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LAMU1 Water Supply Forecasts

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Water Year:     2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   
2015 Runoff Forecast Apr-Jul No Precipitation Forecast Included
Lambs Ck (LAMU1)

Official Forecasts
  Forecast Date  Max   MP  Min
1      2015-1-1 6.40 3.60 1.14
2      2015-2-1 5.40 3.00 1.30
3      2015-3-1 3.80 2.10 0.98
4      2015-4-1 1.88 0.89 0.77
5      2015-5-1 1.00 0.85 0.82
6      2015-6-1 1.45 1.50 1.42
MP=Most Probable

ESP Forecasts - 0 Days
      Run Date    p10    p30    p50    p70    p90  Obs
38  2014-11-15 7.3384 5.3964 3.5332 2.1512 0.9316   NA
39  2014-11-16 7.5347 5.4830 3.5747 2.1917 0.9344   NA
40  2014-11-17 7.5753 5.5442 3.5929 2.2012 0.9391   NA
41  2014-11-18 7.2241 5.4916 3.6930 2.0123 0.9351   NA
42  2014-11-19 7.0980 5.5370 3.6870 2.0683 0.9815   NA
43  2014-11-20 6.8320 5.4646 3.6265 2.0657 0.9765   NA
44  2014-11-21 6.7110 5.4522 3.5624 1.9696 0.9798   NA
45  2014-11-22 6.6618 5.4172 3.5077 1.8591 0.9656   NA
46  2014-11-23 7.0640 5.7184 3.6689 2.2683 0.9941   NA
47  2014-11-24 7.1954 5.8698 3.8217 2.3977 1.0055   NA
48  2014-11-25 7.2492 5.9880 3.9220 2.3822 1.0076   NA
49  2014-11-26 7.2926 6.0400 3.9726 2.3845 1.0103   NA
50  2014-11-27 7.2764 5.9233 3.7792 2.1526 0.9991   NA
51  2014-11-28 7.2390 5.8523 3.7187 2.1204 0.9915   NA
52  2014-11-29 7.2057 5.7845 3.6675 1.9778 0.9871   NA
53  2014-11-30 7.1571 5.7375 3.6564 1.8241 0.9812   NA
54  2014-12-01 6.9123 5.7150 3.6817 1.7598 0.9794   NA
55  2014-12-02 6.8604 5.4278 3.6653 1.6523 0.9703   NA
56  2014-12-03 6.8613 5.3943 3.5997 1.6592 0.9696   NA
57  2014-12-04 6.8293 5.3744 3.6328 1.6842 0.9712   NA
58  2014-12-05 6.6912 5.1276 3.6264 1.6793 0.9702   NA
59  2014-12-06 6.5992 5.0737 3.6137 1.6869 0.9711   NA
60  2014-12-07 6.2953 4.9058 3.5907 1.6327 0.9699   NA
61  2014-12-08 6.2363 4.8615 3.5581 1.6397 0.9667   NA
62  2014-12-09 6.2088 4.6771 3.4588 1.6289 0.9706   NA
63  2014-12-10 6.1980 4.5405 3.1420 1.6451 0.9650   NA
64  2014-12-11 6.2001 4.5046 3.1371 1.6132 0.9633   NA
65  2014-12-12 6.2044 4.4701 3.1324 1.5519 0.9640   NA
66  2014-12-13 6.2521 4.4610 3.1066 1.5448 0.9665   NA
67  2014-12-14 6.4170 4.5743 2.9862 1.5155 0.9825   NA
68  2014-12-15 6.3997 4.5607 2.9858 1.5163 0.9852   NA
69  2014-12-16 6.2933 4.4804 2.9873 1.4941 0.9833   NA
70  2014-12-17 6.2820 4.3717 2.9489 1.4520 0.9783   NA
