SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
June 1, 2016

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

June final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST                   OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    40.0    45.0    50.0        7.3    16.6  


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST                OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    45.0    50.0    56.0        7.8    15.8  


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST         OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul     4.1     4.5     5.0        1.2     2.2  
       Jun     0.6     0.9     1.2
       Jul     0.1     0.2     0.4
       Aug     0.1     0.2     0.4


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST          OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   159.0   172.0   191.0       25.0    60.0  
       Jun    58.0    66.0    76.0
       Jul    16.0    21.0    30.0
       Aug    10.0    15.0    25.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST             OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   515.0   545.0   595.0      119.0   209.0  
       Jun   167.0   186.0   210.0
       Jul    20.0    31.0    57.0
       Aug     6.0    27.0    50.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST               OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul   310.0   330.0   370.0       44.0   108.0  
       Jun   120.0   132.0   150.0
       Jul    38.0    46.0    68.0
       Aug    21.0    30.0    49.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              OBSERVED
              90%     50%     10%        Apr     May 
   Apr-Jul    34.0    39.0    46.0        5.0    11.5  
       Jun    14.0    18.0    22.0
       Jul     3.0     4.0     7.0
       Aug     1.0     3.0     6.0