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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
SALT LAKE CITY UT
MAR 18, 2014

 SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK

The 2014 spring runoff flood potential is not high at this time for streams
throughout the San Juan River Basin. Snow conditions in the San Juan Basin
are below average in several areas, particularly at lower elevations and
in the Basin above Navajo Reservoir.

Snowpack conditions in higher elevations of the Animas River Basin are near
and even slightly above average, however while peak flows are expected to
be slighly higher than average in the Animas Basin, peaks near the flood
levels are not likely.

For points in the San Juan River Basin where peak flow forecast procedures
exists, there is a less than 10% probability flood stages will be exceeded.

The situation may still change, especially in those areas with above average
snow if wet and cool conditions develop and persist for a few weeks. 

Updated peak flow forecasts for the San Juan Basin will be issued in early
April.

G. Smith/ CBRFC

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