COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

News

Access to our Water Supply Webinars Presentations More Info...
CBRFC Water Supply 2019 Early Outlook Webinar More Info...
Register for 2019 Water Supply Webinars More Info...
LAMU1 Water Supply Forecasts

  Plot   Forecasts   Observations   Historical   Annual/Official Verification   Reforcast Verification   

Water Year:     2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   
2015 Runoff Forecast Apr-Jul No Precipitation Forecast Included
Lambs Ck (LAMU1)

Official Forecasts
  Forecast Date  Max   MP  Min
1      2015-1-1 6.40 3.60 1.14
2      2015-2-1 5.40 3.00 1.30
3      2015-3-1 3.80 2.10 0.98
4      2015-4-1 1.88 0.89 0.77
5      2015-5-1 1.00 0.85 0.82
6      2015-6-1 1.45 1.50 1.42
MP=Most Probable

ESP Forecasts - 0 Days
      Run Date    p10    p30    p50    p70    p90  Obs
38  2014-11-15 7.3384 5.3964 3.5332 2.1512 0.9316   NA
39  2014-11-16 7.5347 5.4830 3.5747 2.1917 0.9344   NA
40  2014-11-17 7.5753 5.5442 3.5929 2.2012 0.9391   NA
41  2014-11-18 7.2241 5.4916 3.6930 2.0123 0.9351   NA
42  2014-11-19 7.0980 5.5370 3.6870 2.0683 0.9815   NA
43  2014-11-20 6.8320 5.4646 3.6265 2.0657 0.9765   NA
44  2014-11-21 6.7110 5.4522 3.5624 1.9696 0.9798   NA
45  2014-11-22 6.6618 5.4172 3.5077 1.8591 0.9656   NA
46  2014-11-23 7.0640 5.7184 3.6689 2.2683 0.9941   NA
47  2014-11-24 7.1954 5.8698 3.8217 2.3977 1.0055   NA
48  2014-11-25 7.2492 5.9880 3.9220 2.3822 1.0076   NA
49  2014-11-26 7.2926 6.0400 3.9726 2.3845 1.0103   NA
50  2014-11-27 7.2764 5.9233 3.7792 2.1526 0.9991   NA
51  2014-11-28 7.2390 5.8523 3.7187 2.1204 0.9915   NA
52  2014-11-29 7.2057 5.7845 3.6675 1.9778 0.9871   NA
53  2014-11-30 7.1571 5.7375 3.6564 1.8241 0.9812   NA
54  2014-12-01 6.9123 5.7150 3.6817 1.7598 0.9794   NA
55  2014-12-02 6.8604 5.4278 3.6653 1.6523 0.9703   NA
56  2014-12-03 6.8613 5.3943 3.5997 1.6592 0.9696   NA
57  2014-12-04 6.8293 5.3744 3.6328 1.6842 0.9712   NA
58  2014-12-05 6.6912 5.1276 3.6264 1.6793 0.9702   NA
59  2014-12-06 6.5992 5.0737 3.6137 1.6869 0.9711   NA
60  2014-12-07 6.2953 4.9058 3.5907 1.6327 0.9699   NA
61  2014-12-08 6.2363 4.8615 3.5581 1.6397 0.9667   NA
62  2014-12-09 6.2088 4.6771 3.4588 1.6289 0.9706   NA
63  2014-12-10 6.1980 4.5405 3.1420 1.6451 0.9650   NA
64  2014-12-11 6.2001 4.5046 3.1371 1.6132 0.9633   NA
65  2014-12-12 6.2044 4.4701 3.1324 1.5519 0.9640   NA
66  2014-12-13 6.2521 4.4610 3.1066 1.5448 0.9665   NA
