SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
May 03, 2016

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

May final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul    38.0    45.0    56.0        7.3  


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST                OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul    41.0    51.0    60.0        7.8  


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST         OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul     4.0     5.0     6.5        1.2  
       May     2.2     2.6     3.5
       Jun     0.5     1.0     1.5
       Jul     0.1     0.2     0.3


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST          OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul   122.0   155.0   190.0       25.0  
       May    40.0    54.0    62.0
       Jun    42.0    54.0    68.0
       Jul    15.0    22.0    35.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST             OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul   440.0   520.0   620.0      120.0  
       May   160.0   195.0   230.0
       Jun   140.0   170.0   200.0
       Jul    20.0    35.0    70.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST               OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul   260.0   315.0   395.0       44.0  
       May    79.0   105.0   120.0
       Jun    99.0   116.0   141.0
       Jul    38.0    50.0    90.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr 
   Apr-Jul    32.0    40.0    51.0        5.0  
       May    12.0    15.0    19.0
       Jun    13.0    16.0    20.0
       Jul     2.0     4.0     7.0