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HRMU1 Water Supply Forecasts
Plot Forecasts Observations Historical Annual/Official Verification Reforcast Verification
Water Year: 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Plot Forecasts Observations Historical Annual/Official Verification Reforcast Verification
Water Year: 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2017 Runoff Forecast Apr-Jul No Precipitation Forecast Included
Blacksmith Fork - Hyrum- Nr- Upnl Dam- Abv (HRMU1)
Official Forecasts
Forecast Date Max 30 MP 70 Min
1 2017-1-1 76 60 49 40 28
2 2017-2-1 112 95 83 73 65
3 2017-3-1 130 118 110 102 85
4 2017-4-1 120 110 100 94 85
5 2017-5-1 111 104 100 95 89
6 2017-6-1 95 91 86 83 78
MP=Most Probable
ESP Forecasts - 0 Days
Run Date p10 p30 p50 p70 p90 Obs
35 2016-12-09 61.5 53.0 33.3 24.2 17.9 NA
36 2016-12-10 64.1 55.8 35.7 25.4 18.5 NA
37 2016-12-11 72.3 63.4 42.8 31.7 20.8 NA
38 2016-12-12 70.6 63.7 42.7 30.7 20.7 NA
39 2016-12-13 66.0 63.2 42.0 29.7 20.6 NA
40 2016-12-14 65.7 60.0 40.9 29.3 19.9 NA
41 2016-12-15 68.2 62.0 41.9 30.9 20.3 NA
42 2016-12-16 72.9 66.0 46.0 33.8 21.3 NA
43 2016-12-17 78.3 71.1 50.2 36.5 24.8 NA
44 2016-12-18 78.2 71.1 49.8 36.4 24.7 NA
45 2016-12-19 78.2 69.8 49.3 36.3 24.7 NA
46 2016-12-20 77.9 69.0 48.1 35.7 24.4 NA
47 2016-12-21 78.0 67.6 48.1 35.2 24.4 NA
48 2016-12-22 78.0 64.0 47.4 34.9 24.2 NA
49 2016-12-23 77.5 62.3 46.6 34.4 24.2 NA
50 2016-12-24 77.7 60.9 46.5 34.4 24.3 NA
54 2016-12-28 80.3 61.4 45.7 35.0 26.0 NA
55 2016-12-29 80.2 61.2 45.5 34.0 26.0 NA
56 2016-12-30 77.5 60.8 45.4 33.2 26.0 NA
57 2016-12-31 75.9 57.6 45.2 33.2 26.0 NA
58 2017-01-01 75.7 56.5 44.8 32.9 25.9 NA
59 2017-01-02 77.7 58.5 46.3 34.6 25.9 NA
60 2017-01-03 77.7 60.0 48.2 36.3 26.9 NA
61 2017-01-04 78.4 59.7 47.8 37.0 27.5 NA
62 2017-01-05 87.1 67.1 56.4 44.9 33.6 NA
63 2017-01-06 87.3 67.7 56.2 45.6 32.8 NA
64 2017-01-07 86.3 67.2 55.2 45.3 32.4 NA
65 2017-01-08 86.4 68.4 55.9 46.6 33.1 NA
66 2017-01-09 91.7 74.3 60.4 52.9 38.4 NA
67 2017-01-10 98.8 80.8 65.9 58.9 44.8 NA
68 2017-01-11 110.4 87.7 74.5 68.5 55.2 NA
69 2017-01-12 115.9 93.2 81.7 76.7 61.7 NA
70 2017-01-13 114.0 92.4 81.3 76.8 61.7 NA
71 2017-01-14 112.0 92.3 81.3 76.8 61.8 NA
72 2017-01-15 111.6 92.3 81.1 76.6 61.1 NA
73 2017-01-16 107.7 92.0 81.1 76.7 60.8 NA
74 2017-01-17 107.3 91.9 80.6 76.7 60.8 NA
75 2017-01-18 107.4 91.6 80.2 76.8 60.8 NA
76 2017-01-19 107.0 91.6 79.8 76.6 60.6 NA
77 2017-01-20 107.6 88.8 80.4 77.3 61.2 NA
78 2017-01-21 105.8 88.2 79.9 77.3 61.2 NA
79 2017-01-22 107.9 89.7 80.6 76.8 62.4 NA
80 2017-01-23 112.7 93.9 83.8 79.5 65.9 NA
81 2017-01-24 117.4 98.2 88.1 82.8 69.9 NA
82 2017-01-25 116.1 96.5 86.9 81.7 69.2 NA
83 2017-01-26 114.7 95.0 85.4 77.0 68.1 NA
84 2017-01-27 112.8 94.8 84.9 75.6 67.8 NA
86 2017-01-29 113.0 94.5 84.4 73.4 66.4 NA
87 2017-01-30 112.7 94.2 83.6 73.0 64.7 NA
88 2017-01-31 112.9 95.1 83.5 73.3 64.7 NA
89 2017-02-01 109.6 93.6 82.5 71.4 63.5 NA
90 2017-02-02 109.5 93.1 81.1 71.2 63.6 NA
91 2017-02-03 109.6 93.1 80.1 71.5 64.1 NA
92 2017-02-04 110.9 94.4 81.1 71.4 64.4 NA
