COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
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LGNU1 Water Supply Forecasts

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Water Year:     2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   
2014 Runoff Forecast Apr-Jul (No Precip Forecast Included)
Logan - Logan- Nr- State Dam- Abv (LGNU1)

Official Forecasts
  Forecast Date Max  MP Min
1      2014-1-1 110  68  36
2      2014-2-1 101  63  43
3      2014-3-1 137 105  88
4      2014-4-1 134 115 102
5      2014-5-1 118 110 100
6      2014-6-1 101  96  91
MP=Most Probable

ESP Forecasts - 0 Days
      Run Date   p10   p30   p50   p70   p90   Obs
31  2013-11-05 168.9 117.1  81.1  64.1  45.8    NA
32  2013-11-06 169.3 116.1  81.1  63.8  45.1    NA
33  2013-11-07 162.6 115.1  80.9  63.8  45.1    NA
34  2013-11-08 162.0 113.6  80.5  62.6  45.0    NA
35  2013-11-09 160.4 113.5  80.7  59.2  44.3    NA
36  2013-11-10 157.1 112.9  79.2  58.3  43.1    NA
37  2013-11-11 155.3 112.7  79.2  55.9  43.0    NA
38  2013-11-12 152.6 112.1  77.9  55.8  40.9    NA
39  2013-11-13 150.7 110.7  77.7  55.8  40.5    NA
40  2013-11-14 149.7 109.8  76.1  55.1  37.6    NA
41  2013-11-15 149.4 110.4  76.7  55.4  36.0    NA
42  2013-11-16 150.3 111.8  78.0  56.3  36.2    NA
43  2013-11-17 152.1 110.0  78.6  57.5  36.3    NA
44  2013-11-18 153.1 111.6  81.3  59.8  38.6    NA
45  2013-11-19 151.9 110.1  80.1  59.4  38.7    NA
46  2013-11-20 151.5 110.6  80.6  60.1  39.3    NA
47  2013-11-21 152.3 111.9  80.9  61.4  40.1    NA
48  2013-11-22 151.9 112.2  80.5  61.7  40.2    NA
49  2013-11-23 150.4 112.1  79.8  60.5  40.2    NA
51  2013-11-25 142.4 111.6  76.2  58.4  39.9    NA
52  2013-11-26 140.8 110.0  75.0  57.5  39.8    NA
53  2013-11-27 139.3 109.4  73.6  57.3  39.5    NA
54  2013-11-28 138.5 108.7  72.9  57.0  37.4    NA
55  2013-11-30 134.1 105.2  71.4  55.8  36.9    NA
56  2013-12-01 131.7 104.6  71.2  55.2  36.5    NA
57  2013-12-02 131.5 105.1  71.6  53.6  37.1    NA
58  2013-12-03 131.4 108.1  73.8  55.5  38.6    NA
59  2013-12-04 129.8 108.1  74.1  55.7  39.1    NA
60  2013-12-05 129.1 104.7  74.0  55.3  39.2    NA
61  2013-12-06 129.1 104.6  73.7  55.2  39.1    NA
62  2013-12-07 127.9 103.0  73.5  53.7  37.2    NA
63  2013-12-08 128.7 102.8  73.5  53.8  37.8    NA
64  2013-12-10 125.5  96.8  72.3  52.7  37.8    NA
65  2013-12-11 125.0  96.6  71.4  50.8  37.7    NA
66  2013-12-12 124.6  96.4  70.5  50.2  37.6    NA
67  2013-12-13 124.5  95.1  69.5  49.9  37.2    NA
