SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
February 15, 2018

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

February mid-month Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    15.0    28.0    41.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    20.0    35.0    50.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     1.0     3.0     5.0     
       Feb     0.1     0.2     0.3
       Mar     0.1     0.2     0.4
       Apr     0.2     0.5     1.0


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    36.0    73.0   125.0     
       Feb     2.0     3.0     4.0
       Mar     3.0     4.0     5.0
       Apr     5.0     8.0    12.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   150.0   260.0   470.0     
       Feb    12.0    15.0    19.0
       Mar    22.0    32.0    42.0
       Apr    35.0    53.0    85.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    85.0   165.0   240.0     
       Feb     5.0     8.0    10.0
       Mar     8.0    11.0    15.0
       Apr    12.0    19.0    25.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     8.0    17.0    32.0     
       Feb     0.3     0.5     1.0
       Mar     0.2     0.5     1.0
       Apr     1.0     2.0     3.0