93 2017-02-05 110.1 94.0 80.6 70.8 64.2 NA
94 2017-02-06 110.6 94.7 81.2 71.3 64.8 NA
95 2017-02-07 118.3 101.4 88.1 77.5 71.5 NA
96 2017-02-08 115.8 101.1 90.4 79.6 72.8 NA
97 2017-02-09 118.1 103.6 93.0 83.6 76.3 NA
98 2017-02-10 119.6 104.2 94.0 84.6 76.9 NA
99 2017-02-11 123.4 108.9 98.5 88.8 81.1 NA
100 2017-02-12 123.6 109.2 98.5 89.4 82.4 NA
101 2017-02-13 124.0 109.6 96.6 89.5 82.2 NA
102 2017-02-14 123.0 109.2 95.9 89.4 80.1 NA
103 2017-02-15 122.0 105.6 95.9 88.6 79.0 NA
104 2017-02-16 119.9 105.4 96.1 88.1 78.8 NA
105 2017-02-17 121.0 106.1 96.7 87.2 78.9 NA
106 2017-02-18 119.5 105.4 96.7 86.6 79.1 NA
107 2017-02-19 121.6 107.2 98.9 89.0 80.1 NA
108 2017-02-20 121.4 109.2 101.5 92.0 82.4 NA
109 2017-02-21 123.0 108.6 101.2 92.8 83.9 NA
110 2017-02-22 125.9 112.7 104.6 95.8 87.3 NA
111 2017-02-23 132.0 118.3 109.1 101.2 93.0 NA
112 2017-02-24 132.9 118.5 109.4 101.7 93.0 NA
113 2017-02-25 133.4 117.5 109.2 101.9 92.3 NA
114 2017-02-26 133.4 117.3 108.8 101.7 90.9 NA
115 2017-02-27 135.5 118.3 110.1 103.1 91.9 NA
116 2017-02-28 137.8 119.9 112.2 104.8 92.5 NA
117 2017-03-01 136.4 120.3 112.9 105.5 91.5 NA
118 2017-03-02 134.1 119.1 111.5 103.8 90.3 NA
119 2017-03-03 129.7 118.7 110.1 102.2 90.1 NA
120 2017-03-04 128.7 117.1 110.2 101.1 89.8 NA
121 2017-03-05 126.7 113.9 108.2 98.5 88.1 NA
122 2017-03-06 127.6 114.7 107.8 99.4 89.0 NA
123 2017-03-07 135.5 121.5 113.8 105.2 93.6 NA
124 2017-03-08 134.3 121.3 112.2 103.6 93.4 NA
125 2017-03-09 130.6 119.1 109.5 100.8 92.2 NA
126 2017-03-10 128.5 117.2 107.9 100.1 92.0 NA
127 2017-03-11 127.7 116.5 106.7 98.7 91.5 NA
128 2017-03-12 124.2 114.9 106.2 98.0 91.5 NA
129 2017-03-13 124.5 115.2 105.5 98.2 91.8 NA
130 2017-03-14 123.9 114.4 104.0 97.3 91.4 NA
131 2017-03-15 121.8 112.9 102.9 95.7 90.7 NA
132 2017-03-16 120.3 112.3 101.9 94.7 89.4 NA
133 2017-03-17 119.3 110.6 100.5 92.9 88.8 NA
134 2017-03-18 118.7 110.4 98.4 92.1 88.7 NA
135 2017-03-19 117.6 109.6 97.2 91.6 88.6 NA
136 2017-03-20 116.5 108.8 96.0 91.0 88.2 NA
137 2017-03-21 115.3 107.9 95.6 91.0 87.1 NA
138 2017-03-22 116.9 106.7 96.7 91.1 87.6 NA
139 2017-03-23 119.2 109.7 99.4 94.7 91.2 NA
140 2017-03-24 123.0 113.2 102.7 98.5 95.0 NA
141 2017-03-25 122.8 112.9 102.8 98.0 94.9 NA
142 2017-03-26 124.8 113.0 103.5 100.1 96.5 NA
143 2017-03-27 124.5 110.8 101.4 99.3 96.4 NA
144 2017-03-28 126.8 112.4 102.8 100.2 98.0 NA
145 2017-03-29 127.1 110.2 101.7 100.2 96.7 NA
146 2017-03-30 127.1 109.7 101.0 98.5 95.5 NA
147 2017-03-31 130.3 113.4 105.0 102.8 99.0 NA
148 2017-04-01 133.5 116.5 108.1 106.0 102.3 NA
149 2017-04-02 128.5 115.5 107.9 105.3 101.8 0.96
150 2017-04-03 126.4 116.7 108.9 105.4 102.0 1.90
151 2017-04-04 114.2 106.3 98.0 94.9 90.0 2.87
152 2017-04-05 114.2 105.8 95.9 94.7 90.1 3.78
153 2017-04-06 113.9 104.4 95.7 94.3 90.0 4.60
154 2017-04-07 113.9 103.8 95.7 93.1 89.7 5.38
155 2017-04-08 117.9 106.8 98.6 96.1 91.6 6.17
156 2017-04-09 122.6 109.3 101.9 99.1 95.4 7.13
157 2017-04-10 124.1 109.9 103.6 100.2 96.9 8.39
158 2017-04-11 117.8 105.6 100.4 97.6 92.8 9.44
159 2017-04-12 115.3 105.3 100.0 95.7 92.8 10.35
