SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
February 16, 2017

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

February mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    48.0    67.0    83.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    53.0    77.0    95.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     5.0     9.0    13.0     
       Feb     0.1     0.1     0.2
       Mar     0.2     0.4     0.9
       Apr     1.0     2.0     3.0


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   165.0   225.0   290.0     
       Feb     5.0     6.0     9.0
       Mar     7.0    11.0    15.0
       Apr    18.0    24.0    36.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   550.0   850.0  1150.0     
       Feb    45.0    55.0   110.0
       Mar    65.0   122.0   185.0
       Apr   115.0   177.0   280.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   360.0   515.0   640.0     
       Feb    10.0    13.0    16.0
       Mar    19.0    25.0    35.0
       Apr    43.0    65.0    94.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    45.0    65.0    83.0     
       Feb     0.5     1.0     1.5
       Mar     1.0     1.5     3.0
       Apr     3.0     6.0    11.0