Note: This publication is currently undergoing major revisions. The current publication will be replaced with a new publication based on stakeholder requirements and scientific advances. We expect to begin sharing details on this soon. If you have input on content, format, or publication frequency at any time, please contact us at cbrfc.webmasters@noaa.gov.Lower Colorado Water Supply Outlook, January 1, 2008

Lower Colorado Water Supply Outlook, January 1, 2008


Prepared by G. Smith
NOAA, National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
www.cbrfc.noaa.gov

Contents

Lower Colorado Summary

Significant precipitation in December resulted in many foreast points experiencing streamflows in excess of 200 percent of the December median flow. An above average snowpack exists in the upper Salt, San Francisco, and Little Colorado Basins. With additional precipitation anticipated the first half of January most seasonal runoff volumes are forecast to meet or exceed their median flows.



*Median of forecasts within each basin.


Salt Basin Conditions

January through May runoff volumes in the Salt River Basin are expected to range from near 100 to 150 percent of the median. The snowpack in the upper Salt Basin ranges from 70 to 145 percent of average. Much above median flows are anticipated for January due to storms the first half of the month.



* Percent usable capacity, not percent average contents.
Click for multi-month Graph.

Gila Basin Conditions

January through May runoff volumes in the Gila River Basin are expected to range from near 90 to 115 percent of median. Below average snowpack exists in the Gila headwaters while above average snowpack exists in the San Francisco drainage. Anticipated storms in January are expected to contribute toward seasonal runoff volumes reaching forecast levels.



* Percent usable capacity, not percent average contents.
Click for multi-month Graph.

Little Colorado Basin Conditions

January through May runoff volumes in the Little Colorado Basin are expected to range from near 80 to 160 percent of median. Above average precipitation was received in December. Additional storms anticipated in January and an above average snowpack in the southern headwaters of the Little Colorado are expected to contribute to the forecast levels.



* Percent usable capacity, not percent average contents.
Click for multi-month Graph.







Differences between the full period forecasts and the residual forecasts may not exactly equal the actual observed volumes due to rounding conventions (see Definitions section).


Monthly Streamflows













Precipitation Maps








Hydrologist: G. Smith