160 2017-04-13 115.1 104.7 100.1 95.8 92.0 11.23
161 2017-04-14 114.5 104.6 100.0 95.5 91.8 12.18
162 2017-04-15 113.9 104.7 99.0 94.8 91.6 13.35
163 2017-04-16 112.5 104.5 98.5 94.1 91.5 14.59
164 2017-04-17 112.2 104.1 98.2 94.3 91.5 15.68
165 2017-04-18 112.1 103.6 97.8 93.9 90.9 16.76
166 2017-04-19 115.8 107.7 99.4 95.5 92.9 17.97
167 2017-04-20 114.6 107.1 98.6 95.2 92.3 19.34
168 2017-04-21 115.8 107.5 99.3 95.5 92.7 20.77
169 2017-04-22 116.3 107.3 99.1 95.8 93.0 21.99
170 2017-04-23 115.9 106.3 98.6 95.7 93.0 23.07
171 2017-04-24 115.2 104.6 97.8 95.3 93.0 24.09
172 2017-04-25 114.4 106.3 99.5 96.3 94.4 25.13
173 2017-04-26 112.5 105.7 99.2 96.3 94.4 26.24
174 2017-04-27 113.5 107.0 100.2 97.5 95.5 27.23
175 2017-04-28 114.1 106.9 100.6 97.9 95.8 28.17
176 2017-04-29 117.8 108.9 102.9 101.0 98.3 29.11
177 2017-04-30 116.8 109.0 102.9 100.7 98.9 29.96
178 2017-05-01 114.9 107.9 102.6 100.1 98.2 30.66
179 2017-05-02 113.2 108.3 102.1 99.4 97.9 31.41
180 2017-05-03 110.7 106.3 101.6 98.9 97.2 32.15
181 2017-05-04 110.5 105.4 100.1 99.0 97.4 32.94
183 2017-05-06 102.8 96.8 93.8 92.2 90.2 34.63
184 2017-05-07 102.0 96.4 93.6 91.5 90.3 35.63
185 2017-05-08 100.9 94.7 92.2 90.9 89.7 36.75
186 2017-05-09 100.7 94.5 91.7 90.2 89.4 37.90
187 2017-05-10 99.8 93.4 91.0 89.5 88.6 39.04
188 2017-05-11 97.9 92.2 90.2 89.1 88.3 40.13
189 2017-05-12 95.1 91.2 89.2 88.3 87.0 41.22
190 2017-05-13 94.4 90.4 88.7 88.2 86.8 42.29
191 2017-05-14 94.1 89.0 87.7 86.9 85.7 43.37
192 2017-05-15 94.0 88.4 87.5 86.7 85.7 44.45
193 2017-05-16 92.1 88.3 87.5 86.6 85.9 45.41
194 2017-05-17 94.9 90.6 89.5 89.0 87.8 46.29
195 2017-05-18 96.4 91.6 90.1 89.2 88.3 47.16
196 2017-05-19 94.2 90.4 89.3 89.0 88.2 48.05
197 2017-05-20 94.2 90.6 89.3 88.7 88.1 48.84
198 2017-05-21 93.7 90.0 89.1 88.6 87.9 49.57
199 2017-05-22 93.1 89.9 89.1 88.3 87.7 50.26
200 2017-05-23 92.1 89.6 89.0 88.2 87.6 50.92
201 2017-05-24 91.0 88.5 88.2 87.4 86.8 51.57
202 2017-05-25 90.5 88.3 87.9 87.3 86.8 52.22
203 2017-05-26 90.2 88.1 87.6 87.1 86.7 52.92
204 2017-05-27 90.2 88.1 87.5 87.0 86.5 53.68
205 2017-05-28 89.9 87.9 87.3 86.9 86.5 54.41
206 2017-05-29 89.9 87.7 87.2 86.7 86.5 55.10
207 2017-05-30 89.7 87.7 86.9 86.6 86.4 55.76
209 2017-06-01 88.8 87.1 86.7 86.4 86.3 57.06
210 2017-06-02 88.8 87.0 86.6 86.4 86.3 57.72
211 2017-06-03 87.6 86.8 86.2 86.1 86.1 58.37
212 2017-06-04 87.4 86.6 86.2 86.0 86.0 59.00
213 2017-06-05 87.0 86.5 86.1 86.0 86.0 59.63
214 2017-06-06 86.8 86.3 86.0 86.0 86.0 60.23
215 2017-06-07 86.7 86.0 85.9 85.9 85.9 60.83
216 2017-06-08 86.0 86.0 85.9 85.9 85.9 61.41
217 2017-06-09 86.0 85.9 85.9 85.9 85.9 61.98
219 2017-06-11 85.5 85.5 85.5 85.5 85.5 63.06
220 2017-06-12 85.5 85.4 85.4 85.4 85.4 63.57
221 2017-06-13 85.5 85.4 85.4 85.4 85.4 64.07
222 2017-06-14 85.6 85.5 85.5 85.5 85.5 64.58
223 2017-06-15 85.6 85.5 85.5 85.5 85.5 65.11
224 2017-06-16 85.5 85.5 85.5 85.5 85.5 65.59
225 2017-06-17 85.4 85.4 85.4 85.4 85.4 66.06
226 2017-06-18 85.3 85.3 85.3 85.3 85.3 66.51
227 2017-06-19 84.7 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 66.96
