SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
January 16, 2018

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

January mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    20.0    32.0    47.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    25.0    38.0    55.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     1.0     3.0     6.0     
       Jan     0.05    0.1     0.2
       Feb     0.05    0.1     0.2
       Mar     0.1     0.4     0.4


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    55.0    90.0   155.0     
       Jan     3.0     3.5     4.0
       Feb     2.0     3.0     4.0
       Mar     3.0     5.0     7.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   200.0   295.0   520.0     
       Jan    10.0    14.0    22.0
       Feb    12.0    16.0    24.0
       Mar    24.0    38.0    55.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   120.0   195.0   260.0     
       Jan     8.0    10.0    12.0
       Feb     6.0     8.0    10.0
       Mar     9.0    12.0    17.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    12.0    24.0    45.0     
       Jan     0.2     0.5     1.0
       Feb     0.3     0.5     1.0
       Mar     0.5     1.0     1.5