71  2014-12-18 6.1776 4.3758 2.9389 1.3130 0.9777   NA
72  2014-12-19 6.0184 4.3423 2.8337 1.2833 0.9758   NA
73  2014-12-20 5.8871 4.2471 2.7492 1.2603 0.9759   NA
74  2014-12-21 5.9868 4.3441 2.7483 1.2937 0.9920   NA
75  2014-12-22 6.7232 5.0446 3.3420 1.8047 1.0680   NA
76  2014-12-23 7.0837 5.3367 3.6643 2.1631 1.1530   NA
77  2014-12-24 6.8470 5.3062 3.6197 2.0076 1.1440   NA
78  2014-12-25 6.9768 5.4310 3.7592 2.1794 1.2275   NA
79  2014-12-26 7.2041 5.5531 3.7610 2.2379 1.3063   NA
80  2014-12-27 7.1379 5.5395 3.6791 2.0439 1.3166   NA
81  2014-12-28 7.1225 5.5578 3.6094 2.0366 1.3261   NA
82  2014-12-29 7.3286 5.7489 3.7052 2.1272 1.3976   NA
83  2014-12-30 7.4267 5.8029 3.7364 2.1451 1.4519   NA
84  2014-12-31 7.1678 5.1853 3.7340 2.1526 1.4603   NA
85  2015-01-01 6.9114 5.1310 3.6870 2.1519 1.4669   NA
86  2015-01-02 6.8852 4.9978 3.6804 2.1593 1.4650   NA
87  2015-01-03 6.7005 4.7953 3.6936 2.1816 1.4182   NA
88  2015-01-04 6.6290 4.7827 3.6922 2.1820 1.4205   NA
89  2015-01-05 6.6414 4.7936 3.6925 2.1027 1.2494   NA
90  2015-01-06 6.5210 4.6636 3.6238 2.0915 1.1209   NA
91  2015-01-07 6.4617 4.5383 3.4747 1.9983 1.0958   NA
92  2015-01-08 6.2877 4.4832 3.4367 1.9963 1.0935   NA
93  2015-01-09 6.1719 4.4368 3.4131 1.9369 1.0871   NA
94  2015-01-10 6.1472 4.4074 3.2948 1.9373 1.0877   NA
95  2015-01-11 6.0546 4.4498 3.3139 1.8602 1.1108   NA
96  2015-01-12 6.0887 4.5025 3.3322 1.8235 1.1077   NA
97  2015-01-13 6.6847 5.0202 3.6896 2.2184 1.3783   NA
98  2015-01-14 6.9052 5.2368 3.7914 2.3662 1.5393   NA
99  2015-01-15 6.8647 5.2050 3.7330 2.3367 1.5028   NA
100 2015-01-16 6.5365 5.2369 3.6211 2.3131 1.4989   NA
101 2015-01-17 6.3767 5.1916 3.6206 2.3170 1.5229   NA
102 2015-01-18 6.2226 5.1056 3.6478 2.3604 1.5601   NA
103 2015-01-19 6.0147 4.9713 3.6209 2.2336 1.5491   NA
104 2015-01-20 5.9882 4.6799 3.6141 2.2105 1.5238   NA
105 2015-01-21 5.8126 4.6200 3.6214 2.2041 1.4747   NA
106 2015-01-22 5.8260 4.6144 3.4145 2.0497 1.4721   NA
107 2015-01-23 5.8003 4.5602 3.3627 1.9830 1.4698   NA
108 2015-01-24 5.7592 4.3911 3.2659 1.9523 1.4645   NA
109 2015-01-25 5.7492 4.2424 3.2692 1.9442 1.4588   NA
110 2015-01-26 5.7312 4.1976 3.2373 1.8331 1.4620   NA
111 2015-01-27 5.6681 4.0805 3.2397 1.8371 1.4577   NA
112 2015-01-28 5.6040 4.0447 3.1685 1.8192 1.4269   NA
113 2015-01-29 5.5745 4.0156 3.0618 1.7643 1.3901   NA