68  2013-12-15 123.3  94.7  66.6  49.4  32.8    NA
69  2013-12-16 122.9  94.6  66.3  49.4  31.8    NA
70  2013-12-17 122.2  94.4  66.2  49.3  31.4    NA
71  2013-12-18 122.2  94.2  63.1  49.2  30.6    NA
72  2013-12-19 124.2  96.5  64.1  50.5  32.0    NA
73  2013-12-20 124.9  97.2  64.1  51.1  31.6    NA
74  2013-12-21 126.0  98.5  65.1  52.1  33.1    NA
75  2013-12-22 125.9  98.7  65.2  52.3  33.3    NA
76  2013-12-25 130.7 101.0  69.2  53.6  36.0    NA
77  2013-12-26 129.1  99.3  69.3  51.5  36.0    NA
78  2013-12-27 127.8  96.0  69.3  50.8  35.9    NA
79  2013-12-28 127.1  95.4  69.6  51.1  36.0    NA
80  2013-12-29 121.5  94.9  69.6  50.7  36.0    NA
81  2013-12-30 119.0  93.4  69.3  49.0  35.7    NA
82  2013-12-31 116.9  90.0  69.0  48.6  35.7    NA
83  2014-01-01 114.6  89.6  69.6  49.4  36.6    NA
84  2014-01-02 107.5  87.5  68.6  49.2  36.5    NA
85  2014-01-03 106.9  86.2  67.7  48.6  36.5    NA
86  2014-01-04 105.8  86.6  67.9  49.2  36.1    NA
87  2014-01-05 104.9  85.7  66.7  48.2  35.0    NA
88  2014-01-06 103.8  84.3  66.4  47.8  34.8    NA
89  2014-01-07 101.0  82.0  66.0  47.7  33.9    NA
90  2014-01-08 100.2  81.9  66.0  47.4  33.9    NA
91  2014-01-09  99.0  77.3  64.6  47.3  34.2    NA
92  2014-01-10 102.3  79.3  66.3  48.1  36.7    NA
93  2014-01-11 103.3  80.3  64.1  49.2  37.8    NA
94  2014-01-12 107.1  83.0  65.9  52.3  40.2    NA
95  2014-01-13 110.7  85.6  69.0  54.3  42.2    NA
98  2014-01-16 107.7  80.0  68.3  54.7  43.2    NA
99  2014-01-17 106.5  78.4  68.3  54.8  43.3    NA
100 2014-01-18 106.4  76.3  68.3  54.7  43.2    NA
101 2014-01-19 106.6  76.1  66.8  54.6  43.2    NA
102 2014-01-20 106.2  75.3  66.6  54.6  43.0    NA
103 2014-01-21 102.4  75.1  66.1  54.0  42.5    NA
104 2014-01-22  98.6  73.5  65.9  53.2  42.2    NA
105 2014-01-24  95.3  69.7  65.0  52.5  40.7    NA
106 2014-01-25  94.6  69.5  64.7  52.1  40.3    NA
107 2014-01-26  93.4  69.3  63.3  51.6  40.0    NA
111 2014-01-30  99.7  74.6  68.5  56.9  43.1    NA
112 2014-01-31  99.1  74.2  67.5  55.3  42.7    NA
113 2014-02-01  99.7  73.9  66.4  55.6  43.1    NA
114 2014-02-02 100.0  69.9  65.6  55.6  43.0    NA
115 2014-02-03  98.8  68.6  62.8  54.8  42.3    NA
116 2014-02-04  99.9  68.7  62.9  54.6  43.0    NA
117 2014-02-05 100.8  69.4  63.5  54.2  43.4    NA
118 2014-02-07 105.9  73.5  67.8  58.3  46.9    NA
119 2014-02-08 110.7  80.6  75.2  64.6  54.0    NA
120 2014-02-09 120.7  89.3  83.3  71.4  61.3    NA
