       Mar    47.0    80.0   130.0


Animas-Durango FORECAST               
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   280.0   400.0   520.0     
       Jan    11.0    13.0    14.0
       Feb     9.0    11.0    14.0
       Mar    13.0    19.0    33.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST             
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    37.0    52.0    74.0     
       Jan     0.7     0.9     1.2
       Feb     0.5     0.7     0.9
       Mar     0.7     1.4     3.0