SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
April 18, 2016

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

April mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    34.0    43.0    57.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    34.0    45.0    63.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     3.0     4.4     6.8     
       Apr     0.9     1.2     1.7
       May     1.8     2.5     3.5
       Jun     0.2     0.5     1.3


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   105.0   155.0   210.0     
       Apr    23.0    27.0    32.0
       May    42.0    58.0    71.0
       Jun    30.0    51.0    72.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   350.0   515.0   730.0     
       Apr   115.0   130.0   155.0
       May   130.0   210.0   270.0
       Jun    95.0   148.0   230.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   235.0   330.0   450.0     
       Apr    40.0    46.0    52.0
       May    82.0   123.0   147.0
       Jun    82.0   116.0   165.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    23.0    38.0    45.0     
       Apr     4.0     5.0     7.0
       May     9.0    15.0    19.0
       Jun     8.0    14.0    22.0