121 2014-02-10 122.2  91.1  83.9  72.7  62.0    NA
122 2014-02-11 122.2  90.3  83.8  71.7  62.0    NA
123 2014-02-12 122.0  90.2  83.0  70.7  61.8    NA
124 2014-02-13 125.7  93.2  85.9  74.0  63.8    NA
125 2014-02-14 126.9  94.5  86.4  74.8  63.8    NA
126 2014-02-15 131.9  99.2  90.8  79.3  68.5    NA
127 2014-02-16 128.7  98.4  89.5  78.3  67.6    NA
128 2014-02-17 125.6  98.9  90.3  79.1  68.3    NA
129 2014-02-18 124.4  98.6  88.9  78.4  67.3    NA
130 2014-02-19 124.0  97.4  88.1  77.9  66.5    NA
131 2014-02-20 123.3  95.1  87.1  75.3  65.9    NA
132 2014-02-22 121.7  95.3  88.6  74.5  66.9    NA
133 2014-02-23 122.9  97.3  89.4  77.1  69.2    NA
134 2014-02-24 119.5  95.4  87.9  75.3  68.2    NA
135 2014-02-25 119.0  95.8  88.1  75.5  68.0    NA
136 2014-02-26 118.9  95.0  87.5  74.7  66.4    NA
137 2014-02-27 118.0  93.5  86.0  72.9  66.1    NA
138 2014-02-28 120.8  97.0  88.8  74.4  67.7    NA
139 2014-03-01 123.1 100.4  90.5  77.0  70.8    NA
140 2014-03-02 126.0 104.1  94.5  80.8  75.0    NA
141 2014-03-03 126.3 105.4  96.8  83.2  77.5    NA
143 2014-03-05 134.2 117.7 106.9  95.3  90.2    NA
144 2014-03-06 134.6 117.9 105.7  95.5  90.5    NA
145 2014-03-07 135.1 119.4 106.1  96.6  89.7    NA
146 2014-03-10 137.5 123.0 106.9  97.0  91.0    NA
147 2014-03-11 140.2 124.0 109.6  99.2  93.5    NA
148 2014-03-12 132.6 122.6 109.8  98.1  93.0    NA
149 2014-03-13 132.1 120.8 109.8  97.9  89.7    NA
150 2014-03-14 132.7 121.8 110.1  98.5  88.9    NA
151 2014-03-15 131.8 121.3 109.7  99.0  89.7    NA
152 2014-03-16 131.7 120.4 108.4  99.1  89.3    NA
153 2014-03-17 131.8 119.9 106.1  98.9  88.9    NA
154 2014-03-18 133.5 120.9 106.6  99.8  90.1    NA
155 2014-03-19 133.7 120.9 104.8 100.1  88.5    NA
156 2014-03-20 133.7 119.5 102.7  98.8  88.0    NA
157 2014-03-21 133.9 119.5 103.2  98.1  88.3    NA
158 2014-03-22 133.6 117.9 103.5  97.6  87.9    NA
159 2014-03-23 131.6 117.6 103.4  97.6  87.8    NA
160 2014-03-24 130.6 117.1 102.4  96.6  87.2    NA
161 2014-03-25 130.3 116.7 102.4  97.0  86.8    NA
162 2014-03-26 130.0 116.0 102.4  95.7  86.7    NA
163 2014-03-27 130.0 116.3 102.2  93.6  87.7    NA
164 2014-03-28 135.8 119.2 108.0  99.0  93.3    NA
165 2014-03-30 134.8 116.7 106.2  96.6  93.7    NA
166 2014-03-31 140.9 122.4 112.6 102.7  99.4    NA
167 2014-04-01 138.7 122.0 113.0 102.3  99.7    NA
168 2014-04-02 140.2 126.0 117.4 106.6 104.3  0.22
169 2014-04-03 137.0 124.6 116.0 105.4 102.5  0.45
170 2014-04-04 136.0 124.6 116.0 105.0 102.1  0.67
