SLCESGCO COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECASTCENTER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UTAH May 09, 2022 Seasonal outlook for maximum flows: YDLC2L_F Comments: The timing of the peak is currently due to forecast temperatures 5-10 degrees above normal for May 16-20. The actual timing and magnitude of the peak will be highly dependent on whether those temperatures verify. Please watch the 15 day deterministic forecasts for daily updates. # ESP Forecast Information # # Analysis Period: 2022-05-09 - 2022-07-31 (MST) # Forecast Parameters: River Discharge # Forecast Interval: 2022-05-09 - 2022-07-31 (MST) # Forecast Point: YDLC2L_F Daily Peak -- Seasonal Maximum # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 9986 10238 10570 11590 15491 CFSD Number of Days to Peak from: 2022-05-09 # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 11 12 13 15 19 DAYS Number of Days Above: 6000 cfs # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 23 25 29 33 36 DAYS Number of Days Above: 8000 cfs # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 7 8 11 15 18 DAYS Number of Days Above: 10000 cfs # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 0 1 3 5 7 DAYS Number of Days Above: 11000 cfs # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 0 0 0 2 3 DAYS Number of Days Above: 12000 cfs # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # ------------------------------------------------------------------ # 0 0 0 0 1 DAYS 1-week Seasonal Peak Flow Max Highlight: # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Interval: 2022-05-16 - 2022-05-22 9885 10152 10417 10755 11627 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-17 - 2022-05-23 9986 10213 10442 10830 11627 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-18 - 2022-05-24 9986 10215 10457 11062 12679 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-19 - 2022-05-25 9986 10215 10457 11532 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-20 - 2022-05-26 9986 10215 10457 11532 12765 CFSD 2-week Seasonal Peak Flow Max Highlight: # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Interval: 2022-05-18 - 2022-05-31 9986 10238 10544 11590 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-19 - 2022-06-01 9986 10238 10544 11590 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-20 - 2022-06-02 9986 10238 10570 11590 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-21 - 2022-06-03 9986 10235 10544 11540 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-22 - 2022-06-04 9789 10060 10457 11540 15491 CFSD 1-week Seasonal Peak Flow: # ESP Forecast Information # # Analysis Period: 2022-05-09 - 2022-07-31 (MST) # Forecast Parameters: River River Flow (Mean Daily) - (CFSD) # Forecast Interval: 1 week # Forecast Point: YDLC2L_F # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Interval: 2022-05-09 - 2022-05-15 8170 8170 8170 8170 8170 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-10 - 2022-05-16 8170 8170 8170 8170 8170 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-11 - 2022-05-17 8170 8170 8170 8170 8170 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-12 - 2022-05-18 8170 8170 8170 8170 8170 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-13 - 2022-05-19 8754 8831 8984 9227 10046 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-14 - 2022-05-20 9459 9623 9930 10239 11447 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-15 - 2022-05-21 9817 10069 10248 10671 11482 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-16 - 2022-05-22 9885 10152 10417 10755 11627 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-17 - 2022-05-23 9986 10213 10442 10830 11627 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-18 - 2022-05-24 9986 10215 10457 11062 12679 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-19 - 2022-05-25 9986 10215 10457 11532 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-20 - 2022-05-26 9986 10215 10457 11532 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-21 - 2022-05-27 9901 10179 10442 10838 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-22 - 2022-05-28 9301 9907 10439 11125 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-23 - 2022-05-29 8842 9381 10065 11041 11804 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-24 - 2022-05-30 8400 9016 9856 10691 12401 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-25 - 2022-05-31 8012 8341 9423 10302 12401 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-26 - 2022-06-01 6934 8128 9354 10302 11356 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-27 - 2022-06-02 6903 8136 9354 10352 10944 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-28 - 2022-06-03 6889 8382 9354 10352 10944 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-29 - 2022-06-04 6222 7645 8231 9349 10066 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-30 - 2022-06-05 6121 7238 8177 9121 10060 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-31 - 2022-06-06 6112 6916 7992 8946 10060 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-01 - 2022-06-07 5946 6838 7523 8983 9917 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-02 - 2022-06-08 6150 6631 7234 8547 9774 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-03 - 2022-06-09 6153 6396 7046 8537 9468 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-04 - 2022-06-10 6231 6385 6862 8029 9300 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-05 - 2022-06-11 5860 6333 6749 7579 8897 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-06 - 2022-06-12 5851 6238 6545 7187 8864 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-07 - 2022-06-13 5533 5868 6457 7172 8775 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-08 - 2022-06-14 5238 5784 6357 7118 8074 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-09 - 2022-06-15 5217 5595 6290 7102 8070 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-10 - 2022-06-16 5021 5329 5700 6909 7939 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-11 - 2022-06-17 4367 5168 5588 6985 7466 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-12 - 2022-06-18 4307 4975 5476 6323 7256 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-13 - 2022-06-19 3821 4725 5273 5870 7212 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-14 - 2022-06-20 3787 4219 4999 6020 6998 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-15 - 2022-06-21 3611 3849 4969 5800 6962 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-16 - 2022-06-22 3519 3795 4784 5485 6906 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-17 - 2022-06-23 3429 3641 4521 5246 6882 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-18 - 2022-06-24 3155 3528 4290 4875 6865 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-19 - 2022-06-25 3081 3298 3919 4875 6644 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-20 - 2022-06-26 2977 3135 3767 4842 6574 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-21 - 2022-06-27 2810 3092 3720 4461 5870 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-22 - 2022-06-28 2497 3015 3601 4197 5441 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-23 - 2022-06-29 2186 2784 3514 3988 5441 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-24 - 2022-06-30 2023 2424 3445 3870 5380 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-25 - 2022-07-01 1876 2258 3275 3784 5125 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-26 - 2022-07-02 1705 2061 3048 3654 4680 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-27 - 2022-07-03 1641 1957 2874 3437 4220 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-28 - 2022-07-04 1546 1853 2626 3183 4020 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-29 - 2022-07-05 1483 1703 2523 2983 3818 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-30 - 2022-07-06 1331 1572 2317 2752 3591 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-01 - 2022-07-07 1260 1452 2104 2490 3330 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-02 - 2022-07-08 1211 1339 1929 2344 3245 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-03 - 2022-07-09 1083 1253 1818 2150 3224 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-04 - 2022-07-10 973 1025 1564 1961 2926 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-05 - 2022-07-11 790 950 1397 1875 2919 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-06 - 2022-07-12 710 902 1298 1810 2801 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-07 - 2022-07-13 658 834 1198 1649 2593 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-08 - 2022-07-14 595 788 1085 1424 2550 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-09 - 2022-07-15 558 754 1010 1327 2533 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-10 - 2022-07-16 518 691 927 1259 2513 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-11 - 2022-07-17 502 644 901 1165 2312 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-12 - 2022-07-18 478 552 831 1127 2150 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-13 - 2022-07-19 417 544 771 1072 1931 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-14 - 2022-07-20 364 485 723 926 1764 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-15 - 2022-07-21 339 426 669 807 1659 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-16 - 2022-07-22 317 420 591 792 1554 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-17 - 2022-07-23 286 413 512 772 1371 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-18 - 2022-07-24 235 374 478 754 1159 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-19 - 2022-07-25 233 324 425 680 1138 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-20 - 2022-07-26 224 312 402 637 1132 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-21 - 2022-07-27 196 287 380 582 1094 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-22 - 2022-07-28 197 254 375 512 1069 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-23 - 2022-07-29 189 250 342 480 1010 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-24 - 2022-07-30 167 230 339 469 923 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-25 - 2022-07-31 166 216 324 454 838 CFSD 2-week Seasonal Peak Flow: # ESP Forecast Information # # Analysis Period: 2022-05-09 - 2022-07-31 (MST) # Forecast Parameters: River River Flow (Mean Daily) - (CFSD) # Forecast Interval: 2 week # Forecast Point: YDLC2L_F # # YDLC2L_F # Exceedance Prob. 0.90 0.75 0.50 0.25 0.10 Units # -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Interval: 2022-05-09 - 2022-05-22 9885 10152 10417 10755 11627 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-10 - 2022-05-23 9986 10213 10442 10830 11627 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-11 - 2022-05-24 9986 10215 10457 11062 12679 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-12 - 2022-05-25 9986 10215 10457 11532 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-13 - 2022-05-26 9986 10215 10457 11532 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-14 - 2022-05-27 9986 10215 10457 11532 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-15 - 2022-05-28 9986 10238 10544 11540 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-16 - 2022-05-29 9986 10238 10544 11590 12765 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-17 - 2022-05-30 9986 10238 10544 11590 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-18 - 2022-05-31 9986 10238 10544 11590 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-19 - 2022-06-01 9986 10238 10544 11590 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-20 - 2022-06-02 9986 10238 10570 11590 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-21 - 2022-06-03 9986 10235 10544 11540 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-22 - 2022-06-04 9789 10060 10457 11540 15491 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-23 - 2022-06-05 8858 9744 10159 11041 12423 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-24 - 2022-06-06 8401 9242 10031 10906 12401 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-25 - 2022-06-07 8148 8517 9557 10616 12401 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-26 - 2022-06-08 7305 8382 9423 10604 11356 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-27 - 2022-06-09 6907 8382 9354 10604 11115 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-28 - 2022-06-10 6889 8382 9354 10604 11115 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-29 - 2022-06-11 6730 7755 8302 9537 10813 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-30 - 2022-06-12 6725 7238 8214 9308 10813 CFSD # Interval: 2022-05-31 - 2022-06-13 6725 6973 8076 8983 10813 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-01 - 2022-06-14 6559 6875 7523 8983 9917 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-02 - 2022-06-15 6254 6735 7234 8547 9774 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-03 - 2022-06-16 6247 6502 7076 8537 9468 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-04 - 2022-06-17 6231 6387 6959 8029 9300 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-05 - 2022-06-18 5860 6333 6860 7579 8897 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-06 - 2022-06-19 5851 6238 6637 7302 8864 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-07 - 2022-06-20 5573 5868 6667 7172 8775 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-08 - 2022-06-21 5352 5868 6493 7118 8074 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-09 - 2022-06-22 5352 5677 6350 7102 8070 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-10 - 2022-06-23 5075 5404 5953 7011 7939 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-11 - 2022-06-24 4902 5230 5714 6995 7466 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-12 - 2022-06-25 4400 4975 5588 6588 7294 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-13 - 2022-06-26 3896 4725 5273 6487 7289 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-14 - 2022-06-27 3787 4237 4999 6056 7013 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-15 - 2022-06-28 3611 3849 4969 5873 7013 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-16 - 2022-06-29 3519 3795 4784 5548 7013 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-17 - 2022-06-30 3429 3641 4521 5246 6882 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-18 - 2022-07-01 3155 3528 4290 4875 6865 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-19 - 2022-07-02 3081 3298 3919 4875 6644 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-20 - 2022-07-03 2977 3135 3767 4842 6574 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-21 - 2022-07-04 2810 3092 3720 4461 5870 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-22 - 2022-07-05 2497 3015 3601 4197 5441 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-23 - 2022-07-06 2186 2784 3514 3988 5441 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-24 - 2022-07-07 2023 2424 3445 3870 5380 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-25 - 2022-07-08 1876 2258 3275 3784 5125 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-26 - 2022-07-09 1705 2061 3048 3654 4680 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-27 - 2022-07-10 1641 1957 2874 3437 4220 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-28 - 2022-07-11 1546 1853 2626 3183 4020 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-29 - 2022-07-12 1483 1703 2523 2983 3818 CFSD # Interval: 2022-06-30 - 2022-07-13 1331 1572 2317 2752 3591 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-01 - 2022-07-14 1260 1452 2104 2490 3330 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-02 - 2022-07-15 1211 1339 1929 2344 3245 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-03 - 2022-07-16 1083 1253 1818 2150 3224 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-04 - 2022-07-17 973 1025 1564 1961 2926 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-05 - 2022-07-18 790 950 1397 1875 2919 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-06 - 2022-07-19 750 902 1298 1830 2801 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-07 - 2022-07-20 658 834 1198 1761 2593 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-08 - 2022-07-21 595 788 1085 1539 2550 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-09 - 2022-07-22 558 754 1010 1413 2533 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-10 - 2022-07-23 518 691 927 1259 2513 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-11 - 2022-07-24 502 644 901 1165 2312 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-12 - 2022-07-25 478 552 831 1127 2150 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-13 - 2022-07-26 417 544 771 1072 1931 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-14 - 2022-07-27 364 485 723 926 1764 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-15 - 2022-07-28 339 426 669 807 1659 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-16 - 2022-07-29 317 426 591 792 1554 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-17 - 2022-07-30 286 419 512 772 1371 CFSD # Interval: 2022-07-18 - 2022-07-31 235 374 478 754 1159 CFSD Please feel free to contact the forecaster at brenda.alcorn@noaa.gov Issued by: B.Alcorn NNNN $$