COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER
  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION

News

Access to our Water Supply Webinars Presentations More Info...
CBRFC Water Supply 2019 Early Outlook Webinar More Info...
Register for 2019 Water Supply Webinars More Info...
ROKU1 Water Supply Forecasts

  Plot   Forecasts   Observations   Historical   Annual/Official Verification   Reforcast Verification   

Water Year:     2013   2014   2015   2016   2017   
2017 Runoff Forecast Apr-Jul No Precipitation Forecast Included
Rock Ck - Mountain Home- Nr (ROKU1)

Official Forecasts
  Forecast Date Max  30  MP  70 Min
1      2017-1-1 150 120  99  86  72
2      2017-2-1 181 146 129 122 108
3      2017-3-1 180 166 155 144 127
4      2017-4-1 180 162 155 144 130
5      2017-5-1 167 152 146 136 130
6      2017-6-1 145 138 134 130 125
MP=Most Probable

ESP Forecasts - 0 Days
      Run Date p10   p30   p50   p70   p90    Obs
35  2016-12-09 117  98.3  70.3  60.3  45.7     NA
36  2016-12-10 115  98.1  70.3  60.4  45.9     NA
37  2016-12-11 120 104.5  75.2  65.1  49.5     NA
38  2016-12-12 122 106.0  75.1  66.0  50.3     NA
39  2016-12-13 122 100.7  74.8  65.7  50.1     NA
40  2016-12-14 122  99.0  72.4  65.3  49.7     NA
41  2016-12-15 124 101.7  74.8  66.4  51.0     NA
42  2016-12-16 128 107.4  78.6  69.3  54.9     NA
43  2016-12-17 133 112.6  82.3  72.6  58.3     NA
44  2016-12-18 133 112.5  81.6  71.8  56.0     NA
45  2016-12-19 133 112.0  81.0  71.6  55.6     NA
46  2016-12-20 131 111.5  80.4  71.0  55.5     NA
47  2016-12-21 128 111.1  79.1  70.8  55.5     NA
48  2016-12-22 127 110.0  78.8  69.6  55.4     NA
49  2016-12-23 126 107.1  78.8  68.7  55.3     NA
50  2016-12-24 126 106.6  78.7  68.2  54.7     NA
51  2016-12-25 134 112.5  84.3  73.6  59.6     NA
52  2016-12-26 134 107.8  84.5  72.0  59.8     NA
53  2016-12-27 137 108.1  86.6  74.1  61.5     NA
54  2016-12-28 138 108.7  87.6  74.9  62.2     NA
55  2016-12-29 138 108.9  88.2  75.3  62.6     NA
56  2016-12-30 136 108.5  88.1  75.3  61.5     NA
57  2016-12-31 136 108.6  88.3  75.4  61.4     NA
58  2017-01-01 136 108.2  87.7  75.0  60.9     NA
59  2017-01-02 136 108.0  87.7  75.2  60.5     NA
60  2017-01-03 144 113.3  94.7  81.5  65.5     NA
61  2017-01-04 145 114.4  95.6  82.3  66.6     NA
62  2017-01-05 154 122.3 104.3  90.1  73.9     NA
63  2017-01-06 154 122.5 104.1  89.7  74.5     NA
64  2017-01-07 153 122.1 101.1  88.5  74.1     NA
65  2017-01-08 154 123.8 102.9  90.1  75.1     NA
66  2017-01-09 159 126.3 105.8  93.7  78.2     NA
67  2017-01-10 171 137.1 117.0 103.7  88.1     NA
68  2017-01-11 180 146.7 125.0 112.5  96.7     NA
69  2017-01-12 186 151.4 128.0 115.8 101.7     NA
70  2017-01-13 187 152.4 128.0 115.3 101.8     NA
71  2017-01-14 188 150.5 128.4 115.8 102.5     NA
72  2017-01-15 188 147.8 128.2 115.7 102.2     NA
73  2017-01-16 186 147.3 128.0 115.0 101.9     NA
74  2017-01-17 182 142.1 124.5 110.8  98.7     NA
75  2017-01-18 179 141.6 124.0 110.8  98.7     NA
76  2017-01-19 179 140.1 123.8 110.8  98.7     NA
77  2017-01-20 177 140.4 124.3 111.2  98.7     NA
78  2017-01-21 175 140.0 124.5 111.4  98.2     NA
79  2017-01-22 175 139.0 122.5 111.8  98.0     NA
