SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
February 4, 2014

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

February Final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2014
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    34.0    47.0    65.0     


Navajo Near Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    37.0    55.0    78.0     


Little Navajo Near Chromo FORECAST
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     2.2     5.5    9.0     
       Feb     0.07    0.09   1.2
       Mar     0.15    0.3    0.6
       Apr     0.6     1.5    2.7


Vallecito Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   137.0   205.0   250.0     
       Feb     4.4     4.8     5.5
       Mar     6.0     8.5    16.0
       Apr    17.0    26.0    44.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   410.0   660.0   950.0     
       Feb    19.0    23.0    41.0
       Mar    46.0    74.0   120.0
       Apr    92.0   150.0   210.0


Animas-Durango FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   305.0   415.0   530.0     
       Feb     9.0    11.0    13.0
       Mar    14.0    18.0    31.0
       Apr    40.0    54.0    85.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    40.0    50.0    70.0     
       Feb     0.5     0.7     0.9
       Mar     0.7     1.3     2.7
       Apr     2.7     5.5    10.0