SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 17, 2017

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    45.0    55.0    76.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    54.0    66.0    92.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     5.0     8.0    13.0     
       Jan     0.1     0.1     0.2
       Feb     0.1     0.1     0.1
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.7


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   175.0   210.0   280.0     
       Jan     5.0     6.5     8.0
       Feb     4.0     4.0     6.0
       Mar     5.0     8.0    15.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   580.0   750.0  1100.0     
       Jan    30.0    35.0    40.0
       Feb    22.0    31.0    55.0
       Mar    56.0   100.0   140.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   370.0   470.0   600.0     
       Jan    12.0    14.0    16.0
       Feb     9.0    11.0    13.0
       Mar    13.0    18.0    32.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    48.0    58.0    82.0     
       Jan     0.8     1.0     1.2
       Feb     0.4     0.6     1.0
       Mar     0.8     1.1     2.5