SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
June 16, 2014

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

June Mid Month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2014
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    27.0    30.0    33.0      8.4    14.5  


Navajo-Chromo FORECAST                OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    28.0    32.0    36.0      7.5    12.2  

Little Navajo near Chromo FORECAST    OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May
   Apr-Jul     1.8     2.1    2.4       0.3     1.2
       Jun     0.3     0.5    0.7
       Jul     0.0     0.1    0.2
       Aug     0.1     0.2    0.3 


Vallecito Reseroir FORECAST           OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   143.0   150.0   165.0     28.0    59.0  
       Jun    44.0    48.0    55.0
       Jul    12.0    15.0    23.0
       Aug    10.0    14.0    25.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST             OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   415.0   430.0   465.0    123.0   176.0  
       Jun   111.0   119.0   130.0
       Jul     5.0    12.0    36.0
       Aug     2.0    20.0    47.0


Animas - Durango FORECAST             OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   345.0   360.0   380.0     53.0   119.0  
       Jun   140.0   147.0   155.0
       Jul    33.0    41.0    53.0
       Aug    17.0    25.0    39.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST              OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%      Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    35.0    38.0    46.0      7.5    17.1  
       Jun     9.0    10.0    16.0
       Jul     1.0     3.0     5.0
       Aug     1.6     3.0     5.8