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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
SALT LAKE CITY UT
FEB 5, 2007

           INTERNAL NWS PRODUCT FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY

	 SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK

The 2007 spring runoff flood potential is low at this time for streams and 
rivers throughout the San Juan River Basin. The observed water year
precipitation to date is 109% of average. Snow water equivalent as of
February 1 was 92% in the Upper San Juan and 79% in the Animas.

It is important to note that it is early in the snow accumulation season and
that the spring flood threat due to runoff will largely be determined by 
hydrometeorologic events that occur during the next several months. If current
patterns persist then we will have a very low threat of spring flooding from 
snow melt runoff.

CBRFC/tjc


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