SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
February 2, 2016

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

February final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    42.0    58.0    80.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    48.0    68.0    94.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     4.0     7.0    12.0     
       Feb     0.1     0.1     0.1
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.6
       Apr     1.0     1.5     2.8


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   150.0   205.0   270.0     
       Feb     4.0     5.0     6.0
       Mar     6.0     9.0    14.0
       Apr    14.0    23.0    38.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   500.0   735.0  1080.0     
       Feb    20.0    25.0    41.0
       Mar    50.0    85.0   130.0
       Apr   110.0   171.0   260.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   310.0   425.0   545.0     
       Feb     9.0    10.0    12.0
       Mar    13.0    17.0    27.0
       Apr    35.0    55.0    85.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    36.0    55.0    75.0     
       Feb     0.6     0.7     0.8
       Mar     0.8     1.3     3.0
       Apr     3.0     6.0    11.0