SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 4, 2017

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    37.0    49.0    75.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    40.0    55.0    87.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     4.0     6.0    11.0     
       Jan     0.1     0.1     0.1
       Feb     0.1     0.1     0.1
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.6


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   122.0   172.0   250.0     
       Jan     4.0     5.0     7.0
       Feb     4.0     4.0     6.0
       Mar     5.0     7.0    12.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   400.0   580.0   990.0     
       Jan    19.0    22.0    32.0
       Feb    18.0    23.0    42.0
       Mar    40.0    68.0   140.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   270.0   390.0   505.0     
       Jan    11.0    12.0    13.0
       Feb     9.0    10.0    12.0
       Mar    13.0    17.0    26.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    32.0    48.0    73.0     
       Jan     0.6     0.8     1.0
       Feb     0.4     0.6     1.0
       Mar     0.8     1.2     2.0