80  2017-01-23 175 139.0 122.9 112.6  98.7     NA
81  2017-01-24 184 149.2 132.9 122.9 108.4     NA
82  2017-01-25 184 151.0 133.8 125.0 110.5     NA
83  2017-01-26 186 152.2 134.3 125.8 112.0     NA
86  2017-01-29 187 151.5 134.2 127.9 113.7     NA
87  2017-01-30 187 151.6 134.1 127.7 113.2     NA
88  2017-01-31 186 150.7 133.2 125.1 110.5     NA
89  2017-02-01 186 150.0 132.7 123.8 109.9     NA
90  2017-02-02 186 148.5 132.7 121.6 109.9     NA
91  2017-02-03 186 148.5 131.5 121.1 110.3     NA
92  2017-02-04 186 147.9 131.0 119.8 109.3     NA
93  2017-02-05 186 147.8 131.9 119.7 110.2     NA
94  2017-02-06 188 151.7 136.0 123.4 113.7     NA
95  2017-02-07 192 155.8 140.2 127.2 117.6     NA
96  2017-02-08 187 157.2 140.0 129.7 119.9     NA
97  2017-02-09 187 159.4 141.9 132.1 117.9     NA
98  2017-02-10 183 159.2 141.7 132.0 117.2     NA
99  2017-02-11 182 159.6 142.4 129.4 117.6     NA
100 2017-02-12 182 158.3 142.0 129.0 117.5     NA
101 2017-02-13 182 157.6 141.6 128.9 116.5     NA
102 2017-02-14 182 157.0 141.5 128.4 116.2     NA
103 2017-02-15 181 157.9 142.2 127.6 117.2     NA
104 2017-02-16 180 157.5 142.3 127.7 116.8     NA
105 2017-02-17 177 155.7 143.1 128.4 117.4     NA
106 2017-02-18 169 155.9 143.0 127.4 117.4     NA
107 2017-02-19 169 156.8 144.1 127.9 117.8     NA
108 2017-02-20 168 154.3 141.2 128.0 117.6     NA
109 2017-02-21 177 159.0 148.2 136.4 124.9     NA
110 2017-02-22 178 160.2 150.4 138.1 126.0     NA
111 2017-02-23 180 163.1 153.6 141.0 128.9     NA
112 2017-02-24 177 162.6 153.5 141.1 128.3     NA
113 2017-02-25 177 162.6 153.6 140.6 125.3     NA
114 2017-02-26 177 162.4 152.9 140.6 125.1     NA
115 2017-02-27 176 162.0 150.9 138.9 123.1     NA
116 2017-02-28 182 168.1 156.2 144.9 127.4     NA
117 2017-03-01 182 168.3 156.9 145.0 127.4     NA
118 2017-03-02 181 167.1 155.2 144.0 125.5     NA
119 2017-03-03 181 166.3 152.9 140.7 125.5     NA
120 2017-03-04 181 165.4 153.0 140.2 125.5     NA
121 2017-03-05 181 162.1 152.6 140.3 125.4     NA
122 2017-03-06 180 162.0 149.9 140.0 125.3     NA
123 2017-03-07 180 162.1 150.0 140.3 124.9     NA
124 2017-03-08 180 162.5 150.2 140.1 122.7     NA
125 2017-03-09 180 162.2 150.0 138.0 122.7     NA
126 2017-03-10 177 162.1 150.0 137.9 122.2     NA
127 2017-03-11 177 161.7 149.7 138.0 122.0     NA
128 2017-03-12 176 156.9 148.9 137.8 121.5     NA
129 2017-03-13 176 156.5 148.8 137.5 121.4     NA
130 2017-03-14 176 154.5 147.7 136.9 120.1     NA
131 2017-03-15 176 153.5 146.0 136.9 119.9     NA
132 2017-03-16 176 152.2 145.1 136.3 119.3     NA
133 2017-03-17 175 150.7 144.1 135.8 118.9     NA
134 2017-03-18 175 150.3 140.4 135.1 117.7     NA
135 2017-03-19 175 150.2 140.0 134.9 117.3     NA
136 2017-03-20 175 149.6 139.7 132.4 116.4     NA
137 2017-03-21 175 149.1 139.5 131.6 115.9     NA
138 2017-03-22 174 149.0 139.4 129.5 115.5     NA
139 2017-03-23 179 154.8 145.0 134.6 120.9     NA
140 2017-03-24 180 154.7 146.2 135.4 122.2     NA
141 2017-03-25 179 154.2 146.2 135.4 122.3     NA
142 2017-03-26 177 155.1 145.7 136.1 123.1     NA
143 2017-03-27 176 154.5 144.7 135.6 122.6     NA
144 2017-03-28 179 158.0 146.7 138.4 124.4     NA
