SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 4, 2016

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    46.0    58.0    81.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    55.0    68.0   100.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     5.0     7.0    13.0     
       Jan     0.1     0.1     0.1
       Feb     0.1     0.1     0.1
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.6


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   155.0   210.0   280.0     
       Jan     5.0     6.0     7.0
       Feb     4.0     4.5     5.0
       Mar     6.0     9.0    15.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   550.0   770.0  1120.0     
       Jan    16.0    19.0    23.0
       Feb    19.0    24.0    44.0
       Mar    52.0    80.0   160.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   330.0   440.0   560.0     
       Jan    11.0    12.0    13.0
       Feb     9.0    10.0    12.0
       Mar     13.0   18.0    29.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    40.0    55.0    75.0     
       Jan     0.7     0.8     0.9
       Feb     0.6     0.7     0.9
       Mar     0.8     1.3     2.5