SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
June 02, 2015

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

June final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    30.0    33.0    42.0        5.2    16.4  


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    31.0    34.0    42.0        5.6    14.3  


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul     3.1     3.4     4.0        0.7     2.1  
       Jun     0.3     0.5     0.8
       Jul     0.0     0.1     0.4
       Aug     0.0     0.1     0.3


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   122.0   135.0   174.0       18.5    43.0  
       Jun    50.0    57.0    77.0
       Jul    10.0    16.0    35.0
       Aug     8.0    13.0    25.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   370.0   405.0   470.0       80.0   180.0  
       Jun   100.0   125.0   165.0
       Jul    10.0    20.0    45.0
       Aug     2.0    18.0    42.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   290.0   315.0   370.0       34.0    91.0  
       Jun   130.0   142.0   175.0
       Jul    35.0    48.0    70.0
       Aug    15.0    25.0    47.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    27.0    32.0    40.0        4.8    10.0  
       Jun    11.0    14.0    18.0
       Jul     1.0     3.0     7.0
       Aug     1.0     2.0     5.0