114 2015-01-30 5.6240 4.0609 3.0934 1.7905 1.3710   NA
115 2015-01-31 5.6182 4.0249 3.0569 1.8190 1.3686   NA
116 2015-02-01 5.5117 3.9298 3.0491 1.7705 1.2954   NA
117 2015-02-02 5.4883 3.7442 3.0565 1.6759 1.2599   NA
118 2015-02-03 5.3787 3.7883 3.0487 1.8259 1.2926   NA
119 2015-02-04 5.4010 3.8494 2.9890 1.8836 1.2853   NA
120 2015-02-05 5.4457 3.9210 3.0258 1.9524 1.3109   NA
121 2015-02-06 5.4547 3.9102 2.9874 1.9397 1.2836   NA
122 2015-02-09 5.5262 3.7590 2.7959 1.6767 1.0493   NA
123 2015-02-10 5.7534 3.8323 2.9363 1.8222 1.1034   NA
124 2015-02-11 5.6332 3.7117 2.8115 1.7581 1.1147   NA
125 2015-02-12 5.2580 3.6927 2.7125 1.7532 1.0994   NA
126 2015-02-13 5.0536 3.6859 2.7220 1.5691 1.0534   NA
127 2015-02-14 5.0340 3.6678 2.6937 1.5299 0.9946   NA
128 2015-02-15 4.7772 3.6171 2.6700 1.4805 0.9970   NA
129 2015-02-16 4.6855 3.4663 2.6392 1.4556 0.9924   NA
130 2015-02-17 4.5712 3.3489 2.5988 1.4535 0.9870   NA
131 2015-02-18 4.4926 3.2452 2.5164 1.4452 0.9802   NA
132 2015-02-19 4.4886 3.2007 2.5119 1.4366 0.9729   NA
133 2015-02-20 4.4098 3.1901 2.5253 1.3872 0.9743   NA
134 2015-02-21 4.3725 3.1470 2.4166 1.3990 0.9844   NA
135 2015-02-22 4.2632 3.0940 2.4222 1.4039 0.9842   NA
136 2015-02-23 4.2544 3.1097 2.2195 1.3386 0.9887   NA
137 2015-02-24 3.9420 3.1102 2.1656 1.2794 0.9626   NA
138 2015-02-25 3.7660 3.1239 2.1484 1.2375 0.9648   NA
139 2015-02-26 3.6006 3.1552 2.0825 1.2556 0.9772   NA
140 2015-02-27 3.6430 3.1547 2.0123 1.2981 0.9861   NA
141 2015-02-28 3.6765 3.1696 1.9874 1.3199 0.9910   NA
142 2015-03-01 3.8011 3.2678 2.0961 1.3552 0.9747   NA
143 2015-03-02 3.8096 3.2386 2.0825 1.3673 0.9735   NA
144 2015-03-03 4.0779 3.4705 2.2382 1.5675 0.9987   NA
145 2015-03-04 4.2584 3.6169 2.3439 1.7002 1.0168   NA
146 2015-03-05 4.2399 3.4191 2.2237 1.5816 1.0023   NA
147 2015-03-06 4.2054 3.3758 2.1471 1.5423 0.9656   NA
148 2015-03-07 4.1889 3.3487 2.0465 1.3347 0.9513   NA
149 2015-03-08 4.1295 3.3008 1.9141 1.3271 0.9411   NA
150 2015-03-09 4.1098 3.2936 1.8887 1.2870 0.9432   NA
151 2015-03-10 4.0795 3.0383 1.8666 1.2877 0.9114   NA
152 2015-03-11 4.0646 2.9963 1.8664 1.3009 0.9126   NA
153 2015-03-12 4.0501 2.9293 1.8350 1.3110 0.9072   NA
154 2015-03-13 4.0481 2.9636 1.7483 1.2936 0.8984   NA
155 2015-03-14 4.0374 2.9463 1.7422 1.0804 0.8888   NA
156 2015-03-15 3.9066 2.9144 1.7042 1.0513 0.8903   NA
157 2015-03-16 3.8316 2.7250 1.6923 1.0239 0.8873   NA
