The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through February precipitation was 65 percent of average in the Upper Green basin. February precipitation was 45 percent of average.

Snow:
March 1st snow water equivalent was near 60 percent of average in the basin as a whole.
--- Upper Green basin snow water equivalent plot.

Streamflow:
February streamflow was near 80 percent of average.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled soil moisture states ranged from below average to near average heading into the winter.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factor because there is not a strong correlation between El Nino conditions and winter precipitation in the Upper Green basin.

Forecast Summary:
Due to much below average seasonal precipitation to date and much below average March 1st snow water equivalent values the April through July streamflow volume forecasts are much below average at this time. These forecasts have dropped and now range between 43 and 66 percent of average, with a median value of 55 percent.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through February precipitation was 85 percent of average in the Yampa/White basin. February precipitation was 80 percent of average.

Snow:
March 1st snow water equivalent was 75 percent of average in the basin as a whole.
--- Yampa basin snow water equivalent plot.

Streamflow:
February streamflow was near 70 percent of average.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled soil moisture states were near average heading into the winter for the Little Snake and White River basins. Modeled states ranged from below average to near average heading into winter for the Yampa basin.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factor because there is not a strong correlation between El Nino conditions and winter precipitation in the Yampa/White basin.

Forecast Summary:
Due to below average seasonal precipitation to date and below average March 1st snow water equivalent values the April through July streamflow volume forecasts are below average at this time. These forecasts have dropped slightly and now range between 57 and 80 percent of average, with a median value of 75 percent.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through February precipitation was 70 percent of average in the Duchesne basin. February precipitation was 40 percent of average.

Snow:
March 1st snow water equivalent was 70 percent of average in the basin as a whole.
--- Duchesne basin snow water equivalent plot.

Streamflow:
February streamflow was 90 percent of average.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled soil moisture states were much below average to below average heading into the winter.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factor because there is not a strong correlation between El Nino conditions and winter precipitation in the Duchesne basin.

Forecast Summary:
Due to below average seasonal precipitation to date and below average March 1st snow water equivalent values the April through July streamflow volume forecasts are below average at this time. These forecasts have dropped and now range between 51 and 81 percent of average, with a median value of 70 percent.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through February precipitation was 80 percent of average in the headwaters of the Lower Green basin. February precipitation was 95 percent of average.

Snow:
March 1st snow water equivalent was 70 percent of average in the basin as a whole. However, the Price and San Rafael headwaters did not receive as much snow as those further to the south.
--- Price basin snow water equivalent plot.

Streamflow:
February streamflow was near 75 percent of average.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled soil moisture states were much below average heading into the winter.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factor because there is not a strong correlation between El Nino conditions and winter precipitation in the Lower Green basin.

Forecast Summary:
Due to below average seasonal precipitation to date, the below average March 1st snow water equivalent values, and the much below average soil moisture heading into winter the April through July streamflow volume forecasts are much below average at this time. These forecasts have dropped and now range between 49 and 64 percent of average, with a median value of 55 percent.

Differences between the full period forecasts and the residual forecasts may not exactly equal the actual observed volumes due to rounding conventions (see Definitions section).