67  2014-12-14 6.4170 4.5743 2.9862 1.5155 0.9825   NA
68  2014-12-15 6.3997 4.5607 2.9858 1.5163 0.9852   NA
69  2014-12-16 6.2933 4.4804 2.9873 1.4941 0.9833   NA
70  2014-12-17 6.2820 4.3717 2.9489 1.4520 0.9783   NA
71  2014-12-18 6.1776 4.3758 2.9389 1.3130 0.9777   NA
72  2014-12-19 6.0184 4.3423 2.8337 1.2833 0.9758   NA
73  2014-12-20 5.8871 4.2471 2.7492 1.2603 0.9759   NA
74  2014-12-21 5.9868 4.3441 2.7483 1.2937 0.9920   NA
75  2014-12-22 6.7232 5.0446 3.3420 1.8047 1.0680   NA
76  2014-12-23 7.0837 5.3367 3.6643 2.1631 1.1530   NA
77  2014-12-24 6.8470 5.3062 3.6197 2.0076 1.1440   NA
78  2014-12-25 6.9768 5.4310 3.7592 2.1794 1.2275   NA
79  2014-12-26 7.2041 5.5531 3.7610 2.2379 1.3063   NA
80  2014-12-27 7.1379 5.5395 3.6791 2.0439 1.3166   NA
81  2014-12-28 7.1225 5.5578 3.6094 2.0366 1.3261   NA
82  2014-12-29 7.3286 5.7489 3.7052 2.1272 1.3976   NA
83  2014-12-30 7.4267 5.8029 3.7364 2.1451 1.4519   NA
84  2014-12-31 7.1678 5.1853 3.7340 2.1526 1.4603   NA
85  2015-01-01 6.9114 5.1310 3.6870 2.1519 1.4669   NA
86  2015-01-02 6.8852 4.9978 3.6804 2.1593 1.4650   NA
87  2015-01-03 6.7005 4.7953 3.6936 2.1816 1.4182   NA
88  2015-01-04 6.6290 4.7827 3.6922 2.1820 1.4205   NA
89  2015-01-05 6.6414 4.7936 3.6925 2.1027 1.2494   NA
90  2015-01-06 6.5210 4.6636 3.6238 2.0915 1.1209   NA
91  2015-01-07 6.4617 4.5383 3.4747 1.9983 1.0958   NA
92  2015-01-08 6.2877 4.4832 3.4367 1.9963 1.0935   NA
93  2015-01-09 6.1719 4.4368 3.4131 1.9369 1.0871   NA
94  2015-01-10 6.1472 4.4074 3.2948 1.9373 1.0877   NA
95  2015-01-11 6.0546 4.4498 3.3139 1.8602 1.1108   NA
96  2015-01-12 6.0887 4.5025 3.3322 1.8235 1.1077   NA
97  2015-01-13 6.6847 5.0202 3.6896 2.2184 1.3783   NA
98  2015-01-14 6.9052 5.2368 3.7914 2.3662 1.5393   NA
99  2015-01-15 6.8647 5.2050 3.7330 2.3367 1.5028   NA
100 2015-01-16 6.5365 5.2369 3.6211 2.3131 1.4989   NA
101 2015-01-17 6.3767 5.1916 3.6206 2.3170 1.5229   NA
102 2015-01-18 6.2226 5.1056 3.6478 2.3604 1.5601   NA
103 2015-01-19 6.0147 4.9713 3.6209 2.2336 1.5491   NA
104 2015-01-20 5.9882 4.6799 3.6141 2.2105 1.5238   NA
105 2015-01-21 5.8126 4.6200 3.6214 2.2041 1.4747   NA
106 2015-01-22 5.8260 4.6144 3.4145 2.0497 1.4721   NA
107 2015-01-23 5.8003 4.5602 3.3627 1.9830 1.4698   NA
108 2015-01-24 5.7592 4.3911 3.2659 1.9523 1.4645   NA
109 2015-01-25 5.7492 4.2424 3.2692 1.9442 1.4588   NA
110 2015-01-26 5.7312 4.1976 3.2373 1.8331 1.4620   NA