158 2015-03-17 3.8113 2.5456 1.6887 1.0244 0.8842   NA
159 2015-03-18 3.7518 2.4485 1.5582 1.0184 0.8714   NA
160 2015-03-19 3.3571 2.3428 1.4850 1.0188 0.8711   NA
161 2015-03-20 3.3398 2.2809 1.3449 1.0223 0.8670   NA
162 2015-03-21 3.1947 2.0303 1.2315 1.0046 0.8639   NA
163 2015-03-22 3.1467 1.9873 1.2291 0.9981 0.8674   NA
164 2015-03-23 2.9761 1.9914 1.2057 0.9990 0.8621   NA
165 2015-03-24 3.0232 1.9930 1.2094 1.0051 0.8666   NA
166 2015-03-25 3.1000 1.9783 1.2817 1.0167 0.8619   NA
167 2015-03-26 2.8567 1.8516 1.2859 1.0185 0.8643   NA
168 2015-03-27 2.8458 1.7140 1.2773 1.0157 0.8633   NA
169 2015-03-28 2.7809 1.6714 1.1365 1.0084 0.8614   NA
170 2015-03-29 2.8140 1.5372 1.0879 1.0077 0.8550   NA
171 2015-03-30 2.7494 1.2841 1.0611 1.0036 0.8543   NA
172 2015-03-31 2.1038 0.9981 0.9339 0.8755 0.7799   NA
173 2015-04-01 2.0882 0.9996 0.9320 0.8715 0.7795   NA
174 2015-04-02 1.9516 0.9787 0.9273 0.8479 0.7785 0.01
175 2015-04-03 1.9248 0.9662 0.9167 0.8529 0.7719 0.02
176 2015-04-04 1.9073 0.9557 0.9012 0.8397 0.7637 0.02
177 2015-04-05 1.8252 0.9474 0.8882 0.8400 0.7653 0.03
178 2015-04-06 1.7556 0.9331 0.8734 0.8239 0.7567 0.03
179 2015-04-07 1.7262 0.9327 0.8671 0.8092 0.7615 0.04
180 2015-04-08 1.6813 0.9332 0.8543 0.7868 0.7655 0.05
181 2015-04-09 1.7024 0.9489 0.8633 0.7995 0.7535 0.05
182 2015-04-10 1.4793 0.9246 0.8508 0.7842 0.7531 0.06
183 2015-04-11 1.3726 0.9269 0.8471 0.7808 0.7454 0.07
184 2015-04-12 1.3175 0.9177 0.8425 0.7747 0.7185 0.07
185 2015-04-13 1.2826 0.9122 0.8385 0.7753 0.7173 0.08
186 2015-04-14 1.2516 0.9024 0.8366 0.7715 0.7162 0.09
187 2015-04-15 1.4549 0.9368 0.8805 0.8009 0.7510 0.10
188 2015-04-16 1.6500 1.0008 0.9098 0.8347 0.7884 0.11
189 2015-04-17 1.6362 0.9926 0.9051 0.8258 0.7724 0.11
190 2015-04-18 1.5974 1.0013 0.8783 0.8162 0.7780 0.12
191 2015-04-19 1.5083 0.9743 0.8293 0.8029 0.7713 0.13
192 2015-04-20 1.4717 0.9550 0.8232 0.7917 0.7638 0.14
193 2015-04-21 1.3695 0.9385 0.8174 0.7798 0.7504 0.14
194 2015-04-22 1.3813 0.9329 0.8144 0.7758 0.7447 0.15
195 2015-04-23 1.3174 0.9315 0.8157 0.7739 0.7478 0.16
196 2015-04-24 1.2679 0.9242 0.8122 0.7741 0.7494 0.17
197 2015-04-25 1.3214 0.9443 0.8315 0.7928 0.7735 0.19
198 2015-04-26 1.5880 1.0207 0.9100 0.8610 0.8384 0.20
199 2015-04-27 1.7350 1.0581 0.9499 0.9179 0.8917 0.24
200 2015-04-28 1.3811 0.9953 0.9008 0.8772 0.8521 0.25
201 2015-04-29 1.3244 0.9690 0.8972 0.8701 0.8474 0.26