145 2017-03-29 177 155.4 145.4 137.7 123.7     NA
146 2017-03-30 177 154.8 144.0 137.1 123.6     NA
147 2017-03-31 179 158.0 146.5 138.9 126.4     NA
148 2017-04-01 180 160.8 150.2 142.2 130.0     NA
149 2017-04-02 181 160.5 149.6 141.0 130.0   0.26
150 2017-04-03 176 157.1 149.0 140.2 129.7   0.52
151 2017-04-04 175 156.0 148.0 139.8 129.7   0.77
152 2017-04-05 175 155.2 147.6 139.4 129.5   1.00
153 2017-04-06 174 155.2 146.8 139.4 128.2   1.22
154 2017-04-07 175 155.3 146.6 139.4 126.8   1.44
155 2017-04-08 173 154.8 145.6 136.2 126.7   1.66
156 2017-04-09 172 155.6 147.8 136.7 128.4   1.91
157 2017-04-10 172 155.4 149.2 137.8 129.1   2.20
158 2017-04-11 172 155.6 147.7 135.8 129.1   2.45
159 2017-04-12 170 155.1 147.7 134.6 129.1   2.69
160 2017-04-13 170 154.0 147.6 134.3 128.6   2.93
161 2017-04-14 170 154.7 148.2 134.7 125.3   3.20
162 2017-04-15 170 154.1 148.0 134.3 124.7   3.56
163 2017-04-16 169 154.0 147.8 133.5 124.1   3.98
164 2017-04-17 167 151.7 144.8 131.5 121.9   4.38
165 2017-04-18 166 151.4 144.1 131.2 121.8   4.83
166 2017-04-19 167 153.0 144.1 132.9 123.4   5.31
167 2017-04-20 167 153.0 142.7 133.2 123.7   5.83
168 2017-04-21 164 151.5 141.5 132.4 122.3   6.39
169 2017-04-22 164 151.7 141.3 132.9 122.7   6.91
170 2017-04-23 164 149.8 140.9 131.0 122.5   7.36
171 2017-04-24 164 150.0 141.1 131.0 122.6   7.79
172 2017-04-25 167 151.3 143.2 133.8 126.1   8.27
173 2017-04-26 167 151.7 142.5 134.8 126.9   8.69
174 2017-04-27 169 153.8 144.5 137.4 128.4   9.27
175 2017-04-28 170 154.5 146.0 137.9 129.9   9.66
176 2017-04-29 172 154.3 147.6 138.2 131.7  10.04
177 2017-04-30 168 153.5 147.0 137.9 131.7  10.38
178 2017-05-01 165 152.1 146.4 137.7 131.6  10.09
179 2017-05-02 163 151.1 145.3 136.3 130.7  10.41
180 2017-05-03 161 149.1 143.4 134.1 129.5  10.73
181 2017-05-04 160 148.5 143.5 133.6 128.7  11.08
182 2017-05-05 160 146.8 142.4 133.5 126.8  11.47
183 2017-05-06 159 145.8 142.2 133.5 126.4  12.02
184 2017-05-07 157 145.2 142.1 131.9 126.3  12.85
185 2017-05-08 157 144.8 141.4 131.2 125.3  13.90
186 2017-05-09 155 143.2 140.2 130.2 124.7  15.12
187 2017-05-10 152 142.7 137.3 130.0 124.2  16.51
188 2017-05-11 151 142.1 135.6 129.1 122.9  17.96
189 2017-05-12 151 141.6 134.1 128.3 122.4  19.48
190 2017-05-13 150 140.6 133.5 128.0 122.4  21.26
191 2017-05-14 150 139.7 133.2 127.7 122.3  23.30
192 2017-05-15 148 139.2 131.3 127.7 122.5  25.60
193 2017-05-16 148 138.8 130.5 127.3 122.4  27.72
194 2017-05-17 149 140.6 132.6 128.7 122.6  29.62
195 2017-05-18 148 140.0 132.9 128.8 122.9  31.37
196 2017-05-19 148 139.0 133.2 129.4 123.5  32.92
197 2017-05-20 147 136.5 132.6 129.0 123.1  34.25
198 2017-05-21 145 134.9 131.9 128.7 122.8  35.38
199 2017-05-22 144 135.0 131.1 128.6 123.0  36.40
200 2017-05-23 144 135.0 130.3 128.6 123.3  37.36
201 2017-05-24 144 133.8 130.5 127.6 123.1  38.28
202 2017-05-25 143 133.5 130.3 128.0 123.5  39.50
203 2017-05-26 142 134.1 131.0 127.9 124.0  41.25
204 2017-05-27 141 133.8 130.7 127.4 123.5  43.40
205 2017-05-28 141 133.5 130.7 126.9 123.2  45.30
206 2017-05-29 140 133.5 130.3 127.0 123.4  47.13
207 2017-05-30 140 133.3 130.2 126.6 123.2  49.10
209 2017-06-01 141 133.3 131.2 128.9 125.7  54.35