228 2017-06-20 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 67.41
229 2017-06-21 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 67.85
230 2017-06-22 84.6 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 68.28
231 2017-06-23 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 68.70
232 2017-06-24 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 69.12
233 2017-06-25 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 69.54
234 2017-06-26 84.5 84.4 84.4 84.4 84.4 69.95
235 2017-06-27 84.4 84.4 84.4 84.4 84.4 70.35
236 2017-06-28 84.4 84.3 84.3 84.3 84.3 70.76
237 2017-06-29 84.3 84.3 84.3 84.3 84.3 71.16
238 2017-06-30 84.3 84.3 84.3 84.3 84.3 71.56
239 2017-07-01 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 84.6 72.28
240 2017-07-02 84.6 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 72.67
241 2017-07-03 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 73.05
242 2017-07-04 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 84.5 73.44
243 2017-07-05 84.5 84.4 84.4 84.4 84.4 73.82
244 2017-07-06 84.4 84.4 84.4 84.4 84.4 74.19
245 2017-07-07 84.4 84.3 84.3 84.3 84.3 74.57
246 2017-07-08 84.0 84.0 84.0 84.0 84.0 74.94
247 2017-07-09 83.7 83.7 83.7 83.7 83.7 75.30
248 2017-07-10 83.7 83.7 83.7 83.7 83.7 75.67
249 2017-07-11 83.7 83.7 83.7 83.7 83.7 76.03
250 2017-07-12 83.7 83.7 83.7 83.7 83.7 76.40
251 2017-07-13 83.7 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 76.76
252 2017-07-14 83.7 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 77.11
253 2017-07-15 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 77.47
254 2017-07-16 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 77.82
255 2017-07-17 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 78.17
256 2017-07-18 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 78.52
257 2017-07-19 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 78.88
258 2017-07-20 83.6 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 79.23
259 2017-07-21 83.6 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 79.57
260 2017-07-22 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 79.92
261 2017-07-23 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 80.26
262 2017-07-24 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 80.60
263 2017-07-25 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 80.96
264 2017-07-26 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 81.35
265 2017-07-27 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 83.5 81.74
266 2017-07-28 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 82.13
267 2017-07-29 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 82.51
268 2017-07-30 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 82.90
269 2017-07-31 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.6 83.27
p10=10% exceedance, etc., Obs=Included Observed
Maximum of 130.3 in 1984, Minimum of 13.2 in 1934, Average/Median for 1981-2010 is 43/29.
ESP forecasts in the Observed Period w/o observed values are not total runoff.
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