The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through December precipitation was near 70 percent of average in the upper Bear Basin as a whole. December precipitation was near 60 percent of average.

Streamflow:
Almost all gages in the Bear were ice affected during January. The Logan at above State Dam however remained ice free and recorded 90 percent of average.

Snowpack:
January 1st snow water equivalent was 58 percent of average for the Bear Basin as a whole.


Upper Bear River Basin Snow Plot.
Bear River Basin Snow Plot.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled Soil Moisture, click on map to zoom.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factored into the northern Utah forecasts because there is not a strong correlation between El Nino conditions and winter precipitation here.

Forecast Summary:
Due to below average seasonal precipitation and below average January 1st snow water equivalent values the April through July streamflow volume forecast are below average at this time. These forecast now range between 60 and 80 percent of average with a median value of 60 percent of average.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through December precipitation was near 65 percent of average in the Weber Basin. December precipitation was 78 percent of average.

Streamflow:
December steamflow was near 85 percent of average.

Snowpack:
January 1, snow water equivalent was near 70 percent of average in the basin as a whole.

Weber River Basin Snow Plot.
Upper Weber River Basin Snow Plot.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled Soil Moisture, click on map to zoom.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factored into the northern Utah forecasts because there is not a strong correlation between El Nino conditions and winter precipitation here.

Forecast Summary:
Due to below average seasonal precipitation and below average January st snow water equivalent values the April through July streamflow volume forecast are below average at this time. These forecast now range between 55 and 75 percent of average with a median value of 65 percent of average.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through December precipitation was near 80 percent of average. December precipitation was near 100 percent of average.

Streamflow:
Little Cottonwood Creek streamflow was 76 percent of average during December.

Snowpack:
January 1st snow water equivalent was near 60 percent of average in the basin as a whole.

Six Creeks River Basin Snow Plot.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled Soil Moisture, click on map to zoom.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factored into the northern Utah forecasts because there is not a strong correlation between El Nino conditions and winter precipitation here.

Forecast Summary:
Due to below average January 1st snow water equivalent values the April through July streamflow volume forecasts are below average at this time. These forecast now range between 55 and 80 percent of average with a median value of 65 percent of average.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October thought December precipitation was 75 percent of average. December precipitation was near 115 percent of average.

Streamflow:
December streamflow was 70 percent of average.

Snowpack:
January 1st snow water equivalent was near 65 percent of average in the basin as a whole.

Provo River, Utah Lake Basin Snow Plot.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled Soil Moisture, click on map to zoom.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factored into the northern Utah forecasts because there is not a strong correlation between El Nino conditions and winter precipitation here.

Forecast Summary:
Due to below average January 1st snow water equivalent values the April through July streamflow volume forecast are below average at this time. These forecast now range between 45 and 75 percent of average with a median value of 70 percent of average.

Differences between the full period forecasts and the residual forecasts may not exactly equal the actual observed volumes due to rounding conventions (see Definitions section).