111 2015-01-27 5.6681 4.0805 3.2397 1.8371 1.4577   NA
112 2015-01-28 5.6040 4.0447 3.1685 1.8192 1.4269   NA
113 2015-01-29 5.5745 4.0156 3.0618 1.7643 1.3901   NA
114 2015-01-30 5.6240 4.0609 3.0934 1.7905 1.3710   NA
115 2015-01-31 5.6182 4.0249 3.0569 1.8190 1.3686   NA
116 2015-02-01 5.5117 3.9298 3.0491 1.7705 1.2954   NA
117 2015-02-02 5.4883 3.7442 3.0565 1.6759 1.2599   NA
118 2015-02-03 5.3787 3.7883 3.0487 1.8259 1.2926   NA
119 2015-02-04 5.4010 3.8494 2.9890 1.8836 1.2853   NA
120 2015-02-05 5.4457 3.9210 3.0258 1.9524 1.3109   NA
121 2015-02-06 5.4547 3.9102 2.9874 1.9397 1.2836   NA
122 2015-02-09 5.5262 3.7590 2.7959 1.6767 1.0493   NA
123 2015-02-10 5.7534 3.8323 2.9363 1.8222 1.1034   NA
124 2015-02-11 5.6332 3.7117 2.8115 1.7581 1.1147   NA
125 2015-02-12 5.2580 3.6927 2.7125 1.7532 1.0994   NA
126 2015-02-13 5.0536 3.6859 2.7220 1.5691 1.0534   NA
127 2015-02-14 5.0340 3.6678 2.6937 1.5299 0.9946   NA
128 2015-02-15 4.7772 3.6171 2.6700 1.4805 0.9970   NA
129 2015-02-16 4.6855 3.4663 2.6392 1.4556 0.9924   NA
130 2015-02-17 4.5712 3.3489 2.5988 1.4535 0.9870   NA
131 2015-02-18 4.4926 3.2452 2.5164 1.4452 0.9802   NA
132 2015-02-19 4.4886 3.2007 2.5119 1.4366 0.9729   NA
133 2015-02-20 4.4098 3.1901 2.5253 1.3872 0.9743   NA
134 2015-02-21 4.3725 3.1470 2.4166 1.3990 0.9844   NA
135 2015-02-22 4.2632 3.0940 2.4222 1.4039 0.9842   NA
136 2015-02-23 4.2544 3.1097 2.2195 1.3386 0.9887   NA
137 2015-02-24 3.9420 3.1102 2.1656 1.2794 0.9626   NA
138 2015-02-25 3.7660 3.1239 2.1484 1.2375 0.9648   NA
139 2015-02-26 3.6006 3.1552 2.0825 1.2556 0.9772   NA
140 2015-02-27 3.6430 3.1547 2.0123 1.2981 0.9861   NA
141 2015-02-28 3.6765 3.1696 1.9874 1.3199 0.9910   NA
142 2015-03-01 3.8011 3.2678 2.0961 1.3552 0.9747   NA
143 2015-03-02 3.8096 3.2386 2.0825 1.3673 0.9735   NA
144 2015-03-03 4.0779 3.4705 2.2382 1.5675 0.9987   NA
145 2015-03-04 4.2584 3.6169 2.3439 1.7002 1.0168   NA
146 2015-03-05 4.2399 3.4191 2.2237 1.5816 1.0023   NA
147 2015-03-06 4.2054 3.3758 2.1471 1.5423 0.9656   NA
148 2015-03-07 4.1889 3.3487 2.0465 1.3347 0.9513   NA
149 2015-03-08 4.1295 3.3008 1.9141 1.3271 0.9411   NA
150 2015-03-09 4.1098 3.2936 1.8887 1.2870 0.9432   NA
151 2015-03-10 4.0795 3.0383 1.8666 1.2877 0.9114   NA
152 2015-03-11 4.0646 2.9963 1.8664 1.3009 0.9126   NA
153 2015-03-12 4.0501 2.9293 1.8350 1.3110 0.9072   NA
154 2015-03-13 4.0481 2.9636 1.7483 1.2936 0.8984   NA
155 2015-03-14 4.0374 2.9463 1.7422 1.0804 0.8888   NA
