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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
SALT LAKE CITY, UT
   

                      SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL 
             FOR THE COLORADO RIVER BASIN WITHIN COLORADO

                         FEBRUARY 3, 2022

The 2022 spring runoff flood potential due to snowmelt is not high at this time
for the San Juan River basin. It should be emphasized that it is early in the snow
accumulation season and conditions can change before runoff begins.

PRECIPITATION (% OF AVERAGE) AND SNOWPACK (% OF MEDIAN):

SUBBASIN                 JAN PRECIP     OCT-JAN PREC    FEB 1 SNOWPACK
----------------------   ----------     ------------    ---------------
ABOVE NAVAJO RES              30             95              100
ANIMAS                        10             90              95     

The current volume forecasts for the April through July runoff period are
below average, ranging between 60 and 85% of average. 

It is important to keep in mind that an extended period of much above normal 
temperatures or heavy rainfall during the melt period can cause or exacerbate 
flooding problems in any year.

The spring runoff potential will be evaluated in early March and an updated
product will be issued at that time.

CBRFC/Nielson