202 2015-04-30 1.2590 0.9673 0.8904 0.8672 0.8455 0.27
203 2015-05-01 1.2581 0.9688 0.8902 0.8704 0.8514 0.28
204 2015-05-02 1.2347 0.9534 0.8861 0.8629 0.8530 0.29
205 2015-05-03 1.1796 0.9504 0.8885 0.8623 0.8523 0.30
206 2015-05-04 1.0460 0.9305 0.8749 0.8614 0.8502 0.31
207 2015-05-05 1.0334 0.9204 0.8641 0.8559 0.8447 0.32
208 2015-05-06 1.0444 0.9530 0.8892 0.8833 0.8655 0.35
209 2015-05-07 1.0398 0.9734 0.9111 0.8999 0.8819 0.36
210 2015-05-08 1.0650 0.9817 0.9228 0.9121 0.8954 0.38
211 2015-05-09 1.1699 1.0920 1.0348 1.0220 1.0081 0.50
212 2015-05-10 1.2720 1.1121 1.0739 1.0570 1.0363 0.51
213 2015-05-11 1.2297 1.1149 1.0739 1.0602 1.0435 0.52
214 2015-05-12 1.1766 1.0905 1.0749 1.0560 1.0495 0.54
215 2015-05-13 1.1698 1.0867 1.0651 1.0514 1.0442 0.55
216 2015-05-14 1.1551 1.0919 1.0713 1.0598 1.0528 0.57
217 2015-05-15 1.1610 1.0876 1.0696 1.0574 1.0527 0.58
218 2015-05-16 1.1420 1.1041 1.0785 1.0684 1.0628 0.60
219 2015-05-17 1.2734 1.2290 1.1994 1.1817 1.1707 0.66
220 2015-05-18 1.3349 1.2698 1.2495 1.2348 1.2264 0.71
221 2015-05-19 1.3618 1.2822 1.2714 1.2555 1.2478 0.75
222 2015-05-20 1.4607 1.3618 1.3427 1.3355 1.3355 0.78
223 2015-05-21 1.4722 1.3818 1.3634 1.3570 1.3570 0.82
224 2015-05-22 1.4511 1.3830 1.3750 1.3734 1.3734 0.85
225 2015-05-23 1.4461 1.3804 1.3707 1.3702 1.3702 0.86
226 2015-05-24 1.4381 1.3865 1.3794 1.3774 1.3774 0.88
227 2015-05-25 1.4279 1.3898 1.3853 1.3849 1.3849 0.90
228 2015-05-26 1.4214 1.3978 1.3925 1.3925 1.3925 0.92
229 2015-05-27 1.4886 1.4673 1.4611 1.4611 1.4611 1.00
230 2015-05-28 1.5162 1.4927 1.4796 1.4796 1.4796 1.03
231 2015-05-29 1.5241 1.4955 1.4882 1.4882 1.4882 1.05
232 2015-05-30 1.5218 1.4929 1.4872 1.4872 1.4872 1.06
233 2015-05-31 1.5222 1.4875 1.4865 1.4865 1.4865 1.07
234 2015-06-01 1.5213 1.4862 1.4861 1.4861 1.4861 1.08
235 2015-06-02 1.5112 1.4759 1.4759 1.4759 1.4759 1.08
236 2015-06-03 1.5102 1.4759 1.4759 1.4759 1.4759 1.09
237 2015-06-04 1.5105 1.4762 1.4762 1.4762 1.4762 1.10
238 2015-06-05 1.5010 1.4667 1.4667 1.4667 1.4667 1.10
239 2015-06-06 1.4851 1.4673 1.4673 1.4673 1.4673 1.11
240 2015-06-07 1.5163 1.5082 1.5082 1.5082 1.5082 1.16
241 2015-06-08 1.5174 1.5093 1.5093 1.5093 1.5093 1.17
242 2015-06-09 1.5187 1.5105 1.5105 1.5105 1.5105 1.18
243 2015-06-10 1.5199 1.5120 1.5120 1.5120 1.5120 1.19
244 2015-06-11 1.5216 1.5136 1.5136 1.5136 1.5136 1.20
245 2015-06-12 1.5333 1.5253 1.5253 1.5253 1.5253 1.22