156 2015-03-15 3.9066 2.9144 1.7042 1.0513 0.8903   NA
157 2015-03-16 3.8316 2.7250 1.6923 1.0239 0.8873   NA
158 2015-03-17 3.8113 2.5456 1.6887 1.0244 0.8842   NA
159 2015-03-18 3.7518 2.4485 1.5582 1.0184 0.8714   NA
160 2015-03-19 3.3571 2.3428 1.4850 1.0188 0.8711   NA
161 2015-03-20 3.3398 2.2809 1.3449 1.0223 0.8670   NA
162 2015-03-21 3.1947 2.0303 1.2315 1.0046 0.8639   NA
163 2015-03-22 3.1467 1.9873 1.2291 0.9981 0.8674   NA
164 2015-03-23 2.9761 1.9914 1.2057 0.9990 0.8621   NA
165 2015-03-24 3.0232 1.9930 1.2094 1.0051 0.8666   NA
166 2015-03-25 3.1000 1.9783 1.2817 1.0167 0.8619   NA
167 2015-03-26 2.8567 1.8516 1.2859 1.0185 0.8643   NA
168 2015-03-27 2.8458 1.7140 1.2773 1.0157 0.8633   NA
169 2015-03-28 2.7809 1.6714 1.1365 1.0084 0.8614   NA
170 2015-03-29 2.8140 1.5372 1.0879 1.0077 0.8550   NA
171 2015-03-30 2.7494 1.2841 1.0611 1.0036 0.8543   NA
172 2015-03-31 2.1038 0.9981 0.9339 0.8755 0.7799   NA
173 2015-04-01 2.0882 0.9996 0.9320 0.8715 0.7795   NA
174 2015-04-02 1.9516 0.9787 0.9273 0.8479 0.7785 0.01
175 2015-04-03 1.9248 0.9662 0.9167 0.8529 0.7719 0.02
176 2015-04-04 1.9073 0.9557 0.9012 0.8397 0.7637 0.02
177 2015-04-05 1.8252 0.9474 0.8882 0.8400 0.7653 0.03
178 2015-04-06 1.7556 0.9331 0.8734 0.8239 0.7567 0.03
179 2015-04-07 1.7262 0.9327 0.8671 0.8092 0.7615 0.04
180 2015-04-08 1.6813 0.9332 0.8543 0.7868 0.7655 0.05
181 2015-04-09 1.7024 0.9489 0.8633 0.7995 0.7535 0.05
182 2015-04-10 1.4793 0.9246 0.8508 0.7842 0.7531 0.06
183 2015-04-11 1.3726 0.9269 0.8471 0.7808 0.7454 0.07
184 2015-04-12 1.3175 0.9177 0.8425 0.7747 0.7185 0.07
185 2015-04-13 1.2826 0.9122 0.8385 0.7753 0.7173 0.08
186 2015-04-14 1.2516 0.9024 0.8366 0.7715 0.7162 0.09
187 2015-04-15 1.4549 0.9368 0.8805 0.8009 0.7510 0.10
188 2015-04-16 1.6500 1.0008 0.9098 0.8347 0.7884 0.11
189 2015-04-17 1.6362 0.9926 0.9051 0.8258 0.7724 0.11
190 2015-04-18 1.5974 1.0013 0.8783 0.8162 0.7780 0.12
191 2015-04-19 1.5083 0.9743 0.8293 0.8029 0.7713 0.13
192 2015-04-20 1.4717 0.9550 0.8232 0.7917 0.7638 0.14
193 2015-04-21 1.3695 0.9385 0.8174 0.7798 0.7504 0.14
194 2015-04-22 1.3813 0.9329 0.8144 0.7758 0.7447 0.15
195 2015-04-23 1.3174 0.9315 0.8157 0.7739 0.7478 0.16
196 2015-04-24 1.2679 0.9242 0.8122 0.7741 0.7494 0.17
197 2015-04-25 1.3214 0.9443 0.8315 0.7928 0.7735 0.19
198 2015-04-26 1.5880 1.0207 0.9100 0.8610 0.8384 0.20
199 2015-04-27 1.7350 1.0581 0.9499 0.9179 0.8917 0.24
200 2015-04-28 1.3811 0.9953 0.9008 0.8772 0.8521 0.25
