SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 3, 2018

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    20.0    35.0    56.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    27.0    42.0    68.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     1.0     4.0     8.0     
       Jan     0.0     0.1     0.2
       Feb     0.0     0.1     0.2
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.5


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    55.0   100.0   170.0     
       Jan     2.5     3.5     4.5
       Feb     2.0     3.0     4.0
       Mar     3.0     5.0     6.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   230.0   350.0   640.0     
       Jan    10.0    14.0    22.0
       Feb    11.0    16.0    24.0
       Mar    25.0    40.0    65.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   125.0   200.0   320.0     
       Jan     8.0    10.0    12.0
       Feb     6.0     8.0    10.0
       Mar     9.0    12.0    17.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    15.0    27.0    53.0     
       Jan     0.3     0.5     1.0
       Feb     0.2     0.5     0.8
       Mar     0.5     1.0     1.5