246 2015-06-13 1.5353 1.5272 1.5272 1.5272 1.5272 1.23
247 2015-06-14 1.5373 1.5292 1.5292 1.5292 1.5292 1.24
248 2015-06-15 1.5394 1.5314 1.5314 1.5314 1.5314 1.25
249 2015-06-16 1.5417 1.5338 1.5338 1.5338 1.5338 1.26
250 2015-06-17 1.5380 1.5362 1.5362 1.5362 1.5362 1.27
251 2015-06-18 1.5405 1.5388 1.5388 1.5388 1.5388 1.28
252 2015-06-19 1.5426 1.5415 1.5415 1.5415 1.5415 1.29
253 2015-06-20 1.5454 1.5443 1.5443 1.5443 1.5443 1.30
254 2015-06-21 1.5474 1.5472 1.5472 1.5472 1.5472 1.31
255 2015-06-22 1.5504 1.5502 1.5502 1.5502 1.5502 1.32
256 2015-06-23 1.5535 1.5533 1.5533 1.5533 1.5533 1.33
257 2015-06-24 1.5567 1.5566 1.5566 1.5566 1.5566 1.34
258 2015-06-25 1.5599 1.5599 1.5599 1.5599 1.5599 1.35
259 2015-06-26 1.5633 1.5633 1.5633 1.5633 1.5633 1.36
260 2015-06-27 1.5668 1.5668 1.5668 1.5668 1.5668 1.37
261 2015-06-28 1.5703 1.5703 1.5703 1.5703 1.5703 1.38
262 2015-06-29 1.5740 1.5740 1.5740 1.5740 1.5740 1.39
266 2015-07-04 1.6274 1.6274 1.6274 1.6274 1.6274 1.44
267 2015-07-05 1.6294 1.6294 1.6294 1.6294 1.6294 1.45
268 2015-07-06 1.6315 1.6315 1.6315 1.6315 1.6315 1.46
269 2015-07-07 1.6338 1.6338 1.6338 1.6338 1.6338 1.47
270 2015-07-08 1.6365 1.6362 1.6362 1.6362 1.6362 1.48
271 2015-07-09 1.6397 1.6388 1.6388 1.6388 1.6388 1.49
272 2015-07-10 1.6428 1.6415 1.6415 1.6415 1.6415 1.50
273 2015-07-11 1.6574 1.6543 1.6543 1.6543 1.6543 1.52
274 2015-07-12 1.6586 1.6573 1.6573 1.6573 1.6573 1.53
275 2015-07-13 1.6506 1.6504 1.6504 1.6504 1.6504 1.53
276 2015-07-14 1.6535 1.6535 1.6535 1.6535 1.6535 1.54
277 2015-07-15 1.6568 1.6568 1.6568 1.6568 1.6568 1.55
279 2015-07-17 1.6637 1.6637 1.6637 1.6637 1.6637 1.57
280 2015-07-18 1.6672 1.6672 1.6672 1.6672 1.6672 1.58
281 2015-07-19 1.6609 1.6609 1.6609 1.6609 1.6609 1.58
282 2015-07-20 1.6647 1.6647 1.6647 1.6647 1.6647 1.59
283 2015-07-21 1.6685 1.6685 1.6685 1.6685 1.6685 1.60
284 2015-07-23 0.0564 0.0564 0.0564 0.0564 0.0564   NA
285 2015-07-24 0.0505 0.0505 0.0505 0.0505 0.0505   NA
286 2015-07-25 0.0446 0.0446 0.0446 0.0446 0.0446   NA
287 2015-07-28 0.0274 0.0274 0.0274 0.0274 0.0274   NA
288 2015-07-29 0.0218 0.0218 0.0218 0.0218 0.0218   NA
289 2015-07-30 0.0163 0.0163 0.0163 0.0163 0.0163   NA
p10=10% exceedance, etc., Obs=Included Observed

Maximum of 15.6 in 1984, Minimum of 0.5 in 1992, Average/Median for 1981-2010.
ESP forecasts in the Observed Period w/o observed values are not total runoff.