201 2015-04-29 1.3244 0.9690 0.8972 0.8701 0.8474 0.26
202 2015-04-30 1.2590 0.9673 0.8904 0.8672 0.8455 0.27
203 2015-05-01 1.2581 0.9688 0.8902 0.8704 0.8514 0.28
204 2015-05-02 1.2347 0.9534 0.8861 0.8629 0.8530 0.29
205 2015-05-03 1.1796 0.9504 0.8885 0.8623 0.8523 0.30
206 2015-05-04 1.0460 0.9305 0.8749 0.8614 0.8502 0.31
207 2015-05-05 1.0334 0.9204 0.8641 0.8559 0.8447 0.32
208 2015-05-06 1.0444 0.9530 0.8892 0.8833 0.8655 0.35
209 2015-05-07 1.0398 0.9734 0.9111 0.8999 0.8819 0.36
210 2015-05-08 1.0650 0.9817 0.9228 0.9121 0.8954 0.38
211 2015-05-09 1.1699 1.0920 1.0348 1.0220 1.0081 0.50
212 2015-05-10 1.2720 1.1121 1.0739 1.0570 1.0363 0.51
213 2015-05-11 1.2297 1.1149 1.0739 1.0602 1.0435 0.52
214 2015-05-12 1.1766 1.0905 1.0749 1.0560 1.0495 0.54
215 2015-05-13 1.1698 1.0867 1.0651 1.0514 1.0442 0.55
216 2015-05-14 1.1551 1.0919 1.0713 1.0598 1.0528 0.57
217 2015-05-15 1.1610 1.0876 1.0696 1.0574 1.0527 0.58
218 2015-05-16 1.1420 1.1041 1.0785 1.0684 1.0628 0.60
219 2015-05-17 1.2734 1.2290 1.1994 1.1817 1.1707 0.66
220 2015-05-18 1.3349 1.2698 1.2495 1.2348 1.2264 0.71
221 2015-05-19 1.3618 1.2822 1.2714 1.2555 1.2478 0.75
222 2015-05-20 1.4607 1.3618 1.3427 1.3355 1.3355 0.78
223 2015-05-21 1.4722 1.3818 1.3634 1.3570 1.3570 0.82
224 2015-05-22 1.4511 1.3830 1.3750 1.3734 1.3734 0.85
225 2015-05-23 1.4461 1.3804 1.3707 1.3702 1.3702 0.86
226 2015-05-24 1.4381 1.3865 1.3794 1.3774 1.3774 0.88
227 2015-05-25 1.4279 1.3898 1.3853 1.3849 1.3849 0.90
228 2015-05-26 1.4214 1.3978 1.3925 1.3925 1.3925 0.92
229 2015-05-27 1.4886 1.4673 1.4611 1.4611 1.4611 1.00
230 2015-05-28 1.5162 1.4927 1.4796 1.4796 1.4796 1.03
231 2015-05-29 1.5241 1.4955 1.4882 1.4882 1.4882 1.05
232 2015-05-30 1.5218 1.4929 1.4872 1.4872 1.4872 1.06
233 2015-05-31 1.5222 1.4875 1.4865 1.4865 1.4865 1.07
234 2015-06-01 1.5213 1.4862 1.4861 1.4861 1.4861 1.08
235 2015-06-02 1.5112 1.4759 1.4759 1.4759 1.4759 1.08
236 2015-06-03 1.5102 1.4759 1.4759 1.4759 1.4759 1.09
237 2015-06-04 1.5105 1.4762 1.4762 1.4762 1.4762 1.10
238 2015-06-05 1.5010 1.4667 1.4667 1.4667 1.4667 1.10
239 2015-06-06 1.4851 1.4673 1.4673 1.4673 1.4673 1.11
240 2015-06-07 1.5163 1.5082 1.5082 1.5082 1.5082 1.16
241 2015-06-08 1.5174 1.5093 1.5093 1.5093 1.5093 1.17
242 2015-06-09 1.5187 1.5105 1.5105 1.5105 1.5105 1.18
243 2015-06-10 1.5199 1.5120 1.5120 1.5120 1.5120 1.19
244 2015-06-11 1.5216 1.5136 1.5136 1.5136 1.5136 1.20
