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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
SALT LAKE CITY UT
JAN 4, 2019

 SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK

The 2019 spring runoff flood potential due to snow melt is lower
than normal at this time. Below normal snowmpack exists throughout
the San Juan River Basin. 
 
As of early January snowpack in the San Juan Basin is near 65 percent of
median above Navajo Reservoir and 75 percent of median in the Animas
River Basin. 

Seasonal April-July runoff volumes are between 40 and 65 percent of average.
 
While flooding to solely to snowmelt isn't a frequent occurence in much
of the San Juan Basin, high flows are possible in any year due to
heavy rainfall or rainfall combined with melting snow.

It is still early in the snow accumulation season and the outlook
may change. Further assessment will be made regarding any snow melt flood 
threat as the season progresses.
 
G. Smith/ CBRFC

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