SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
March 16, 2017

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

March mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    45.0    61.0    75.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    50.0    70.0    87.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     6.0     9.0    13.0     
       Mar     0.6     0.8     1.2
       Apr     1.0     3.0     4.0
       May     3.0     4.0     6.0


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   140.0   210.0   290.0     
       Mar    10.0    13.0    17.0
       Apr    15.0    21.0    35.0
       May    50.0    75.0    95.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   495.0   760.0  1140.0     
       Mar   100.0   120.0   140.0
       Apr   120.0   175.0   245.0
       May   190.0   295.0   375.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   345.0   480.0   650.0     
       Mar    20.0    30.0    45.0
       Apr    45.0    66.0    90.0
       May   115.0   172.0   200.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    37.0    59.0    85.0     
       Mar     2.0     3.0     4.0
       Apr     4.0     6.0     9.0
       May    15.0    23.0    29.0