245 2015-06-12 1.5333 1.5253 1.5253 1.5253 1.5253 1.22
246 2015-06-13 1.5353 1.5272 1.5272 1.5272 1.5272 1.23
247 2015-06-14 1.5373 1.5292 1.5292 1.5292 1.5292 1.24
248 2015-06-15 1.5394 1.5314 1.5314 1.5314 1.5314 1.25
249 2015-06-16 1.5417 1.5338 1.5338 1.5338 1.5338 1.26
250 2015-06-17 1.5380 1.5362 1.5362 1.5362 1.5362 1.27
251 2015-06-18 1.5405 1.5388 1.5388 1.5388 1.5388 1.28
252 2015-06-19 1.5426 1.5415 1.5415 1.5415 1.5415 1.29
253 2015-06-20 1.5454 1.5443 1.5443 1.5443 1.5443 1.30
254 2015-06-21 1.5474 1.5472 1.5472 1.5472 1.5472 1.31
255 2015-06-22 1.5504 1.5502 1.5502 1.5502 1.5502 1.32
256 2015-06-23 1.5535 1.5533 1.5533 1.5533 1.5533 1.33
257 2015-06-24 1.5567 1.5566 1.5566 1.5566 1.5566 1.34
258 2015-06-25 1.5599 1.5599 1.5599 1.5599 1.5599 1.35
259 2015-06-26 1.5633 1.5633 1.5633 1.5633 1.5633 1.36
260 2015-06-27 1.5668 1.5668 1.5668 1.5668 1.5668 1.37
261 2015-06-28 1.5703 1.5703 1.5703 1.5703 1.5703 1.38
262 2015-06-29 1.5740 1.5740 1.5740 1.5740 1.5740 1.39
266 2015-07-04 1.6274 1.6274 1.6274 1.6274 1.6274 1.44
267 2015-07-05 1.6294 1.6294 1.6294 1.6294 1.6294 1.45
268 2015-07-06 1.6315 1.6315 1.6315 1.6315 1.6315 1.46
269 2015-07-07 1.6338 1.6338 1.6338 1.6338 1.6338 1.47
270 2015-07-08 1.6365 1.6362 1.6362 1.6362 1.6362 1.48
271 2015-07-09 1.6397 1.6388 1.6388 1.6388 1.6388 1.49
272 2015-07-10 1.6428 1.6415 1.6415 1.6415 1.6415 1.50
273 2015-07-11 1.6574 1.6543 1.6543 1.6543 1.6543 1.52
274 2015-07-12 1.6586 1.6573 1.6573 1.6573 1.6573 1.53
275 2015-07-13 1.6506 1.6504 1.6504 1.6504 1.6504 1.53
276 2015-07-14 1.6535 1.6535 1.6535 1.6535 1.6535 1.54
277 2015-07-15 1.6568 1.6568 1.6568 1.6568 1.6568 1.55
279 2015-07-17 1.6637 1.6637 1.6637 1.6637 1.6637 1.57
280 2015-07-18 1.6672 1.6672 1.6672 1.6672 1.6672 1.58
281 2015-07-19 1.6609 1.6609 1.6609 1.6609 1.6609 1.58
282 2015-07-20 1.6647 1.6647 1.6647 1.6647 1.6647 1.59
283 2015-07-21 1.6685 1.6685 1.6685 1.6685 1.6685 1.60
284 2015-07-23 0.0564 0.0564 0.0564 0.0564 0.0564   NA
285 2015-07-24 0.0505 0.0505 0.0505 0.0505 0.0505   NA
286 2015-07-25 0.0446 0.0446 0.0446 0.0446 0.0446   NA
287 2015-07-28 0.0274 0.0274 0.0274 0.0274 0.0274   NA
288 2015-07-29 0.0218 0.0218 0.0218 0.0218 0.0218   NA
289 2015-07-30 0.0163 0.0163 0.0163 0.0163 0.0163   NA
p10=10% exceedance, etc., Obs=Included Observed

Maximum of 15.6 in 1984, Minimum of 0.5 in 1992, Average/Median for 1981-2010.
ESP forecasts in the Observed Period w/o observed values are not total runoff.