210 2017-06-02 143 135.4 132.5 130.6 127.7  57.80
211 2017-06-03 138 134.6 131.4 129.9 127.5  60.63
212 2017-06-04 138 134.5 131.8 129.8 127.3  63.39
213 2017-06-05 143 137.8 135.6 133.4 131.3  66.75
214 2017-06-06 144 139.6 137.1 134.6 132.6  70.15
215 2017-06-07 145 139.5 136.4 133.8 133.1  73.55
216 2017-06-08 147 141.2 138.2 135.6 134.7  77.06
217 2017-06-09 144 140.0 137.5 135.6 134.5  80.45
219 2017-06-11 141 139.3 137.0 135.2 134.6  86.94
220 2017-06-12 144 141.0 138.6 137.6 136.9  90.20
221 2017-06-13 144 141.3 138.8 138.2 137.6  93.23
222 2017-06-14 150 146.1 143.2 142.6 141.9  95.88
223 2017-06-15 150 146.3 143.4 142.7 142.1  97.93
224 2017-06-16 149 145.0 142.8 142.0 141.3  99.83
225 2017-06-17 149 145.3 143.0 142.1 141.6 101.72
226 2017-06-18 148 144.5 142.6 142.0 141.4 103.86
227 2017-06-19 148 144.6 143.3 142.6 142.0 106.26
228 2017-06-20 148 144.6 143.4 142.7 142.4 108.50
229 2017-06-21 147 144.7 143.3 142.7 142.3 110.59
230 2017-06-22 146 144.2 142.8 142.1 141.9 112.59
231 2017-06-23 144 141.6 140.5 139.7 139.4 114.51
232 2017-06-24 144 141.1 140.5 139.8 139.4 116.22
233 2017-06-25 142 139.4 138.7 138.3 138.1 117.76
234 2017-06-26 141 139.2 138.6 138.3 138.1 119.11
235 2017-06-27 140 139.1 138.4 138.1 138.0 120.35
236 2017-06-28 140 139.0 138.5 138.1 138.1 121.50
237 2017-06-29 140 139.1 138.5 138.2 138.2 122.59
238 2017-06-30 140 138.8 138.4 138.3 138.3 123.61
239 2017-07-01 134 133.0 132.6 132.6 132.5 118.73
240 2017-07-02 134 133.1 132.7 132.6 132.6 119.61
241 2017-07-03 134 133.1 132.8 132.7 132.7 120.43
242 2017-07-04 134 133.2 132.9 132.8 132.8 121.22
243 2017-07-05 134 133.3 132.9 132.9 132.9 121.97
244 2017-07-06 134 133.3 133.0 133.0 133.0 122.69
245 2017-07-07 134 133.4 133.1 133.1 133.1 123.38
246 2017-07-08 134 133.5 133.2 133.2 133.2 124.04
247 2017-07-09 134 133.4 133.2 133.2 133.2 124.66
248 2017-07-10 134 133.6 133.3 133.3 133.3 125.27
249 2017-07-11 135 133.8 133.6 133.6 133.6 125.86
250 2017-07-12 135 133.9 133.7 133.7 133.7 126.43
251 2017-07-13 135 134.1 134.0 134.0 134.0 127.02
252 2017-07-14 136 134.6 134.3 134.3 134.3 127.59
253 2017-07-15 136 134.4 134.3 134.3 134.3 128.17
254 2017-07-16 135 134.5 134.3 134.3 134.3 128.71
255 2017-07-17 136 135.0 134.8 134.7 134.7 129.24
256 2017-07-18 136 135.0 134.8 134.8 134.8 129.78
257 2017-07-19 136 135.1 135.0 135.0 135.0 130.33
258 2017-07-20 136 135.1 135.1 135.1 135.1 130.88
259 2017-07-21 136 135.4 135.4 135.4 135.4 131.37
260 2017-07-22 137 136.1 136.0 136.0 136.0 131.87
261 2017-07-23 137 136.1 136.0 136.0 136.0 132.41
262 2017-07-24 136 135.9 135.9 135.9 135.9 132.93
263 2017-07-25 136 135.9 135.9 135.9 135.9 133.39
264 2017-07-26 136 136.1 136.0 136.0 136.0 133.84
265 2017-07-27 136 136.2 136.2 136.2 136.2 134.31
266 2017-07-28 136 136.1 136.1 136.1 136.1 134.75
267 2017-07-29 136 136.2 136.2 136.2 136.2 135.16
268 2017-07-30 136 136.1 136.1 136.1 136.1 135.46
269 2017-07-31 136 136.2 136.2 136.2 136.2 135.81
p10=10% exceedance, etc., Obs=Included Observed

Maximum of 185.6 in 2011, Minimum of 34.5 in 1977, Average/Median for 1981-2010 is 88/86.
ESP forecasts in the Observed Period w/o observed values are not total runoff.