SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
March 15, 2016

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

March mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    33.0    49.0    60.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    37.0    55.0    68.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     3.0     5.0     7.0     
       Mar     0.3     0.4     0.5
       Apr     0.5     1.0     1.5
       May     1.5     3.0     4.0


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   120.0   170.0   215.0     
       Mar     6.0    12.0     8.0
       Apr    14.0    19.0    31.0
       May    42.0    65.0    81.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   375.0   570.0   775.0     
       Mar    67.0    78.0    89.0
       Apr    95.0   120.0   185.0
       May   135.0   235.0   295.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   270.0   365.0   440.0     
       Mar    22.0    25.0    28.0
       Apr    32.0    50.0    75.0
       May    80.0   135.0   165.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    27.0    42.0    58.0     
       Mar     1.8     2.0     2.5
       Apr     2.0     4.0     8.0
       May    11.0    18.0    22.0