171 2014-04-05 133.1 124.7 115.9 104.9 101.7  0.88
172 2014-04-06 133.8 125.0 116.0 105.4  99.8  1.08
173 2014-04-07 135.0 126.3 117.4 106.5 100.9  1.29
174 2014-04-08 135.2 126.3 117.2 106.6 101.1  1.50
175 2014-04-09 134.1 124.3 115.9 106.2 100.3  1.72
176 2014-04-10 131.5 123.4 115.0 105.2  99.2  1.96
178 2014-04-12 131.1 119.5 113.3 103.7  97.2  2.71
179 2014-04-13 130.0 119.4 113.2 103.9  97.6  3.19
180 2014-04-14 128.2 118.9 113.1 104.0  97.9  3.71
181 2014-04-15 128.2 118.5 111.9 103.2  97.4  4.17
182 2014-04-16 127.9 118.3 109.9 102.9  96.6  4.60
183 2014-04-17 127.7 117.2 109.0 102.5  95.7  5.02
184 2014-04-18 127.1 115.9 108.4 101.0  95.3  5.43
185 2014-04-20 124.3 116.6 107.4 100.5  95.5  6.38
186 2014-04-21 124.8 117.5 106.3 100.2  95.7  6.95
187 2014-04-22 123.5 116.4 104.9  98.3  95.6  7.55
188 2014-04-23 125.8 117.4 107.3 100.2  97.3  8.19
189 2014-04-24 126.3 117.0 107.7 100.2  96.6  8.86
190 2014-04-25 126.3 115.9 107.9  99.6  96.8  9.53
191 2014-04-26 126.8 113.2 108.9 101.5  97.8 10.11
192 2014-04-27 130.1 117.2 111.3 103.4 101.2 10.66
193 2014-04-28 131.1 117.1 111.3 103.8 102.2 11.26
194 2014-04-29 131.5 116.9 110.8 104.3 101.5 11.78
195 2014-04-30 128.6 116.8 110.5 104.3 101.5 12.26
196 2014-05-01 125.8 115.0 108.9 103.5 100.5 12.08
197 2014-05-02 123.7 114.5 108.6 103.3 100.6 12.50
198 2014-05-03 121.7 112.8 108.5 103.3 100.1 12.91
199 2014-05-04 120.0 110.8 107.6 102.9  99.2 13.36
200 2014-05-05 109.8 102.3  98.1  96.1  91.7 13.94
202 2014-05-07 108.6 101.8  98.0  95.8  89.7 15.51
203 2014-05-08 111.8 103.0 100.3  96.5  92.2 16.37
205 2014-05-10 117.5 108.7 106.2 101.8  96.5 18.00
206 2014-05-11 116.3 109.5 107.8 101.1  97.1 18.80
207 2014-05-12 113.6 109.1 107.1 100.8  96.4 19.52
208 2014-05-13 113.3 109.5 106.7 100.9  96.7 20.20
209 2014-05-14 112.8 108.7 105.0 100.9  96.7 20.82
210 2014-05-15 112.5 108.4 104.5  99.5  95.8 21.40
211 2014-05-16 111.8 108.0 102.1  97.8  95.1 21.98
212 2014-05-17 111.4 107.5 101.7  97.3  94.8 22.61
213 2014-05-18 111.5 107.0 101.7  97.6  94.6 23.37
214 2014-05-19 111.5 107.1 101.9  97.7  95.0 24.27
215 2014-05-20 110.7 106.7 101.7  97.6  94.6 25.34
216 2014-05-21 110.9 105.1 101.4  97.7  94.7 26.43
217 2014-05-22 109.7 104.5 100.2  97.2  94.7 27.54
218 2014-05-24 108.3 103.5 100.4  97.4  94.7 29.84
219 2014-05-25 109.0 104.8 101.3  99.3  96.4 31.11
220 2014-05-26 107.4 104.4 100.4  98.9  95.2 32.44
221 2014-05-27 106.4 103.9  99.9  98.7  96.0 33.90
222 2014-05-28 106.1 103.7  99.6  98.2  96.1 35.43
