SLCESPCO
National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
February 4, 2019

San Juan Basin Special Forecast Group

February Final Forecasts

Seasonal and Monthly forecasts
Forecast volumes in thousands of acre-feet (KAF)
Exceedance probabilities in percent


Rio Blanco  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    27.0    38.0    60.0     


Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    31.0    45.0    70.0     


Little Navajo-Chromo  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul     2.0     4.0     8.0     
       Feb     0.0     0.1     0.2
       Mar     0.2     0.3     0.4
       Apr     0.5     1.0     1.0


Vallecito Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    92.0   135.0   210.0     
       Feb     2.0     3.0     4.0
       Mar     2.0     4.0     7.0
       Apr     7.0    12.0    23.0


Navajo Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   275.0   430.0   750.0     
       Feb    10.0    15.0    24.0
       Mar    30.0    40.0    65.0
       Apr    50.0    78.0   140.0


Animas-Durango  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul   200.0   290.0   425.0     
       Feb     4.0     6.0     8.0
       Mar     8.0    11.0    17.0
       Apr    17.0    25.0    44.0


Lemon Reservoir  FORECAST              
              90%     50%     10%    
   Apr-Jul    22.0    35.0    58.0     
       Feb     0.3     0.5     1.0
       Mar     0.5     1.0     2.0
       Apr     1.0     3.0     6.0