SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 5, 2015

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January Final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts for 2015
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    22.0    35.0    55.0     


Navajo-Chromo FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    24.0    37.0    61.0     

Little Navajo near Chromo FORECAST 
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     1.5     3.2     7.5    
       Jan     0.9     0.1     0.2
       Feb     0.9     0.1     0.2 
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.4
       
Vallecito Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   112.0   160.0   230.0     
       Jan     3.5     5.0     6.0
       Feb     3.5     4.2     5.5
       Mar     4.5     6.6    10.0


Navajo Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   250.0   450.0   750.0     
       Jan    15.0    17.0    22.0
       Feb    15.0    20.0    30.0
       Mar    30.0    50.0    80.0


Animas - Durango FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   225.0   350.0   480.0     
       Jan    10.0    12.0    14.0
       Feb    10.0    11.0    13.0
       Mar    13.0    18.0    25.0


Lemon Reservoir FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    27.0    42.0    68.0     
       Jan     0.6     0.8     1.0
       Feb     0.4     0.6     0.8
       Mar     0.8     1.3     2.1