The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through March precipitation was 87 percent of average in the upper Bear Basin. March precipitation was 55 percent of average.

Streamflow:
The Bear River at Stewart Dam was 121 percent of average. The Logan River above State Dam was estimated at 129 percent of average streamflow.

Snowpack:
This years snow pack is much below average for April 1st. The current snow water equivalent for the Bear Basin is 59 percent of average. As of water year 2012 the CBRFC has re-calculated all snow stations to reflect the new 30 year average from 1981-2010.


Upper Bear River Basin Snow Plot.
Bear River Below Woodruff Narrows Reservoir Snow Plot.
Bear River Basin Snow Plot.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled Soil Moisture, click on map to zoom. Modeled soil moisture states indicate above average moisture conditions as of March 1st. This is a contributor to the above average baseflows in the Bear River Basin.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factored into the northern Utah forecasts because there is not a strong correlation between La Nina conditions and winter precipitation.

Forecast Summary:
A wet October was then followed by dry November and December. January and February precipitation was near normal and then the things changed with a very dry and warm March. Seasonal precipitation throughout the GSL Basin as of April 1st ranges between 73 and 97 percent of average but snowpacks have suffered greatly in March and range from 49 to 57 percent of average. Streamflow forecast have been significantly reduced from March 1st numbers due to the amount of snow that melted. April through July seasonal volume forecast range from 38 to 67 percent of average with a median volume of 55 percent of average.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through March precipitation is 73 percent of average. March precipitation was 58 percent of average.

Streamflow:
The Weber at Oakley gage was estimated to be 112 percent of average. The inflow to Rockport Reservoir was 97 percent of average.

Snowpack:
This years snow remains below average. The current snow water equivalent index is 52 percent of average.. As of water year 2012 the CBRFC has re-calculated all snow stations to reflect the new 30 year average from 1981-2010.

Weber River Basin Snow Plot.
Upper Weber River Basin Snow Plot.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled Soil Moisture, click on map to zoom. Modeled soil moisture states indicate above average moisture conditions as of December 1st. This is a contributor to the above average baseflows in the Weber River Basin.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not a factored into the northern Utah forecasts because there is not a strong correlation between La Nina conditions and winter precipitation.

Forecast Summary:
A wet October was then followed by dry November and December. January and February precipitation was near normal and then the things changed with a very dry and warm March. Seasonal precipitation throughout the GSL Basin as of April 1st ranges between 73 and 97 percent of average but snowpacks have suffered greatly in March and range from 49 to 57 percent of average. Streamflow forecast have been significantly reduced from March 1st numbers due to the amount of snow that melted. April through July seasonal volume forecasts range between 42 and 55 percent of average with a median forecast volume of 48 percent of average.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October through March precipitation was near 74 percent of average. March precipitation was 67 percent of average.

Streamflow:
March streamflow for City Creek near Salt Lake City was 66 percent of average. Big Cottonwood Creek nr Salt Lake City was 91 percent of average.

Snowpack:
This year's snow remains below average. The current indexed snow water equivalent is 59 percent of average. As of water year 2012 the CBRFC has re-calculated all snow stations to reflect the new 30 year average from 1981-2010.

Six Creeks Headwaters Basins Snow Plot.

Big and Little Cottonwood Canyons Snow Plot.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled Soil Moisture, click on map to zoom. Modeled soil moisture states indicate mostly above average mositure conditions as of December 1st. Although flows are dropping in the Six Creeks basin, above average soil moistures have been influencing baseflows through the fall and March was the first month that they dropped to near average.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not factored into the northern Utah forecasts because there is not a strong correlation between La Nina conditions and winter precipitation.

Forecast Summary:
A wet October was then followed by dry November and December. January and February precipitation was near normal and then the things changed with a very dry and warm March. Seasonal precipitation throughout the GSL Basin as of April 1st ranges between 73 and 97 percent of average but snowpacks have suffered greatly in March and range from 49 to 57 percent of average. Streamflow forecast have been significantly reduced from March 1st numbers due to the amount of snow that melted. April through July seasonal volume forecasts range between 42 to 66 percent of average with a median forecast of 48 percent of average.

The following conditions influenced this month's forecasts:

Precipitation:
Seasonal October thought March seasonal precipitation was 76 percent of average. March precipitation was 66 percent of average.

Streamflow:
Streamflows for the Provo at Woodland were 99 percent of average. Unregulated inflow to Utah Lake was recorded at 76 percent of average which represents a significant drop from the previous month.

Snowpack:
This year's snow as of March 1 remains below average. Current snow water equivalent are 67 percent of average.. As of water year 2012 the CBRFC has re-calculated all snow stations to reflect the new 30 year average from 1981-2010.

Provo River, Utah Lake Drainage Snow Plot.

Soil Moisture:
Modeled Soil Moisture, click on map to zoom. Modeled soil moisture states indicate mostly average to above average conditions as of December 1st. This is a contributor to the current baseflows conditions in the Provo and Utah Lake forecast.

Climate Forecasts:
Climate forecasts were not factored into the northern Utah forecasts because there is not a strong correlation between La Nina conditions and winter precipitation here.

Forecast Summary:
A wet October was then followed by dry November and December. January and February precipitation was near normal and then the things changed with a very dry and warm March. Seasonal precipitation throughout the GSL Basin as of April 1st ranges between 73 and 97 percent of average but snowpacks have suffered greatly in March and range from 49 to 57 percent of average. Streamflow forecast have been significantly reduced from March 1st numbers due to the amount of snow that melted. April through July seasonal volume forecasts range between 26 and 60 percent of average with a median forecast volume of 53 percent of average.

Differences between the full period forecasts and the residual forecasts may not exactly equal the actual observed volumes due to rounding conventions (see Definitions section).