SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
March 17, 2014

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

March Mid-Month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2014
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    28.0    38.0    54.0     


Navajo-Chromo FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    28.0    45.0    62.0     

Little Navajo near Chromo FORECAST 
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     2.3     4.5    6.8     
       Mar     0.3     0.4    0.5
       Apr     0.5     0.9    1.6
       May     1.5     2.6    3.8

Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   150.0   190.0   250.0     
       Mar     8.0    10.0    14.0
       Apr    19.0    26.0    39.0
       May    46.0    74.0    95.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   380.0   590.0   830.0     
       Mar    55.0    75.0    90.0
       Apr    95.0   145.0   190.0
       May   150.0   248.0   320.0


Animas - Durango FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   320.0   420.0   520.0     
       Mar    17.0    20.0    24.0
       Apr    35.0    53.0    68.0
       May   110.0   163.0   200.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    34.0    48.0    64.0     
       Mar     1.4     1.8     2.5
       Apr     3.5     6.0     9.0
       May    15.0    21.0    28.0