224 2014-05-30 106.6 103.1  99.0  96.5  95.2 38.65
225 2014-05-31 106.3 102.7  98.8  96.5  95.3 40.29
226 2014-06-01 104.8 101.4  98.6  96.2  95.2 41.93
227 2014-06-02 105.5 100.6  99.0  96.3  95.6 43.52
228 2014-06-03 104.4 100.2  98.4  96.0  95.3 45.06
229 2014-06-04 102.7  98.9  96.8  95.3  94.7 46.53
230 2014-06-05 101.5  98.3  96.8  95.3  94.7 47.97
231 2014-06-06  99.4  96.7  94.9  94.3  93.6 49.35
232 2014-06-07  98.2  95.6  94.4  94.1  93.6 50.68
233 2014-06-08  96.8  95.1  94.2  93.8  93.4 51.95
234 2014-06-09  96.5  94.9  93.8  93.4  93.0 53.18
235 2014-06-10  96.0  94.7  93.3  93.1  92.7 54.36
236 2014-06-11  91.1  89.9  89.3  89.0  88.8 55.49
237 2014-06-12  90.8  89.7  89.3  89.0  88.9 56.59
238 2014-06-13  90.9  89.4  89.1  88.9  88.7 57.65
239 2014-06-14  90.2  89.5  89.2  88.9  88.8 58.69
240 2014-06-15  89.8  89.3  88.9  88.7  88.6 59.68
241 2014-06-16  89.7  89.1  88.8  88.6  88.5 60.65
242 2014-06-17  89.9  89.3  89.0  88.8  88.7 61.55
243 2014-06-18  90.2  89.6  89.3  89.2  89.1 62.40
244 2014-06-19  90.4  89.9  89.4  89.3  89.3 63.25
245 2014-06-20  90.2  89.6  89.2  89.1  89.0 64.03
246 2014-06-21  90.0  89.0  88.9  88.8  88.8 64.77
247 2014-06-22  89.6  88.8  88.7  88.6  88.6 65.46
248 2014-06-24  89.2  88.4  88.3  88.2  88.2 66.82
249 2014-06-25  88.9  88.2  88.1  88.0  88.0 67.49
250 2014-06-26  88.8  88.0  87.8  87.8  87.8 68.14
251 2014-06-27  88.8  87.9  87.8  87.8  87.8 68.78
253 2014-06-29  88.9  88.1  88.0  88.0  88.0 70.10
255 2014-07-01  88.5  87.9  87.8  87.8  87.8 71.43
256 2014-07-02  88.3  87.7  87.7  87.7  87.7 72.02
261 2014-07-07  86.1  85.8  85.7  85.7  85.7 74.71
264 2014-07-12  84.2  83.9  83.6  83.2  82.9 77.10
265 2014-07-13  84.3  84.0  83.7  83.4  83.0 77.58
266 2014-07-14  84.3  84.1  83.8  83.5  83.1 78.04
267 2014-07-15  84.4  84.1  83.9  83.6  83.2 78.49
268 2014-07-16  84.5  84.2  84.0  83.7  83.4 78.94
270 2014-07-21  84.9  84.6  84.5  84.3  84.1 81.08
271 2014-07-22  84.8  84.7  84.6  84.4  84.2 81.49
272 2014-07-23  84.8  84.8  84.7  84.5  84.3 81.89
273 2014-07-24  84.9  84.8  84.8  84.6  84.4 82.29
274 2014-07-25  85.0  84.9  84.8  84.7  84.5 82.67
277 2014-07-28  85.2  85.1  85.1  85.0  84.9 83.81
278 2014-07-29  85.2  85.2  85.2  85.1  85.1 84.18
279 2014-07-30  85.4  85.3  85.3  85.3  85.3 84.54
p10=10% exceedance, etc., Obs=Included Observed

Maximum of 222.9 in 1986, Minimum of 34.1 in 1977, Average/Median for 1981-2010.
ESP forecasts in the Observed Period w/o observed values are not total runoff.